Latest signal:
CTRA Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 60 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-13 → 2024-10-28
⚠️ Small sample size (60 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, CTRA alerts reach +1.85% profit potential within 122 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.97%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 60 alerts, CTRA typically reaches +1.85% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS
How CTRA compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical CTRA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-28 | 09:27:31 | $23.45 | +0.53% | +0.34% | +0.06% | +0.47% | +1.32% | +1.81% | -0.51% | +0.26% | WIN |
| 2024-10-15 | 09:25:56 | $23.91 | +0.33% | +0.92% | +0.75% | +1.05% | +0.75% | +2.49% | -0.92% | -0.50% | WIN |
| 2024-03-08 | 09:25:13 | $26.32 | -0.68% | -0.17% | - | -0.34% | +0.15% | +0.65% | -0.68% | -0.65% | LOSS |
| 2024-02-23 | 09:25:53 | $26.65 | -2.18% | -2.57% | -3.00% | -3.11% | -2.51% | +0.07% | - | -1.28% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-18 | 09:29:00 | $25.55 | +1.37% | +0.84% | +1.17% | +0.29% | -0.08% | +1.60% | - | +1.06% | WIN |
| 2023-12-14 | 09:25:00 | $25.25 | -0.12% | -0.16% | +0.08% | +0.46% | +1.27% | +1.31% | -0.95% | -0.95% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-11 | 09:26:00 | $24.7 | -0.73% | -0.63% | - | +0.28% | +0.65% | +0.81% | -1.21% | -0.57% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-17 | 09:26:00 | $26.5 | +0.34% | +0.42% | +0.28% | +1.06% | +0.94% | +2.04% | -0.64% | +0.08% | WIN |
| 2023-11-07 | 09:28:00 | $27.25 | +1.28% | +2.06% | +1.41% | +1.65% | +0.73% | +2.90% | +0.22% | +1.83% | WIN |
| 2023-10-24 | 09:25:00 | $28.79 | -0.59% | -0.68% | -0.49% | -0.94% | -1.49% | -0.14% | -0.28% | -0.63% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-08 | 09:26:00 | $26.45 | -0.03% | +1.93% | +3.70% | +1.85% | +4.35% | +4.56% | -0.15% | +0.76% | LOSS |
| 2023-07-14 | 09:27:00 | $26.41 | -1.17% | -1.80% | -1.93% | -2.61% | -3.56% | -0.23% | -0.68% | -0.27% | LOSS |
| 2023-04-03 | 09:27:00 | $25.25 | +0.51% | +0.21% | +0.04% | -0.34% | -0.51% | +1.39% | - | +0.59% | WIN |
| 2023-03-14 | 09:27:00 | $24.47 | +1.10% | +2.04% | +2.80% | +2.27% | +1.72% | +3.84% | +0.16% | +0.16% | WIN |
| 2023-03-13 | 09:27:00 | $24.07 | -1.37% | -0.37% | +2.09% | +2.62% | +1.66% | +4.01% | -1.70% | -0.46% | LOSS |
| 2023-01-11 | 09:27:00 | $25.4 | -0.35% | -0.24% | -0.55% | -1.46% | -2.80% | +0.43% | +0.43% | -0.16% | LOSS |
| 2022-12-13 | 09:25:00 | $25.4 | +0.47% | +0.32% | +0.06% | -1.00% | -1.97% | +0.59% | -0.20% | +0.32% | WIN |
| 2022-12-12 | 09:25:00 | $24.88 | -1.02% | -1.29% | -0.86% | -0.04% | -0.12% | +1.09% | -2.23% | -0.84% | LOSS |
| 2022-11-23 | 09:25:00 | $27.19 | +0.88% | +2.15% | +1.62% | +0.96% | +1.29% | +2.61% | +0.26% | +0.40% | WIN |
| 2022-11-17 | 09:25:00 | $26.08 | -0.38% | +0.46% | +0.23% | +0.61% | +2.76% | +2.84% | -0.50% | +0.38% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ CTRA Shows Negative Expectancy
With 50.0% win rate and -0.15% average gain, CTRA alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider CTRA for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze CTRA with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CTRA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, CTRA historically offers an average upside of +1.85% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 CTRA Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, CTRA shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests CTRA may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: CTRA shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.15%). This suggests CTRA is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.