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CZR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 46 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-28 → 2025-01-27

⚠️ Small sample size (46 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Caesars Entertainment, Inc. Common Stock HOTELS & MOTELS (SIC 7011)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Sep 19, 2014 🔗 www.caesars.com
💰 Market Cap: $4.77B 👥 Employees: 50,000
Caesars Entertainment includes about 50 domestic gaming properties across the Las Vegas (47% of the estimated 2025 EBITDAR before corporate expenses) and regional (49%) markets. Additionally, the company hosts managed properties and digital assets that produced marginal EBITDA in 2024. Caesars' US presence roughly doubled with the 2020 acquisition by Eldorado, which built its first casino in Reno, Nevada, in 1973 and expanded its presence through prior acquisitions to over 20 properties before merging with legacy Caesars. Caesars' brands include Caesars, Harrah's, Tropicana, Bally's, Isle, and Flamingo. Also, the company owns the US portion of William Hill (it sold the international operation in 2022), a digital sports betting platform.
📊
46
Total Alerts
🎯
63.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.18%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.91%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 63.0%
Avg Gain: +0.18%
Avg Winner: +0.70%
Avg Loser: -0.70%
Best: +2.62%
Worst: -2.93%
Trades: 29/17

15MIN

Win Rate: 56.5%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.92%
Avg Loser: -1.10%
Best: +2.68%
Worst: -5.84%
Trades: 26/19

30MIN

Win Rate: 47.8%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +1.11%
Avg Loser: -1.22%
Best: +2.66%
Worst: -4.01%
Trades: 22/22

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.7%
Avg Gain: -0.32%
Avg Winner: +1.16%
Avg Loser: -1.70%
Best: +3.36%
Worst: -4.48%
Trades: 21/23

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 32.6%
Avg Gain: -0.85%
Avg Winner: +2.03%
Avg Loser: -2.25%
Best: +4.47%
Worst: -5.46%
Trades: 15/31

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.91%
Best MFE: +5.48%
Avg Time to MFE: 94 min

On average, CZR alerts reach +1.91% profit potential within 94 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.77%
Worst MAE: -6.43%
Avg Time to MAE: 16 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.77%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.47:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.47x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 46 alerts, CZR typically reaches +1.91% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 46
Gap Up % 52.2%
Avg Gap -0.06%
Best Gap +1.93%

🏭 Sector Comparison: HOTELS & MOTELS

How CZR compares to 15 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CZR: +0.18% Sector: +0.06% +0.12%
EOD Gain
CZR: -0.85% Sector: -0.05% -0.80%
Avg MFE
CZR: +1.91% Sector: +2.24% -0.33%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CZR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-27 09:27:12 $34.48 +0.04% +1.19% +1.60% +0.90% +1.57% +2.03% -0.46% -0.46% WIN
2024-12-05 09:26:55 $38.25 +0.39% +0.72% +0.97% +0.29% -0.92% +1.66% -0.63% +0.73% WIN
2024-11-05 09:29:42 $39.56 -1.26% -0.80% -0.96% -1.57% -1.95% +0.51% -0.46% -0.13% LOSS
2024-10-09 09:27:32 $43.78 -1.48% -0.37% -0.25% +0.95% +1.44% +2.72% -1.78% -1.42% LOSS
2024-10-08 09:26:51 $44.46 +0.04% -0.88% -2.27% -2.18% -2.74% +0.29% -0.92% -0.92% WIN
2024-09-30 09:26:49 $41.47 -0.12% +1.33% +0.77% +0.58% +0.65% +1.83% -0.36% -0.12% LOSS
2024-09-24 09:29:05 $41.4 +1.06% +0.58% +0.29% -0.70% -1.33% +1.86% +0.56% +1.43% WIN
2024-09-04 09:27:25 $36.27 +1.32% +2.10% +2.66% +3.36% +2.23% +4.49% -0.74% -0.58% WIN
2024-07-15 09:29:34 $39.49 +0.76% +0.35% +0.44% +0.30% -0.68% +1.52% -0.63% -0.30% WIN
2024-06-27 09:28:03 $38.0 +0.51% +1.82% +2.14% +2.89% +2.71% +4.47% -0.03% +0.32% WIN
2024-05-21 09:27:39 $35.96 -0.19% -1.61% -2.35% -2.11% -1.03% +0.86% -0.42% -0.31% LOSS
2024-05-10 09:27:34 $37.39 +0.03% -0.05% - -0.70% -3.24% +0.56% -0.19% -0.11% WIN
2024-04-26 09:27:46 $37.39 -0.24% +1.18% +1.77% - -2.09% +2.09% -0.59% +0.16% LOSS
2024-03-14 09:28:22 $41.48 -0.19% -0.51% -0.89% -1.06% -3.76% +0.46% -0.07% +0.24% LOSS
2024-02-08 09:27:32 $43.21 +1.23% +0.71% +1.56% +1.81% +2.41% +2.82% +0.28% +0.81% WIN
2023-11-08 09:29:00 $44.27 +0.61% +1.51% +0.34% -0.07% -0.43% +1.56% -0.23% +0.23% WIN
2023-10-25 09:28:00 $40.34 -0.41% -0.47% -0.30% -0.68% -4.46% +0.67% -1.14% -0.22% LOSS
2023-10-24 09:25:00 $41.8 +0.56% -0.07% -0.05% +0.74% -0.33% +1.46% -0.67% +0.19% WIN
2023-10-17 09:29:00 $43.95 -0.14% +1.09% +1.30% +1.46% -0.18% +2.02% -1.80% -1.80% LOSS
2023-06-12 09:25:00 $48.51 +0.81% +1.75% +2.33% +2.99% +2.51% +3.90% -0.06% +0.97% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 63.0% Baseline on CZR

The 63.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CZR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CZR Strategy →

Why Analyze CZR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CZR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CZR historically offers an average upside of +1.91% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CZR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 63.0%, CZR shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CZR performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.18%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.