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DCO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-05-16 → 2023-05-16

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 30, 1972 🔗 www.ducommun.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.69B 👥 Employees: 2,180
Ducommun Inc provides engineering & manufacturing services for high-performance products & high-cost-of failure applications used in the aerospace and defense, industrial, medical & other industries. The company's reportable segments are Structural Systems & Electronic Systems. Structural Systems designs, engineers and manufactures various sizes of complex contoured aerostructure components and assemblies and supplies composite and metal bonded structures and assemblies. Electronic Systems designs, engineers and manufactures high-reliability electronic and electromechanical products used in technology-driven markets including A&D and Industrial end-use markets. It generates maximum of its revenue from the Electronic Systems.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
0.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.05%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+0.48%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.05%
Best: -0.05%
Worst: -0.05%
Trades: 0/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.17%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.17%
Best: -1.17%
Worst: -1.17%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.82%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.82%
Best: -0.82%
Worst: -0.82%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.43%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.43%
Best: -2.43%
Worst: -2.43%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.98%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.98%
Best: -1.98%
Worst: -1.98%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.48%
Best MFE: +0.48%
Avg Time to MFE: 2 min

On average, DCO alerts reach +0.48% profit potential within 2 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.21%
Worst MAE: -0.21%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.21%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.22:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.22x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, DCO typically reaches +0.48% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap +0.00%
Best Gap +0.00%

🏭 Sector Comparison: AIRCRAFT PARTS & AUXILIARY EQUIPMENT, NEC

How DCO compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
DCO: -0.05% Sector: -0.65% +0.61%
EOD Gain
DCO: -1.98% Sector: +196.14% -198.11%
Avg MFE
DCO: +0.48% Sector: +8.43% -7.96%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical DCO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-05-16 09:25:00 $42.0 -0.05% -1.17% -0.82% -2.43% -1.98% +0.48% -0.21% - LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ DCO Shows Negative Expectancy

With 0.0% win rate and -0.05% average gain, DCO alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider DCO for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze DCO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for DCO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, DCO historically offers an average upside of +0.48% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 DCO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 0.0%, DCO shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests DCO may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: DCO shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.05%). This suggests DCO is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.