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VRM Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 282 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-28 → 2024-02-01

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 09, 2020 🔗 www.vroom.com
💰 Market Cap: $96.3M 👥 Employees: 710
Vroom Inc is an end-to-end e-commerce platform for the used vehicles industry. The Company's scalable, data-driven technology brings all phases of the car buying and selling process to consumers offering an extensive selection of used vehicles, transparent pricing, competitive financing, and at-home pick-up and delivery. Its two reportable segments are: The UACC reportable segment represents UACC's operations with its network of third-party dealership customers, including the purchases and servicing of vehicle retail installment sales contracts. The CarStory reportable segment represents sales of AI-powered analytics and digital services to automotive dealers, automotive financial services companies and others in the automotive industry.
📊
282
Total Alerts
🎯
77.3%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+4906.42%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+5.71%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.8%
Avg Gain: -0.53%
Avg Winner: +1.27%
Avg Loser: -1.68%
Best: +6.25%
Worst: -9.48%
Trades: 95/161

15MIN

Win Rate: 40.6%
Avg Gain: -0.45%
Avg Winner: +2.91%
Avg Loser: -2.92%
Best: +9.41%
Worst: -15.11%
Trades: 114/157

30MIN

Win Rate: 40.9%
Avg Gain: -0.28%
Avg Winner: +4.00%
Avg Loser: -3.48%
Best: +17.26%
Worst: -17.86%
Trades: 115/155

60MIN

Win Rate: 43.8%
Avg Gain: -0.17%
Avg Winner: +4.58%
Avg Loser: -4.01%
Best: +25.42%
Worst: -21.92%
Trades: 123/152

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 77.3%
Avg Gain: +4906.42%
Avg Winner: +6348.44%
Avg Loser: -5.86%
Best: +10457.38%
Worst: -32.71%
Trades: 218/60

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.71%
Best MFE: +47.54%
Avg Time to MFE: 95 min

On average, VRM alerts reach +5.71% profit potential within 95 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.27%
Worst MAE: -12.93%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.27%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.52:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.52x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 282 alerts, VRM typically reaches +5.71% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 282
Gap Up % 24.1%
Avg Gap -0.37%
Best Gap +3.12%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-AUTO DEALERS & GASOLINE STATIONS

How VRM compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
VRM: -0.53% Sector: -0.27% -0.27%
EOD Gain
VRM: +4923.87% Sector: +3463.44% +1460.44%
Avg MFE
VRM: +5.72% Sector: +5.90% -0.18%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical VRM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-02-01 00:00:00 $0.24 - - - - +1.00% +3.25% -3.59% +0.13% -
2023-12-27 09:28:00 $0.64 +0.62% +0.02% -2.12% -0.62% +7646.25% +1.56% - +0.02% WIN
2023-12-26 09:29:00 $0.69 -2.41% -5.55% -5.47% -7.80% -9.12% +0.17% -2.72% -0.54% LOSS
2023-12-21 09:26:00 $0.75 +1.92% -2.76% -0.75% -1.14% +7945.06% +1.92% -0.01% +0.21% WIN
2023-12-18 09:28:00 $0.77 -3.63% -1.13% +1.56% +2.89% +8444.86% +10.98% -4.79% -1.55% LOSS
2023-12-15 09:27:00 $0.76 -1.89% -2.87% -2.51% -3.80% +7728.62% -1.24% -4.79% -2.46% LOSS
2023-12-14 09:27:00 $0.69 +0.65% +0.48% +2.10% +0.22% +8451.88% +14.49% -2.43% +0.14% WIN
2023-12-11 09:29:00 $0.7 -1.34% -1.30% -2.64% -2.93% +7562.62% +1.50% -1.36% -1.27% LOSS
2023-12-04 09:26:00 $0.67 - +8.88% +7.46% +10.71% +3.10% +14.89% -1.51% -1.51% -
2023-12-01 09:29:00 $0.66 -0.06% -1.57% -0.83% -1.57% +8334.89% +5.47% -3.09% +0.70% LOSS
2023-11-30 09:27:00 $0.68 -1.21% -2.98% -3.06% -2.73% +7660.07% +2.91% -3.93% -0.03% LOSS
2023-11-29 09:26:00 $0.65 -0.14% +2.43% +4.48% +2.03% +8207.69% +6.09% -4.62% -4.62% LOSS
2023-11-16 09:25:00 $0.84 -1.21% -3.58% -0.77% -5.10% +7233.33% +3.56% -5.83% -2.38% LOSS
2023-11-15 09:25:00 $0.8 +1.11% +3.86% +7.34% +8.76% +8093.73% +9.72% -0.01% +1.22% WIN
2023-11-14 09:26:00 $0.77 +2.62% +3.29% +3.56% +1.34% +8143.18% +11.72% -0.25% -0.05% WIN
2023-11-09 09:25:00 $0.82 -1.07% -1.21% -0.16% -1.13% +7421.95% +1.22% -1.22% - LOSS
2023-11-08 09:28:00 $0.87 -0.33% +1.38% +4.88% -0.57% -8.35% +8.20% -3.41% -0.33% LOSS
2023-11-07 09:26:00 $1.01 +2.94% +2.00% +4.94% +4.93% +6.93% +8.91% -0.99% -0.99% WIN
2023-11-06 09:27:00 $1.07 +0.93% -0.47% -5.50% -6.54% +7750.47% +1.87% -1.40% -0.93% WIN
2023-11-03 09:29:00 $0.94 +3.94% +8.50% +10.63% +6.37% +8665.96% +14.89% -0.01% - WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 77.3% Baseline on VRM

The 77.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push VRM's performance to 75%+.

Optimize VRM Strategy →

Why Analyze VRM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for VRM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, VRM historically offers an average upside of +5.71% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 VRM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 77.3%, VRM shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show VRM performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +4906.42%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.