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CUBI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-03-14 → 2023-03-14

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

CUSTOMERS BANCORP INC STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS (SIC 6022)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Dec 28, 2011 🔗 www.customersbank.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.55B 👥 Employees: 790
Customers Bancorp Inc is a bank holding company engaged in banking activities. It provides financial products and services to small and middle-market businesses, not-for-profits, and consumers. The company operates in Lending Activities, Commercial Lending, Consumer Lending, Private Banking, Deposit Products, Other Funding Sources and Financial Products and Services. The majority of revenue is derived from commercial lending.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
0.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.72%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.91%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.72%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.72%
Best: -0.72%
Worst: -0.72%
Trades: 0/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -4.37%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -4.37%
Best: -4.37%
Worst: -4.37%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -6.87%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -6.87%
Best: -6.87%
Worst: -6.87%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -9.40%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -9.40%
Best: -9.40%
Worst: -9.40%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -13.74%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -13.74%
Best: -13.74%
Worst: -13.74%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.91%
Best MFE: +1.91%
Avg Time to MFE: 8 min

On average, CUBI alerts reach +1.91% profit potential within 8 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -4.53%
Worst MAE: -4.53%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.53%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.42:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, CUBI typically reaches +1.91% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -3.39%
Best Gap -3.39%

🏭 Sector Comparison: STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS

How CUBI compares to 29 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CUBI: -0.72% Sector: -0.03% -0.69%
EOD Gain
CUBI: -13.74% Sector: -0.04% -13.70%
Avg MFE
CUBI: +1.91% Sector: +1.25% +0.66%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CUBI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-03-14 09:25:00 $20.96 -0.72% -4.37% -6.87% -9.40% -13.74% +1.91% -4.53% -3.39% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ CUBI Shows Negative Expectancy

With 0.0% win rate and -0.72% average gain, CUBI alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider CUBI for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze CUBI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CUBI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CUBI historically offers an average upside of +1.91% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CUBI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 0.0%, CUBI shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests CUBI may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: CUBI shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.72%). This suggests CUBI is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.