Latest signal:
PENN Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 56 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-24 → 2025-01-13
⚠️ Small sample size (56 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, PENN alerts reach +2.85% profit potential within 145 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.25%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.28x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 56 alerts, PENN typically reaches +2.85% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.3% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: HOTELS & MOTELS
How PENN compares to 15 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical PENN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-13 | 09:27:55 | $19.2 | +1.46% | +3.02% | +3.44% | -0.26% | +2.97% | +5.47% | -0.73% | +0.36% | WIN |
| 2024-11-20 | 09:26:23 | $20.42 | -0.59% | -1.71% | -2.00% | -1.71% | -1.96% | -0.15% | -1.03% | -0.78% | LOSS |
| 2024-09-18 | 09:29:30 | $19.87 | -0.43% | -0.50% | -0.72% | -1.41% | -1.26% | +2.52% | -1.77% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-09-06 | 09:26:28 | $18.91 | -0.21% | -0.26% | - | +0.50% | -4.44% | +1.61% | -0.63% | +0.21% | LOSS |
| 2024-07-12 | 09:26:45 | $20.98 | +0.10% | -1.05% | -1.24% | -0.02% | -1.91% | +1.86% | -1.90% | +0.05% | WIN |
| 2024-06-27 | 09:27:17 | $18.3 | -0.33% | +0.05% | +0.11% | +0.52% | +3.22% | +3.28% | -1.26% | +0.38% | LOSS |
| 2024-06-21 | 09:29:44 | $19.78 | -0.40% | -1.57% | -1.31% | -1.42% | +0.25% | +1.34% | -3.82% | +0.10% | LOSS |
| 2024-06-14 | 09:28:51 | $18.83 | -1.06% | -4.67% | -5.89% | -7.33% | -7.59% | +0.27% | -0.37% | -0.05% | LOSS |
| 2024-05-31 | 09:27:54 | $15.65 | -1.82% | +1.05% | -0.26% | +4.41% | +11.82% | +12.46% | -3.51% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-05-28 | 09:29:41 | $16.09 | -1.24% | -1.09% | -0.50% | -0.75% | -6.15% | +0.37% | -0.56% | -0.37% | LOSS |
| 2024-05-02 | 09:25:44 | $16.2 | -8.46% | -13.18% | -16.33% | -10.43% | -7.41% | +1.60% | +0.68% | -1.05% | LOSS |
| 2024-05-01 | 09:29:41 | $16.43 | -0.18% | +0.33% | +0.43% | +0.82% | +0.06% | +4.20% | -0.97% | -0.06% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-26 | 09:28:50 | $16.98 | -1.88% | +0.97% | +0.94% | +0.41% | -0.71% | +1.71% | -2.59% | +0.18% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-23 | 09:27:10 | $17.67 | -0.74% | -0.40% | -2.15% | -1.16% | -1.36% | +1.81% | -1.23% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-04-12 | 09:26:24 | $16.91 | -1.36% | -1.48% | -0.77% | +0.21% | -1.24% | +0.90% | -1.72% | -1.36% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-10 | 09:28:15 | $17.61 | -0.85% | -2.21% | -1.87% | -1.31% | -3.86% | +0.57% | +0.01% | +0.40% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-26 | 09:28:25 | $17.97 | -1.59% | -0.37% | +1.17% | +1.03% | -1.00% | +2.78% | -2.78% | -1.61% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-25 | 09:25:45 | $17.25 | +0.46% | +0.46% | +0.06% | -0.90% | -1.28% | +0.87% | -0.70% | -0.17% | WIN |
| 2024-03-07 | 09:25:22 | $17.81 | +0.22% | +1.74% | +2.27% | +3.42% | +3.87% | +4.27% | +0.06% | +0.56% | WIN |
| 2024-03-01 | 09:25:58 | $18.24 | -1.48% | -3.15% | -1.04% | +1.40% | +1.43% | +3.62% | -3.45% | -0.16% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ PENN Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 51.8% win rate, PENN has -0.10% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making PENN profitable.
🔧 Fix PENN Risk/Reward →Why Analyze PENN with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PENN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, PENN historically offers an average upside of +2.85% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 PENN Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 51.8%, PENN shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-2.05%) outweigh average wins (+1.71%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: PENN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.10%). This suggests PENN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.