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CRWD Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 166 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-06 → 2024-12-03

🏢 Company Profile

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. Class A Common Stock SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE (SIC 7372)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 12, 2019 🔗 www.crowdstrike.com
💰 Market Cap: $114.07B 👥 Employees: 10,410
CrowdStrike is a cloud-based cybersecurity company specializing in next-generation security verticals such as endpoint, cloud workload, identity, and security operations. CrowdStrike's primary offering is its Falcon platform that offers a proverbial single pane of glass for an enterprise to detect and respond to security threats attacking its IT infrastructure. The Texas-based firm was founded in 2011 and went public in 2019.
📊
166
Total Alerts
🎯
53.6%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.10%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+2.60%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.6%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.96%
Avg Loser: -0.91%
Best: +4.66%
Worst: -3.14%
Trades: 84/82

15MIN

Win Rate: 52.4%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.31%
Avg Loser: -1.40%
Best: +6.08%
Worst: -3.89%
Trades: 87/79

30MIN

Win Rate: 53.0%
Avg Gain: +0.10%
Avg Winner: +1.71%
Avg Loser: -1.72%
Best: +10.28%
Worst: -5.09%
Trades: 88/78

60MIN

Win Rate: 53.6%
Avg Gain: +0.10%
Avg Winner: +1.91%
Avg Loser: -2.02%
Best: +11.27%
Worst: -6.92%
Trades: 89/76

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 52.4%
Avg Gain: +0.18%
Avg Winner: +2.62%
Avg Loser: -2.50%
Best: +18.86%
Worst: -10.18%
Trades: 87/79

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.60%
Best MFE: +19.80%
Avg Time to MFE: 111 min

On average, CRWD alerts reach +2.60% profit potential within 111 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.10%
Worst MAE: -6.86%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.10%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.36:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.36x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 166 alerts, CRWD typically reaches +2.60% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 166
Gap Up % 47.6%
Avg Gap -0.03%
Best Gap +1.63%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

How CRWD compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CRWD: +0.03% Sector: -0.09% +0.12%
EOD Gain
CRWD: +0.18% Sector: +73.64% -73.45%
Avg MFE
CRWD: +2.60% Sector: +4.32% -1.72%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CRWD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-03 09:25:12 $345.82 -0.10% +0.52% +0.79% +1.63% +1.19% +1.77% -0.70% -0.24% LOSS
2024-11-27 09:29:57 $359.0 -2.99% -2.96% -3.31% -3.86% -3.18% +0.06% -1.59% +0.06% LOSS
2024-09-23 09:27:09 $297.86 +0.05% +0.45% +0.32% +0.92% -1.58% +1.44% -0.69% -0.03% WIN
2024-08-29 09:26:35 $261.47 +3.95% +6.08% +8.55% +6.68% +3.90% +9.28% -0.12% +0.21% WIN
2024-08-22 09:28:58 $274.4 +0.40% +1.10% +0.81% +0.50% -2.46% +1.49% -0.30% +0.31% WIN
2024-08-15 09:26:39 $260.48 -0.64% -0.13% +0.87% +0.58% +0.00% +1.22% -1.14% -0.09% LOSS
2024-08-14 09:29:46 $250.0 +0.40% +1.10% +0.80% +1.36% +2.49% +3.58% -0.30% - WIN
2024-08-09 09:28:08 $242.5 -0.14% -0.07% -0.72% -0.20% -0.66% +1.45% -1.19% -0.13% LOSS
2024-08-07 09:26:12 $238.44 +0.45% +0.91% +0.54% +1.08% -3.26% +2.12% -0.17% -0.03% WIN
2024-08-06 09:25:58 $231.2 -1.62% -3.85% -1.79% -1.62% +0.21% +1.75% -4.17% -0.44% LOSS
2024-08-05 09:29:55 $201.5 +4.66% +6.03% +10.28% +7.23% +10.20% +11.23% -0.34% +0.02% WIN
2024-08-02 09:28:52 $217.39 -0.52% -0.21% -1.58% -1.79% +0.23% +1.88% -0.48% -0.11% LOSS
2024-08-01 09:26:52 $232.93 -1.94% -1.77% -1.24% -3.18% -3.74% -0.27% -0.27% -0.40% LOSS
2024-07-31 09:27:47 $234.8 +0.10% -0.10% -0.01% +0.05% -1.21% +0.90% -1.28% -0.06% WIN
2024-07-30 09:29:00 $248.44 -1.71% -2.14% -3.59% -4.28% -5.95% -0.04% -2.31% -0.36% LOSS
2024-07-29 09:28:33 $259.91 -0.14% +0.67% +2.06% +1.28% -0.42% +2.15% -0.95% -0.15% LOSS
2024-07-26 09:27:33 $262.45 -1.84% -2.20% -2.12% -2.50% -2.40% -0.54% -0.93% -0.95% LOSS
2024-07-25 09:26:15 $257.8 +1.12% +1.26% +0.21% -0.73% -1.42% +1.94% -0.81% +0.23% WIN
2024-07-24 09:28:52 $270.57 -0.77% +0.10% -1.60% -2.68% -4.59% +1.80% -0.43% -0.21% LOSS
2024-07-23 09:29:11 $269.01 -2.88% -1.35% +0.54% +0.36% -0.05% +2.97% -3.81% +0.00% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 53.6% Baseline on CRWD

The 53.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CRWD's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CRWD Strategy →

Why Analyze CRWD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CRWD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CRWD historically offers an average upside of +2.60% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CRWD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 53.6%, CRWD shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CRWD performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.10%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.