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CSTL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-07-07 → 2023-07-07

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Castle Biosciences, Inc. Common Stock SERVICES-MEDICAL LABORATORIES (SIC 8071)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 25, 2019 🔗 www.castlebiosciences.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.23B 👥 Employees: 823
Castle Biosciences Inc is a molecular diagnostics company. The group provides test solutions for the diagnosis and treatment of dermatologic cancers, Barrett's esophagus (BE), and uveal melanoma. The product portfolio of the company includes DecisionDx-Melanoma, a risk stratification gene expression profile (GEP) test; DecisionDx-SCC, a risk stratification test for cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma; MyPath Melanoma, a diagnostic GEP test for use in patients with difficult-to-diagnose melanocytic lesions; and TissueCypher, a test to predict future development of progression of high-grade dysplasia and/or esophageal cancer. It also provides DecisionDx-UM, a risk stratification GEP test. The company also offers its products to the skin cancer and gastroenterology markets.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+2.11%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+5.43%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -5.63%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -5.63%
Best: -5.63%
Worst: -5.63%
Trades: 0/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -3.57%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -3.57%
Best: -3.57%
Worst: -3.57%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -4.70%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -4.70%
Best: -4.70%
Worst: -4.70%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -5.28%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -5.28%
Best: -5.28%
Worst: -5.28%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.11%
Avg Winner: +2.11%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +2.11%
Worst: +2.11%
Trades: 1/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.43%
Best MFE: +5.43%
Avg Time to MFE: 296 min

On average, CSTL alerts reach +5.43% profit potential within 296 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -9.05%
Worst MAE: -9.05%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 9.05%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.6:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, CSTL typically reaches +5.43% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +0.60%
Best Gap +0.60%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-MEDICAL LABORATORIES

How CSTL compares to 18 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CSTL: -5.63% Sector: -0.18% -5.46%
EOD Gain
CSTL: +2.11% Sector: +911658.96% -911656.84%
Avg MFE
CSTL: +5.43% Sector: +11.20% -5.77%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CSTL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-07-07 09:29:00 $19.88 -5.63% -3.57% -4.70% -5.28% +2.11% +5.43% -9.05% +0.60% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on CSTL

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CSTL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CSTL Strategy →

Why Analyze CSTL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CSTL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CSTL historically offers an average upside of +5.43% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CSTL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, CSTL shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CSTL performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +2.11%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.