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DBO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 15 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-02 → 2024-05-20

⚠️ Small sample size (15 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Nov 25, 2008
📊
15
Total Alerts
🎯
42.9%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-0.11%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+0.98%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 20.0%
Avg Gain: -0.09%
Avg Winner: +0.48%
Avg Loser: -0.26%
Best: +1.09%
Worst: -0.81%
Trades: 3/11

15MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.47%
Avg Loser: -0.32%
Best: +0.97%
Worst: -0.69%
Trades: 6/9

30MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.64%
Avg Loser: -0.49%
Best: +1.60%
Worst: -0.87%
Trades: 6/8

60MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.95%
Avg Loser: -0.91%
Best: +2.88%
Worst: -1.52%
Trades: 6/8

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.44%
Avg Winner: +0.94%
Avg Loser: -1.36%
Best: +1.77%
Worst: -2.56%
Trades: 6/9

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.98%
Best MFE: +3.62%
Avg Time to MFE: 84 min

On average, DBO alerts reach +0.98% profit potential within 84 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.39%
Worst MAE: -1.64%
Avg Time to MAE: 19 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.39%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.49:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.49x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 15 alerts, DBO typically reaches +0.98% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 15
Gap Up % 26.7%
Avg Gap -0.09%
Best Gap +1.00%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS

How DBO compares to 41 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
DBO: -0.06% Sector: -0.01% -0.06%
EOD Gain
DBO: -0.43% Sector: +257.70% -258.13%
Avg MFE
DBO: +1.01% Sector: +1.89% -0.88%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical DBO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-05-20 09:26:11 $15.54 -0.58% -0.32% -0.16% +0.26% +0.13% +0.45% -0.64% -0.64% LOSS
2024-03-01 09:25:14 $14.82 -0.47% -0.20% -0.34% - -0.54% +0.53% -0.54% -0.47% LOSS
2023-11-27 09:25:00 $15.47 -0.06% -0.26% +0.06% +0.45% -0.52% +1.16% -0.58% +0.06% LOSS
2023-11-20 09:26:00 $15.89 -0.03% +0.08% - +0.82% +0.25% +1.26% -0.31% +0.13% LOSS
2023-11-13 09:29:00 $15.85 +0.13% +0.69% +0.68% +0.69% +1.45% +1.45% -0.13% -0.13% WIN
2023-11-03 09:27:00 $16.76 -0.81% -0.42% +0.42% -0.90% -1.55% +0.54% -0.95% -0.90% LOSS
2023-10-11 09:27:00 $16.73 -0.18% +0.18% -0.18% -0.90% -0.66% +0.24% -0.18% -0.06% LOSS
2023-09-29 09:26:00 $18.02 -0.11% -0.55% -0.78% -1.33% -2.05% -0.11% -0.17% -0.17% LOSS
2023-09-22 09:29:00 $17.93 - -0.11% +0.06% -0.28% -1.23% +0.11% -0.06% - -
2023-09-05 09:29:00 $17.03 +1.09% +0.97% +1.00% +0.59% +0.59% +1.88% +0.12% +1.00% WIN
2022-12-08 09:25:00 $14.48 -0.21% -0.69% -0.69% -1.52% -2.56% - -0.55% - LOSS
2022-10-18 09:25:00 $16.11 -0.19% +0.19% -0.87% -1.43% -1.24% +0.31% -0.31% -0.31% LOSS
2022-09-02 09:25:00 $16.9 +0.24% -0.12% -0.53% -0.12% -1.89% +0.41% +0.24% +0.35% WIN
2022-08-05 09:25:00 $16.3 -0.06% +0.74% +1.60% +2.88% +1.47% +3.62% -0.18% -0.12% LOSS
2022-03-02 09:25:00 $16.42 -0.12% -0.24% -0.37% -0.79% +1.77% +2.86% -1.64% -0.06% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ DBO Shows Negative Expectancy

With 42.9% win rate and -0.11% average gain, DBO alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider DBO for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze DBO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for DBO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, DBO historically offers an average upside of +0.98% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 DBO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 42.9%, DBO shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests DBO may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: DBO shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.11%). This suggests DBO is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.