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CSX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 165 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-01-31

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 03, 1980 🔗 www.csx.com
💰 Market Cap: $68.23B 👥 Employees: 23,500
Operating in the Eastern United States, Class I railroad CSX generated revenue near $14.5 billion in 2024. On its more than 21,000 miles of track, CSX hauls shipments of coal (16% of consolidated revenue), chemicals (17%), intermodal containers (16%), automotive cargo (7%), and a diverse mix of other bulk and industrial merchandise.
📊
165
Total Alerts
🎯
53.7%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.01%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.17%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 52.7%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.47%
Avg Loser: -0.51%
Best: +2.60%
Worst: -3.54%
Trades: 87/73

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.9%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.61%
Avg Loser: -0.64%
Best: +2.38%
Worst: -4.42%
Trades: 84/80

30MIN

Win Rate: 52.1%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.61%
Avg Loser: -0.66%
Best: +2.78%
Worst: -3.86%
Trades: 86/78

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.9%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.77%
Avg Loser: -0.79%
Best: +3.24%
Worst: -3.68%
Trades: 84/80

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 53.7%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +1.10%
Avg Loser: -1.26%
Best: +5.00%
Worst: -5.31%
Trades: 88/75

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.17%
Best MFE: +5.99%
Avg Time to MFE: 134 min

On average, CSX alerts reach +1.17% profit potential within 134 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.44%
Worst MAE: -4.94%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.44%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.65:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.65x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 165 alerts, CSX typically reaches +1.17% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 165
Gap Up % 50.9%
Avg Gap +0.03%
Best Gap +2.80%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RAILROADS, LINE-HAUL OPERATING

How CSX compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CSX: +0.02% Sector: -0.02% +0.04%
EOD Gain
CSX: +0.01% Sector: -0.12% +0.13%
Avg MFE
CSX: +1.18% Sector: +1.07% +0.10%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CSX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-31 09:29:37 $33.08 -0.41% -0.24% +0.05% +0.30% -0.63% +0.97% -0.94% -0.70% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:26:59 $32.23 +1.46% +1.53% +1.10% +1.58% +1.43% +2.45% -0.71% -0.56% WIN
2025-01-22 09:29:06 $33.27 -0.48% -0.38% -0.21% -0.39% -0.09% +0.69% -0.66% -0.15% LOSS
2025-01-03 09:27:48 $32.11 +0.47% +0.40% +0.14% +0.44% +0.72% +1.23% +0.02% +0.90% WIN
2024-12-18 09:28:24 $32.9 +0.05% +0.08% +0.26% -0.03% -2.49% +0.48% -0.40% -0.27% WIN
2024-12-05 09:28:52 $35.3 -0.31% -0.48% -0.85% -1.13% -1.93% +0.20% -0.14% +0.20% LOSS
2024-12-04 09:29:09 $36.0 -0.94% -0.86% -0.62% -1.15% -1.94% -0.14% -0.83% -0.14% LOSS
2024-11-21 09:29:42 $34.62 +0.06% +0.35% +0.40% +0.56% +2.08% +2.14% -0.06% +0.23% WIN
2024-10-07 09:25:56 $34.23 -0.15% -0.48% -0.04% -0.16% -1.69% +0.12% -0.29% +0.03% LOSS
2024-10-03 09:26:24 $34.0 +0.15% -0.56% -0.69% -0.84% +0.35% +0.84% -1.06% +0.32% WIN
2024-10-01 09:25:54 $34.44 -0.03% -0.52% -0.97% -0.99% +0.23% +0.64% -1.25% -0.06% LOSS
2024-09-04 09:28:53 $34.7 +0.22% +0.73% +1.02% +0.27% +0.46% +1.08% -0.35% -0.32% WIN
2024-09-03 09:28:28 $34.1 +0.44% +0.51% +0.79% +0.50% +1.41% +1.79% +0.12% +0.29% WIN
2024-08-23 09:27:49 $33.65 -0.40% +0.30% +0.16% +0.22% +0.12% +0.59% -0.53% -0.18% LOSS
2024-08-22 09:28:35 $33.72 +0.27% +0.30% -0.15% -1.05% -1.45% +0.44% +0.12% +0.33% WIN
2024-08-06 09:25:13 $33.79 -2.77% +1.86% +1.30% +1.94% +0.21% +2.10% -4.94% -4.88% LOSS
2024-08-05 09:29:57 $34.42 -3.54% -4.42% -3.86% -3.65% -4.13% +0.03% -2.64% +0.03% LOSS
2024-07-08 09:28:03 $32.88 +0.70% +0.96% +1.00% +0.81% +1.55% +1.64% -0.24% -0.12% WIN
2024-05-24 09:25:34 $33.55 +0.39% +0.54% +0.15% +0.07% +0.69% +0.80% -0.27% +0.12% WIN
2024-05-23 09:25:51 $34.05 -0.32% -0.09% -0.73% -0.85% -1.62% +0.19% -0.66% -0.03% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 53.7% Baseline on CSX

The 53.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CSX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CSX Strategy →

Why Analyze CSX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CSX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CSX historically offers an average upside of +1.17% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CSX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 53.7%, CSX shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CSX performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.01%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.