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CWAN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 25 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-03-09 → 2024-12-23

⚠️ Small sample size (25 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc. SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE (SIC 7372)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 24, 2021 🔗 www.clearwateranalytics.com
💰 Market Cap: $7.09B 👥 Employees: 1,915
Clearwater Analytics describes its mission as aiming to be the world's most trusted and comprehensive technology platform for the entire investment cycle. Clearwater has historically focused on back-office functions such as investment accounting, but with acquisitions such Enfusion, Beacon, and Bistro, the firm has broadened its focus with front-office and middle-office capabilities. Clearwater primarily serves insurance companies, asset managers, hedge funds, and corporate treasuries. Pro forma for Enfusion, about 76% of Clearwater's revenue is generated in the US.
📊
25
Total Alerts
🎯
52.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.04%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+1.89%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 45.8%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.74%
Avg Loser: -0.92%
Best: +2.13%
Worst: -2.54%
Trades: 11/10

15MIN

Win Rate: 52.0%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.88%
Avg Loser: -1.03%
Best: +2.98%
Worst: -2.81%
Trades: 13/12

30MIN

Win Rate: 48.0%
Avg Gain: +0.15%
Avg Winner: +1.63%
Avg Loser: -1.21%
Best: +2.88%
Worst: -3.19%
Trades: 12/13

60MIN

Win Rate: 44.0%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +1.94%
Avg Loser: -1.32%
Best: +3.86%
Worst: -3.02%
Trades: 11/14

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 44.0%
Avg Gain: +0.21%
Avg Winner: +2.19%
Avg Loser: -1.34%
Best: +4.76%
Worst: -2.78%
Trades: 11/14

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.89%
Best MFE: +8.21%
Avg Time to MFE: 166 min

On average, CWAN alerts reach +1.89% profit potential within 166 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.89%
Worst MAE: -4.04%
Avg Time to MAE: 18 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.89%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.12:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.12x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 25 alerts, CWAN typically reaches +1.89% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 25
Gap Up % 52.0%
Avg Gap -0.10%
Best Gap +1.32%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

How CWAN compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CWAN: -0.05% Sector: -0.09% +0.04%
EOD Gain
CWAN: +0.25% Sector: +73.64% -73.39%
Avg MFE
CWAN: +1.63% Sector: +4.32% -2.70%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CWAN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-23 09:26:01 $28.7 -0.87% -1.05% -2.02% -2.04% -1.78% -0.31% -1.60% -1.11% LOSS
2024-12-02 09:29:46 $31.04 -0.06% +0.74% +1.13% +0.97% +0.13% +1.74% -0.74% +0.26% LOSS
2024-11-19 09:28:42 $29.42 +1.43% +1.78% +2.18% +2.86% +4.76% +4.81% -1.22% -0.20% WIN
2024-11-12 09:28:59 $28.94 +0.74% +0.48% +1.49% +1.73% +2.94% +3.49% -1.14% -0.48% WIN
2024-11-07 09:29:00 $33.0 - +0.29% +2.88% +3.79% -0.64% +8.21% -2.27% -0.42% -
2024-10-08 09:29:35 $25.7 -1.01% -0.89% -0.60% -1.30% -2.18% -0.23% -0.86% -0.86% LOSS
2024-09-03 09:29:15 $24.78 +0.16% -0.08% -0.93% -0.52% -2.78% +0.61% -0.28% -0.28% WIN
2024-08-28 09:27:19 $24.62 -0.97% -1.14% -0.77% -1.12% -1.38% -0.28% -0.89% -0.77% LOSS
2024-08-09 09:25:06 $22.5 - +0.93% -0.44% -0.67% -0.44% +1.16% -0.67% - -
2024-08-02 09:26:15 $23.52 -2.54% -2.81% -3.19% -3.02% +1.02% +1.66% -4.04% -1.32% LOSS
2024-07-11 09:25:50 $18.0 - +0.31% +1.31% +0.67% +3.11% +3.56% -0.33% +0.06% -
2024-07-01 09:25:41 $18.52 +0.35% -0.89% -1.86% -1.35% -0.97% +0.92% +0.27% +0.27% WIN
2024-06-27 09:29:30 $18.63 - +0.56% +1.29% +1.66% -1.02% +2.15% -0.27% +0.43% -
2024-06-11 09:28:07 $19.45 +0.10% +1.16% +2.67% +2.01% +3.34% +3.62% -0.87% +0.15% WIN
2024-06-05 09:29:02 $19.07 +1.00% -0.16% +1.10% +1.23% +2.57% +2.73% -0.84% +0.21% WIN
2024-04-01 09:29:28 $17.69 -0.51% +0.11% -0.79% -1.58% -2.49% +0.25% +0.06% +0.06% LOSS
2024-03-25 09:28:05 $17.33 +0.06% +0.12% +0.35% +0.09% -1.67% +0.46% -0.12% +0.17% WIN
2024-03-07 09:28:48 $16.89 -0.83% -0.68% -0.89% -1.42% -1.12% +0.47% -0.47% +0.36% LOSS
2023-12-19 09:29:00 $19.67 +0.28% -0.10% -0.41% -0.46% +0.61% +0.66% -0.92% +0.10% WIN
2023-12-01 09:25:00 $19.7 -0.54% +0.06% +0.48% -0.76% +0.30% +1.12% -1.62% -0.51% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ CWAN Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 52.0% win rate, CWAN has -0.04% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making CWAN profitable.

🔧 Fix CWAN Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze CWAN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CWAN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CWAN historically offers an average upside of +1.89% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CWAN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 52.0%, CWAN shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.03%) outweigh average wins (+0.88%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: CWAN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.04%). This suggests CWAN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.