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CTAS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 8 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-27 → 2025-02-05

⚠️ Small sample size (8 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 18, 1983 🔗 www.cintas.com
💰 Market Cap: $77.16B 👥 Employees: 48,300
Cintas has roots tracing back to 1929, during which the Farmer family cleaned and re-sold dirty rags to manufacturing plants in Ohio. The firm has grown its business organically and through acquisitions, and today Cintas acts as a one-stop outsourcing partner for businesses. Cintas will design, manufacture, collect, and clean every employee uniform for a small weekly sum, taking on the upfront capital expense itself. In the same stop, Cintas can also replace soiled or depleted mats, mops, trash liners, towels, first aid, fire, and cleaning products. Businesses value an outsourcing partner like Cintas as it simplifies operations and leaves noncore tasks with high regulatory standards in the hands of professionals.
📊
8
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-1.02%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+0.07%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: -0.80%
Avg Winner: +0.53%
Avg Loser: -1.60%
Best: +0.91%
Worst: -6.13%
Trades: 3/5

15MIN

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: -0.96%
Avg Winner: +0.25%
Avg Loser: -1.69%
Best: +0.34%
Worst: -6.81%
Trades: 3/5

30MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -1.04%
Avg Winner: +0.50%
Avg Loser: -1.55%
Best: +0.96%
Worst: -7.19%
Trades: 2/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -1.02%
Avg Winner: +0.35%
Avg Loser: -2.39%
Best: +0.41%
Worst: -7.02%
Trades: 4/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -28.15%
Avg Winner: +0.86%
Avg Loser: -57.16%
Best: +1.74%
Worst: -76.60%
Trades: 4/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.07%
Best MFE: +1.98%
Avg Time to MFE: 178 min

On average, CTAS alerts reach +0.07% profit potential within 178 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.60%
Worst MAE: -7.41%
Avg Time to MAE: 24 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.60%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.04:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 8 alerts, CTAS typically reaches +0.07% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 8
Gap Up % 25.0%
Avg Gap -0.93%
Best Gap +0.44%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MEN'S & BOYS' FURNISHGS, WORK CLOTHG, & ALLIED GARMENTS

How CTAS compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CTAS: -0.80% Sector: -0.07% -0.73%
EOD Gain
CTAS: -28.15% Sector: -4.76% -23.39%
Avg MFE
CTAS: +0.07% Sector: +2.28% -2.21%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CTAS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-05 09:29:40 $201.44 -0.32% -0.26% -0.88% -0.79% +0.08% +0.36% -1.23% -0.07% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:27:40 $189.36 +0.35% +0.34% -0.10% -0.33% +1.74% +1.98% -0.54% -0.01% WIN
2025-01-03 09:27:36 $183.89 -0.41% +0.13% -0.32% +0.41% +1.07% +1.40% -0.84% -0.61% LOSS
2024-11-29 09:29:08 $224.55 +0.32% +0.29% +0.03% +0.30% +0.55% +0.92% -0.10% +0.11% WIN
2022-08-02 09:25:00 $451.62 -6.13% -6.81% -7.19% -7.02% -76.60% -5.71% -7.41% -6.20% LOSS
2022-04-29 09:25:00 $410.7 -1.03% -0.91% -0.63% -1.41% -75.82% -0.39% -1.31% -0.98% LOSS
2022-02-10 09:25:00 $384.91 -0.12% -0.47% -0.17% +0.37% -0.85% +0.82% -1.07% -0.12% LOSS
2022-01-27 09:25:00 $383.42 +0.91% -0.00% +0.96% +0.33% -75.37% +1.18% -0.33% +0.44% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ CTAS Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -1.02% average gain, CTAS alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider CTAS for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze CTAS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CTAS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CTAS historically offers an average upside of +0.07% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CTAS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, CTAS shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests CTAS may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: CTAS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -1.02%). This suggests CTAS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.