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UNP Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 62 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-19 → 2025-01-29
⚠️ Small sample size (62 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, UNP alerts reach +1.01% profit potential within 112 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.36%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.81x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 62 alerts, UNP typically reaches +1.01% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: RAILROADS, LINE-HAUL OPERATING
How UNP compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical UNP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-29 | 09:26:50 | $250.0 | +0.64% | +0.84% | +0.76% | +0.74% | -0.18% | +1.20% | -0.38% | -0.12% | WIN |
| 2024-12-03 | 09:29:39 | $240.66 | -1.09% | -1.70% | -1.52% | -1.87% | -1.52% | +0.44% | -0.24% | +0.44% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-12 | 09:28:28 | $243.04 | -0.58% | -0.41% | -0.72% | -0.72% | -1.70% | -0.16% | -0.65% | -0.28% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-22 | 09:27:33 | $246.0 | +0.20% | +0.07% | -0.40% | -0.61% | -0.68% | +0.41% | -0.01% | +0.01% | WIN |
| 2024-06-07 | 09:25:11 | $227.74 | -0.00% | -0.02% | +0.24% | +0.83% | +0.10% | +1.31% | -0.46% | -0.09% | LOSS |
| 2024-05-24 | 09:26:23 | $233.19 | -0.27% | +0.16% | +0.04% | +0.12% | -0.49% | +0.40% | -0.95% | -0.51% | LOSS |
| 2024-05-23 | 09:29:23 | $234.71 | -0.67% | -0.03% | -0.44% | -0.62% | -0.85% | +0.07% | -0.94% | -0.20% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-03 | 09:26:10 | $241.83 | +0.81% | +0.72% | +1.04% | +0.84% | -0.12% | +1.31% | +0.28% | +0.43% | WIN |
| 2024-03-13 | 09:27:51 | $251.18 | -0.43% | -0.59% | -0.43% | -0.63% | -0.77% | -0.16% | -0.83% | -0.37% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-08 | 09:28:45 | $248.7 | -0.29% | +0.06% | +0.14% | +0.08% | +0.91% | +1.02% | -0.44% | -0.18% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-06 | 09:26:42 | $255.58 | -1.33% | -1.02% | -0.76% | -0.65% | -1.79% | -0.23% | -1.76% | -0.84% | LOSS |
| 2024-02-22 | 09:29:38 | $251.67 | -0.21% | -0.51% | -0.09% | -0.11% | +1.13% | +1.31% | -0.62% | +0.13% | LOSS |
| 2024-02-21 | 09:25:28 | $247.39 | +0.39% | +0.58% | +0.96% | +1.14% | +1.59% | +1.65% | -0.03% | +0.83% | WIN |
| 2023-12-04 | 09:29:00 | $230.99 | +0.68% | +0.94% | +1.03% | +1.10% | +1.26% | +1.61% | -0.19% | -0.10% | WIN |
| 2023-10-19 | 09:28:00 | $218.5 | -1.12% | -1.25% | -1.63% | -2.62% | -3.74% | +0.73% | -0.52% | +0.03% | LOSS |
| 2023-09-20 | 09:26:00 | $211.77 | +1.01% | +0.83% | +0.98% | +1.05% | +0.57% | +1.48% | +0.56% | +0.64% | WIN |
| 2023-09-13 | 09:26:00 | $213.87 | -0.21% | -0.58% | -0.68% | -1.30% | -0.81% | +0.07% | -0.32% | +0.01% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-24 | 09:25:00 | $222.0 | +0.31% | +0.66% | +0.91% | +0.83% | +0.23% | +1.01% | +0.22% | +0.58% | WIN |
| 2023-08-17 | 09:28:00 | $223.99 | +1.01% | +0.93% | +0.94% | +1.12% | +0.17% | +1.20% | +0.46% | +0.58% | WIN |
| 2023-08-16 | 09:26:00 | $225.54 | -0.07% | +0.06% | +0.03% | -0.16% | -0.41% | +0.27% | -0.24% | -0.08% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ UNP Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 53.2% win rate, UNP has -0.01% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making UNP profitable.
🔧 Fix UNP Risk/Reward →Why Analyze UNP with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for UNP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, UNP historically offers an average upside of +1.01% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 UNP Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 53.2%, UNP shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.58%) outweigh average wins (+0.49%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: UNP shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.01%). This suggests UNP is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.