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DBX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 13 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-04 → 2024-02-29

⚠️ Small sample size (13 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 23, 2018 🔗 www.dropbox.com
💰 Market Cap: $6.59B 👥 Employees: 2,204
Dropbox provides cloud storage and content collaboration tools, focusing on individuals and small to midsize businesses. Founded in 2007, Dropbox was a pioneer in the file sync and share market. In recent years, the firm has been emphasizing its Dash product, which facilitates AI-powered universal search across unstructured cloud data.
📊
13
Total Alerts
🎯
53.8%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.00%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.52%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 53.8%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.73%
Avg Loser: -0.85%
Best: +1.59%
Worst: -2.56%
Trades: 7/6

15MIN

Win Rate: 46.2%
Avg Gain: -0.20%
Avg Winner: +1.23%
Avg Loser: -1.42%
Best: +3.37%
Worst: -3.82%
Trades: 6/7

30MIN

Win Rate: 46.2%
Avg Gain: -0.49%
Avg Winner: +1.06%
Avg Loser: -1.82%
Best: +2.90%
Worst: -4.94%
Trades: 6/7

60MIN

Win Rate: 38.5%
Avg Gain: -1.15%
Avg Winner: +0.97%
Avg Loser: -2.48%
Best: +1.85%
Worst: -6.15%
Trades: 5/8

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 30.8%
Avg Gain: -1.26%
Avg Winner: +1.33%
Avg Loser: -2.42%
Best: +2.22%
Worst: -10.91%
Trades: 4/9

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.52%
Best MFE: +4.89%
Avg Time to MFE: 49 min

On average, DBX alerts reach +1.52% profit potential within 49 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.72%
Worst MAE: -2.00%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.72%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.11:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.11x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 13 alerts, DBX typically reaches +1.52% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 13
Gap Up % 53.8%
Avg Gap -0.02%
Best Gap +0.53%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

How DBX compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
DBX: -0.00% Sector: -0.09% +0.09%
EOD Gain
DBX: -1.26% Sector: +73.64% -74.90%
Avg MFE
DBX: +1.52% Sector: +4.32% -2.80%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical DBX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-02-29 09:26:20 $24.16 -0.62% -0.99% -1.99% -2.32% -0.87% - - -0.62% LOSS
2024-02-20 09:28:52 $24.86 -0.32% -1.97% -2.70% -3.36% -2.53% +1.11% -0.24% +0.08% LOSS
2024-02-16 09:26:55 $28.15 -2.56% -3.82% -4.94% -6.15% -10.91% +0.18% -1.60% -0.60% LOSS
2023-06-21 09:28:00 $26.04 +0.69% +0.35% +0.36% -1.59% -1.11% +0.94% -0.61% -0.38% WIN
2023-05-18 09:29:00 $22.33 -0.65% +0.09% -0.18% +0.22% +1.07% +1.21% -0.81% -0.31% LOSS
2023-01-11 09:25:00 $22.73 -0.84% -0.29% +0.09% +0.92% +0.57% +1.10% -1.23% -0.48% LOSS
2022-10-25 09:25:00 $21.64 +0.97% +1.29% +2.40% +1.85% +2.22% +2.63% +0.42% +0.51% WIN
2022-08-30 09:25:00 $21.84 +0.27% +0.50% +0.50% -0.92% -0.92% +1.05% - +0.05% WIN
2022-08-01 09:25:00 $22.53 -0.13% -1.51% -0.20% +1.20% +1.46% +2.60% -2.00% -0.04% LOSS
2022-07-12 09:25:00 $22.44 +0.36% +1.78% +0.09% -1.52% -3.30% +2.05% +0.13% +0.18% WIN
2022-07-11 09:25:00 $22.62 +0.09% -1.11% -1.66% -1.46% -0.62% +0.57% -0.04% +0.53% WIN
2022-02-18 09:25:00 $23.12 +1.59% +3.37% +2.90% +0.65% -0.43% +4.89% -1.99% +0.52% WIN
2022-01-04 09:25:00 $24.85 +1.13% -0.28% -1.09% -2.54% -1.09% +1.49% -1.41% +0.32% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ DBX Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 53.8% win rate, DBX has -0.00% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making DBX profitable.

🔧 Fix DBX Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze DBX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for DBX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, DBX historically offers an average upside of +1.52% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 DBX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 53.8%, DBX shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: DBX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.00%). This suggests DBX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.