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CVNA Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 446 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-19 → 2025-02-10
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, CVNA alerts reach +6.47% profit potential within 123 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.22%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.91x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 446 alerts, CVNA typically reaches +6.47% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.2% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-AUTO DEALERS & GASOLINE STATIONS
How CVNA compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical CVNA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-10 | 09:28:57 | $264.76 | -1.41% | -1.82% | -0.46% | +0.49% | +1.15% | +2.05% | -2.55% | -0.14% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-08 | 09:29:36 | $203.6 | -0.54% | -1.74% | -1.23% | -4.83% | -3.24% | -0.07% | -0.66% | -0.07% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-07 | 09:26:45 | $199.52 | +0.77% | +1.93% | +2.16% | +1.47% | -0.59% | +3.79% | -0.26% | +0.05% | WIN |
| 2025-01-06 | 09:27:59 | $185.25 | +2.27% | +2.19% | +0.75% | -1.20% | +1.94% | +4.33% | -0.04% | +1.47% | WIN |
| 2025-01-03 | 09:29:11 | $187.04 | +0.11% | +1.28% | +2.15% | +4.61% | -5.28% | +5.59% | -2.12% | +0.62% | WIN |
| 2024-11-06 | 09:29:53 | $246.0 | -2.06% | -1.35% | -2.02% | -2.04% | -2.87% | -0.41% | -0.41% | -0.41% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-05 | 09:28:56 | $230.63 | +0.69% | +1.42% | +1.66% | +1.51% | +2.19% | +2.48% | -0.68% | +0.16% | WIN |
| 2024-11-04 | 09:28:24 | $225.99 | -1.71% | -1.28% | -1.33% | -0.52% | +0.04% | +1.41% | -2.78% | +0.22% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-01 | 09:28:55 | $246.21 | -0.90% | -2.69% | -3.44% | -1.54% | -6.96% | +0.93% | -0.29% | +0.45% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-31 | 09:26:28 | $237.8 | +0.03% | +1.06% | +4.58% | +4.05% | +4.00% | +9.08% | -1.90% | +0.17% | WIN |
| 2024-08-05 | 09:27:36 | $120.8 | -0.54% | +3.83% | +6.37% | +6.42% | +12.04% | +14.69% | -1.90% | -1.28% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-02 | 09:25:03 | $138.84 | -0.90% | +2.64% | -1.98% | -0.67% | -1.18% | +2.89% | -1.40% | +0.70% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-01 | 09:26:10 | $146.6 | -3.93% | -1.87% | +4.07% | +3.21% | -0.05% | +5.05% | -5.34% | +0.50% | LOSS |
| 2024-07-10 | 09:27:47 | $131.37 | +1.16% | +2.60% | +2.57% | -1.16% | -0.30% | +3.94% | -1.42% | +0.10% | WIN |
| 2024-06-06 | 09:25:34 | $108.8 | +0.32% | -1.34% | -1.74% | -3.26% | -3.80% | +1.00% | -1.40% | -0.98% | WIN |
| 2024-05-14 | 09:26:31 | $120.65 | +1.31% | +0.76% | +0.16% | +0.11% | +0.25% | +3.29% | -0.48% | +0.74% | WIN |
| 2024-05-03 | 09:25:12 | $119.55 | -0.02% | -0.80% | -0.07% | -2.66% | +1.77% | +3.89% | -3.15% | -0.29% | LOSS |
| 2024-05-02 | 09:25:35 | $118.7 | +1.34% | -2.70% | +0.34% | -0.64% | -1.85% | +3.03% | -3.76% | +1.05% | WIN |
| 2024-04-29 | 09:28:49 | $85.71 | +3.00% | +0.26% | +1.59% | +0.90% | -2.28% | +3.23% | -0.10% | +0.06% | WIN |
| 2024-04-26 | 09:28:55 | $77.34 | +0.19% | +2.47% | +2.97% | +4.33% | +9.01% | +9.27% | -0.44% | +0.79% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
🚀 Beat the 48.9% Baseline on CVNA
The 48.9% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CVNA's performance to 75%+.
Optimize CVNA Strategy →Why Analyze CVNA with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CVNA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, CVNA historically offers an average upside of +6.47% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 CVNA Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 48.9%, CVNA shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CVNA performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.19%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.