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DDOG Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 161 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-06 → 2025-02-13

🏢 Company Profile

Datadog, Inc. Class A Common Stock SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE (SIC 7372)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Sep 19, 2019 🔗 www.datadog.com
💰 Market Cap: $45.63B 👥 Employees: 3,000
Datadog is a cloud-native company that focuses on analyzing machine data. The firm's product portfolio, delivered via software as a service, enables clients to monitor and analyze their entire information technology infrastructure, from servers to applications and Python scripts. Datadog's platform can ingest and analyze large amounts of machine-generated data in real time, allowing clients to utilize it for a variety of applications throughout their businesses to ensure uptime and latency objectives.
📊
161
Total Alerts
🎯
56.9%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.30%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+2.95%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 56.9%
Avg Gain: +0.30%
Avg Winner: +1.12%
Avg Loser: -0.78%
Best: +5.74%
Worst: -2.97%
Trades: 91/69

15MIN

Win Rate: 56.2%
Avg Gain: +0.37%
Avg Winner: +1.61%
Avg Loser: -1.22%
Best: +7.72%
Worst: -4.03%
Trades: 90/70

30MIN

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: +0.49%
Avg Winner: +2.01%
Avg Loser: -1.42%
Best: +7.89%
Worst: -6.28%
Trades: 89/70

60MIN

Win Rate: 54.4%
Avg Gain: +0.49%
Avg Winner: +2.38%
Avg Loser: -1.75%
Best: +10.25%
Worst: -5.92%
Trades: 87/73

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 51.6%
Avg Gain: +0.36%
Avg Winner: +2.75%
Avg Loser: -2.17%
Best: +12.76%
Worst: -6.48%
Trades: 83/78

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.95%
Best MFE: +14.85%
Avg Time to MFE: 114 min

On average, DDOG alerts reach +2.95% profit potential within 114 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.90%
Worst MAE: -5.60%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.90%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.28:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.28x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 161 alerts, DDOG typically reaches +2.95% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 161
Gap Up % 47.8%
Avg Gap +0.03%
Best Gap +2.55%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

How DDOG compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
DDOG: +0.30% Sector: -0.09% +0.39%
EOD Gain
DDOG: +0.36% Sector: +73.64% -73.28%
Avg MFE
DDOG: +2.96% Sector: +4.32% -1.37%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical DDOG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-13 09:25:08 $136.98 -0.77% -2.91% -1.89% -3.26% -0.80% +0.44% -0.47% -0.31% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:28:37 $136.43 +1.49% +2.83% +4.41% +6.82% +4.20% +7.44% +0.32% +0.78% WIN
2025-01-22 09:26:06 $140.0 -0.58% -0.92% -0.22% -0.50% +0.09% +0.29% -0.38% -0.01% LOSS
2025-01-16 09:27:17 $137.62 +0.28% +0.77% -1.54% -1.09% -0.60% +0.86% -0.44% -0.08% WIN
2024-12-20 09:26:16 $145.87 -0.10% +0.16% +0.60% +1.42% +2.46% +2.94% -1.28% -0.52% LOSS
2024-12-11 09:26:58 $156.88 -0.83% -1.63% -1.56% -1.06% -0.26% +1.69% -2.15% -0.50% LOSS
2024-12-10 09:28:07 $161.8 -0.25% -0.82% -1.21% -1.22% -4.26% -0.08% -0.08% -0.09% LOSS
2024-12-03 09:28:34 $153.09 +0.84% +1.17% +1.41% +2.04% +1.25% +2.35% -0.86% -0.06% WIN
2024-11-27 09:28:04 $153.86 +0.47% +0.35% +0.02% -1.15% -1.23% +1.12% -0.46% +0.13% WIN
2024-11-21 09:26:54 $141.24 +0.10% +0.82% +1.78% +1.57% +1.85% +3.05% -0.96% +0.54% WIN
2024-11-07 09:29:26 $128.01 +2.43% +2.35% +1.32% +0.70% +1.39% +4.41% -1.44% -0.89% WIN
2024-10-21 09:27:58 $126.2 +1.04% +1.45% +1.33% +0.83% -0.31% +2.06% -0.06% -0.06% WIN
2024-10-17 09:26:12 $127.56 +0.13% -0.84% -1.25% -1.37% -1.05% +0.27% -0.18% -0.18% WIN
2024-10-03 09:26:18 $115.43 -0.04% +1.00% +0.85% +1.25% +1.82% +2.73% -0.23% -0.15% LOSS
2024-09-27 09:28:59 $115.14 -0.67% -0.40% -0.21% -0.36% -0.82% +0.03% -0.96% -0.01% LOSS
2024-09-25 09:28:02 $116.6 -0.01% -0.38% -0.21% +0.51% -0.51% +0.77% -0.89% +0.03% LOSS
2024-08-12 09:26:29 $112.28 +0.49% -0.29% -1.75% -0.91% -0.11% +0.82% +0.26% +0.69% WIN
2024-08-08 09:27:49 $115.76 +1.06% -2.77% -3.09% -2.18% -1.47% +2.00% -0.66% -0.59% WIN
2024-07-26 09:26:48 $122.15 -1.57% -2.42% -2.23% -2.42% -3.14% -0.56% -1.12% -0.59% LOSS
2024-07-24 09:25:13 $122.0 +0.02% -0.29% -0.84% -1.17% -3.84% +0.83% -0.18% -0.11% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 56.9% Baseline on DDOG

The 56.9% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push DDOG's performance to 75%+.

Optimize DDOG Strategy →

Why Analyze DDOG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for DDOG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, DDOG historically offers an average upside of +2.95% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 DDOG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 56.9%, DDOG shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show DDOG performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.30%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.