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Latest signal:

DBA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 14 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-24 → 2024-11-22

⚠️ Small sample size (14 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Nov 25, 2008
📊
14
Total Alerts
🎯
71.4%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.00%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+0.78%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +0.26%
Avg Loser: -0.46%
Best: +0.68%
Worst: -0.86%
Trades: 7/7

15MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.17%
Avg Winner: +0.42%
Avg Loser: -0.60%
Best: +0.71%
Worst: -2.17%
Trades: 6/8

30MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.20%
Avg Winner: +0.49%
Avg Loser: -0.71%
Best: +0.80%
Worst: -2.42%
Trades: 6/8

60MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +0.57%
Avg Loser: -0.69%
Best: +1.03%
Worst: -2.42%
Trades: 6/8

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.59%
Avg Loser: -1.98%
Best: +1.10%
Worst: -2.92%
Trades: 10/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.78%
Best MFE: +1.42%
Avg Time to MFE: 168 min

On average, DBA alerts reach +0.78% profit potential within 168 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.37%
Worst MAE: -1.00%
Avg Time to MAE: 18 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.37%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.12:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.12x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 14 alerts, DBA typically reaches +0.78% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 14
Gap Up % 64.3%
Avg Gap +0.10%
Best Gap +0.61%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS

How DBA compares to 41 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
DBA: -0.10% Sector: -0.01% -0.09%
EOD Gain
DBA: -0.00% Sector: +257.70% -257.70%
Avg MFE
DBA: +0.78% Sector: +1.89% -1.11%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical DBA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-22 09:26:41 $26.32 +0.68% +0.70% +0.80% +0.99% +0.72% +1.25% +0.61% +0.61% WIN
2024-05-29 09:27:35 $25.46 +0.46% +0.71% +0.20% +0.79% - +1.24% +0.16% +0.35% WIN
2022-08-15 09:25:00 $20.45 +0.05% -0.15% -0.10% -0.05% +0.34% +0.57% -0.29% +0.10% WIN
2022-04-13 09:25:00 $22.59 +0.27% -0.04% -0.33% -0.07% +0.40% +0.49% -0.35% +0.22% WIN
2022-04-12 09:25:00 $22.6 +0.13% +0.35% +0.35% +0.15% +0.49% +0.75% +0.04% +0.27% WIN
2022-03-29 09:25:00 $21.58 -0.23% -0.49% -0.46% +0.14% +0.79% +1.25% -0.83% +0.14% LOSS
2022-03-21 09:25:00 $21.85 +0.05% +0.50% +0.73% +1.03% +1.10% +1.42% - +0.05% WIN
2022-03-09 09:25:00 $22.02 -0.78% -0.68% -0.79% -0.82% -0.73% -0.05% -1.00% -0.05% LOSS
2022-03-07 09:25:00 $22.21 -0.86% -0.68% -1.26% -1.16% +0.09% +0.36% -0.86% +0.09% LOSS
2022-03-04 09:25:00 $22.35 -0.36% -0.58% +0.51% -0.56% -2.28% +1.30% -0.86% -0.13% LOSS
2022-03-01 09:25:00 $21.3 -0.02% +0.00% -0.05% -0.14% +0.66% +1.08% -0.33% +0.09% LOSS
2022-02-24 09:25:00 $21.93 -0.73% -2.17% -2.42% -2.42% -2.92% - -0.59% -0.23% LOSS
2022-01-28 09:25:00 $20.04 +0.15% +0.25% +0.36% +0.30% +0.70% +0.70% -0.10% -0.05% WIN
2022-01-24 09:25:00 $20.0 -0.25% -0.05% -0.30% -0.30% +0.60% +0.55% -0.72% - LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ DBA Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 71.4% win rate, DBA has -0.00% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making DBA profitable.

🔧 Fix DBA Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze DBA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for DBA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, DBA historically offers an average upside of +0.78% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 DBA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 71.4%, DBA shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: DBA shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.00%). This suggests DBA is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.