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CURR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 8 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-12-19 → 2025-01-13

⚠️ Small sample size (8 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Currenc Group Inc. Ordinary Shares SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC (SIC 7389)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Sep 03, 2024 🔗 investors.currencgroup.com
💰 Market Cap: $128.7M 👥 Employees: 244
Currenc Group Inc is a fintech pioneer dedicated to transforming financial services through artificial intelligence (AI). It empowers financial institutions with comprehensive AI solutions, including the SEAMLESS AI Call Centre and other AI-powered tools designed to reduce costs, increase efficiency, and boost customer satisfaction. The Company's digital remittance platform also enables e-wallets, remittance companies, and corporations to provide real-time, 24/7 payment services, advancing financial access across underserved communities. It generates the majority of its geographic revenue from Malaysia.
📊
8
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-3.15%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+25.97%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 28.6%
Avg Gain: -2.01%
Avg Winner: +0.43%
Avg Loser: -2.99%
Best: +0.60%
Worst: -6.36%
Trades: 2/5

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -3.15%
Avg Winner: +5.38%
Avg Loser: -11.67%
Best: +17.47%
Worst: -26.83%
Trades: 4/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -4.00%
Avg Winner: +20.48%
Avg Loser: -12.16%
Best: +33.93%
Worst: -33.48%
Trades: 2/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -5.63%
Avg Winner: +20.74%
Avg Loser: -14.42%
Best: +32.53%
Worst: -39.69%
Trades: 2/6

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 12.5%
Avg Gain: -5.11%
Avg Winner: +34.25%
Avg Loser: -10.74%
Best: +34.25%
Worst: -47.01%
Trades: 1/7

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +25.97%
Best MFE: +142.46%
Avg Time to MFE: 97 min

On average, CURR alerts reach +25.97% profit potential within 97 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -9.24%
Worst MAE: -25.09%
Avg Time to MAE: 14 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 9.24%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.81:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.81x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 8 alerts, CURR typically reaches +25.97% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 20.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 8
Gap Up % 25.0%
Avg Gap -1.24%
Best Gap +3.34%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC

How CURR compares to 59 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CURR: -2.01% Sector: -0.05% -1.97%
EOD Gain
CURR: +0.87% Sector: +1758.96% -1758.09%
Avg MFE
CURR: +29.87% Sector: +2.89% +26.98%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CURR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-13 09:25:29 $2.83 -6.36% -12.37% -16.96% -20.85% -0.35% +20.83% -25.09% -1.77% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:29:03 $2.99 -2.01% -5.68% -8.21% -5.35% -4.35% +8.03% -14.05% +3.34% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:25:40 $2.92 -2.05% +17.47% +33.93% +32.53% +34.25% +142.46% -12.33% -7.19% LOSS
2025-01-02 09:27:50 $1.65 -3.03% -1.82% -6.67% -6.06% -4.85% +3.03% -1.21% -0.61% LOSS
2024-12-24 09:27:37 $1.66 +0.60% +0.49% -3.61% -7.23% -6.02% +5.49% -1.81% -1.81% WIN
2024-12-23 09:28:58 $1.99 -1.50% +3.06% +7.04% +8.95% -11.56% +13.07% -3.02% -1.51% LOSS
2024-12-20 09:25:43 $1.98 +0.25% +0.51% -4.04% -7.32% -1.01% +16.16% -12.63% +2.53% WIN
2024-12-19 09:27:12 $4.51 - -26.83% -33.48% -39.69% -47.01% -1.33% -3.77% -2.88% -

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ CURR Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -3.15% average gain, CURR alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider CURR for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze CURR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CURR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CURR historically offers an average upside of +25.97% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CURR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, CURR shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests CURR may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: CURR shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -3.15%). This suggests CURR is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.