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NKE Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 247 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-10 → 2025-02-12

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Dec 02, 1980 🔗 www.nike.com
💰 Market Cap: $96.28B 👥 Employees: 77,800
Nike is the largest athletic footwear and apparel brand in the world. Footwear generates about two-thirds of its sales. Key performance footwear categories include basketball, running, and football (soccer). Its brands include Nike, Jordan (premium athletic footwear and clothing), NikeSkims (women's athleisure), and Converse (casual footwear). Nike sells products worldwide through company-owned stores, franchised stores (including about 5,500 in China), and third-party retailers. The firm also operates e-commerce platforms in more than 40 countries. Nearly all its production is outsourced to contract manufacturers in more than 30 countries. Nike was founded in 1964 and is based in Beaverton, Oregon.
📊
247
Total Alerts
🎯
53.8%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.03%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.22%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 53.8%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.49%
Avg Loser: -0.51%
Best: +2.13%
Worst: -2.73%
Trades: 133/114

15MIN

Win Rate: 52.2%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.59%
Avg Loser: -0.66%
Best: +2.66%
Worst: -2.66%
Trades: 129/117

30MIN

Win Rate: 53.8%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.68%
Avg Loser: -0.77%
Best: +2.27%
Worst: -2.39%
Trades: 133/112

60MIN

Win Rate: 51.8%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.80%
Avg Loser: -0.88%
Best: +3.38%
Worst: -3.44%
Trades: 128/117

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 49.8%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +1.15%
Avg Loser: -1.24%
Best: +3.71%
Worst: -5.05%
Trades: 123/124

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.22%
Best MFE: +5.80%
Avg Time to MFE: 131 min

On average, NKE alerts reach +1.22% profit potential within 131 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.52%
Worst MAE: -2.45%
Avg Time to MAE: 14 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.52%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.36:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.36x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 247 alerts, NKE typically reaches +1.22% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 247
Gap Up % 46.6%
Avg Gap -0.05%
Best Gap +1.69%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RUBBER & PLASTICS FOOTWEAR

How NKE compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
NKE: +0.03% Sector: +0.01% +0.02%
EOD Gain
NKE: -0.05% Sector: -0.30% +0.25%
Avg MFE
NKE: +1.22% Sector: +1.51% -0.29%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NKE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-12 09:27:11 $70.69 -0.10% -0.20% +0.14% +0.72% +2.22% +2.49% -0.51% -0.13% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:25:35 $69.69 -0.01% +0.47% +0.73% +1.70% +1.79% +1.81% -0.82% -0.47% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:28:34 $70.83 -0.48% -1.11% -1.24% -2.01% -3.04% +0.23% -0.89% -0.39% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:25:51 $75.06 -0.85% -0.93% -1.23% -1.07% +2.04% +2.17% -2.45% -0.21% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:28:26 $73.18 +1.12% +1.07% +1.33% +2.80% +3.28% +3.65% +0.30% +0.36% WIN
2025-01-17 09:27:35 $71.51 -0.13% -0.46% -0.35% -0.35% -0.94% +0.06% -0.01% -0.11% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:25:53 $71.87 +0.19% +0.11% -0.38% -0.63% -1.11% +0.53% -0.07% +0.17% WIN
2025-01-13 09:29:31 $71.11 +0.17% +0.06% +0.40% +1.17% +1.36% +2.10% -0.46% +0.08% WIN
2025-01-10 09:25:18 $71.75 -0.20% +0.37% +0.56% -0.08% -0.77% +0.89% -0.56% +0.14% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:27:32 $71.88 -0.66% -0.50% -0.79% -0.61% -0.82% +0.03% +0.03% -0.45% LOSS
2025-01-07 09:29:01 $72.51 +0.65% +0.69% +0.92% +1.01% -0.58% +1.28% -0.36% -0.15% WIN
2025-01-06 09:28:32 $74.04 -0.53% -0.89% -1.09% -1.47% -2.76% +0.38% -0.62% -0.39% LOSS
2024-12-23 09:26:59 $76.15 +1.26% +2.48% +1.76% +0.96% +0.80% +2.96% - +0.23% WIN
2024-12-20 09:25:15 $74.7 +2.08% +2.63% +2.27% +1.92% +3.00% +4.42% -0.62% +1.69% WIN
2024-12-19 09:26:54 $77.38 +0.37% +0.36% +0.04% -0.40% -0.36% +0.72% -0.93% -0.57% WIN
2024-12-18 09:25:03 $78.05 -0.28% +0.58% +0.42% +0.58% -1.47% +1.22% -0.90% -0.09% LOSS
2024-12-17 09:25:59 $77.15 +0.45% +0.75% +1.21% +1.41% +1.10% +2.10% -0.10% +0.27% WIN
2024-12-09 09:28:33 $79.84 -1.47% -1.33% -1.40% -1.45% -2.76% -0.28% -1.13% -0.50% LOSS
2024-12-05 09:26:57 $78.35 -0.06% +0.09% +0.28% +0.51% +0.29% +0.70% -0.59% -0.11% LOSS
2024-12-04 09:26:44 $77.4 -0.37% +0.18% +0.05% +0.75% +1.25% +1.43% -0.39% +0.54% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 53.8% Baseline on NKE

The 53.8% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push NKE's performance to 75%+.

Optimize NKE Strategy →

Why Analyze NKE with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NKE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NKE historically offers an average upside of +1.22% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NKE Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 53.8%, NKE shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show NKE performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.03%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.