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DE Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 31 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-05 → 2024-08-15

⚠️ Small sample size (31 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Aug 04, 1958 🔗 www.deere.com
💰 Market Cap: $139.45B 👥 Employees: 73,100
Deere is the world's leading manufacturer of agricultural equipment and a major producer of construction machinery. The company is divided into four reporting segments: production & precision agriculture (PPA), small agriculture & turf (SAT), construction & forestry (CF), and financial services (FS), its captive finance subsidiary. The core PPA business is the largest contributor to sales and profits by far. Geographically, Deere sales are 60% US/Canada, 17% Europe, 14% Latin America, and 9% rest of world. Deere goes to market through a robust dealer network that includes over 2,000 dealer locations in North America with reach into over 100 countries. John Deere financial provides retail financing for machinery to its customers and wholesale financing for dealers.
📊
31
Total Alerts
🎯
67.7%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.29%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+2.04%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 58.1%
Avg Gain: +0.27%
Avg Winner: +0.74%
Avg Loser: -0.39%
Best: +3.75%
Worst: -0.89%
Trades: 18/13

15MIN

Win Rate: 58.1%
Avg Gain: +0.28%
Avg Winner: +0.84%
Avg Loser: -0.51%
Best: +2.75%
Worst: -1.32%
Trades: 18/13

30MIN

Win Rate: 67.7%
Avg Gain: +0.29%
Avg Winner: +0.94%
Avg Loser: -1.08%
Best: +3.30%
Worst: -2.38%
Trades: 21/10

60MIN

Win Rate: 41.9%
Avg Gain: +0.17%
Avg Winner: +1.91%
Avg Loser: -1.09%
Best: +3.97%
Worst: -3.66%
Trades: 13/18

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 51.6%
Avg Gain: +0.30%
Avg Winner: +2.21%
Avg Loser: -1.74%
Best: +4.66%
Worst: -7.89%
Trades: 16/15

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.04%
Best MFE: +6.01%
Avg Time to MFE: 149 min

On average, DE alerts reach +2.04% profit potential within 149 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.61%
Worst MAE: -2.20%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.61%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.33:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.33x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 31 alerts, DE typically reaches +2.04% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 31
Gap Up % 45.2%
Avg Gap +0.02%
Best Gap +2.92%

🏭 Sector Comparison: FARM MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT

How DE compares to 2 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
DE: +0.27% Sector: -0.47% +0.74%
EOD Gain
DE: +0.30% Sector: -0.30% +0.60%
Avg MFE
DE: +2.04% Sector: +3.39% -1.34%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical DE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-08-15 09:27:50 $357.01 +3.75% +2.60% +2.02% +3.02% +4.55% +6.01% -0.00% +0.61% WIN
2024-05-16 09:26:26 $395.36 +1.65% +2.08% +1.03% +1.87% -0.24% +3.70% -0.09% +2.92% WIN
2024-03-20 09:25:43 $391.5 +0.09% +0.24% +0.40% +0.68% +0.65% +0.97% -0.23% -0.19% WIN
2024-03-05 09:27:31 $363.0 +0.28% +1.33% +1.09% +1.04% +1.03% +1.84% +0.16% +0.26% WIN
2024-02-15 09:28:03 $368.0 +0.19% +0.24% +0.04% -0.13% -0.91% +1.09% -0.51% -0.24% WIN
2023-12-13 09:27:00 $361.18 -0.56% +0.06% -0.06% +0.16% +4.38% +4.60% -0.74% -0.51% LOSS
2023-11-22 09:28:00 $363.65 -0.89% -0.54% -0.80% -1.82% +1.96% +2.66% -2.20% -0.73% LOSS
2023-11-16 09:26:00 $379.9 +0.38% +0.34% +0.44% -0.24% -0.35% +0.79% +0.26% +0.39% WIN
2023-11-10 09:26:00 $374.86 -0.78% -0.80% -1.27% -1.28% -0.23% -0.09% -1.56% -0.67% LOSS
2023-09-05 09:25:00 $420.01 +0.66% +0.38% +0.30% -0.71% -1.33% +0.80% +0.13% +0.21% WIN
2023-08-25 09:27:00 $389.51 +0.07% +0.03% +0.28% -0.29% +0.18% +0.65% -0.38% -0.34% WIN
2023-08-18 09:29:00 $409.0 -0.02% -1.32% -2.36% -1.87% -2.93% +0.97% -1.71% -0.32% LOSS
2023-08-08 09:27:00 $426.5 -0.03% -0.34% -0.10% -0.11% +0.93% +1.07% -0.49% +0.12% LOSS
2023-06-20 09:27:00 $405.0 +0.07% -0.36% +0.32% -0.02% +0.74% +0.98% -1.23% -0.78% WIN
2023-05-19 09:26:00 $386.55 +0.66% -0.96% +0.27% -3.66% -5.95% +1.67% -0.26% +1.10% WIN
2023-05-17 09:27:00 $365.19 -0.11% +0.33% +0.59% +0.97% +0.79% +2.06% -0.30% -0.05% LOSS
2023-03-23 09:26:00 $398.5 -0.59% -0.05% +0.22% -0.18% -1.67% +0.55% -0.88% -0.88% LOSS
2023-03-17 09:29:00 $387.51 -0.46% +0.03% -0.52% -0.89% -0.52% +0.63% -0.63% -0.08% LOSS
2023-03-16 09:28:00 $386.44 +0.03% +0.18% +0.46% +0.02% +1.21% +1.79% -0.46% +0.30% WIN
2023-03-15 09:26:00 $395.99 -0.03% -0.18% -1.47% -1.88% -1.39% +0.13% -0.68% -0.33% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 67.7% Baseline on DE

The 67.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push DE's performance to 75%+.

Optimize DE Strategy →

Why Analyze DE with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for DE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, DE historically offers an average upside of +2.04% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 DE Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 67.7%, DE shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show DE performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.29%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.