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DECK Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 7 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-11-29 → 2025-01-31

⚠️ Small sample size (7 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 21, 1993 🔗 www.deckers.com
💰 Market Cap: $14.57B 👥 Employees: 5,500
Founded in 1973, California-based Deckers designs and sells casual and performance footwear, apparel, and accessories. In fiscal 2025, Ugg and Hoka accounted for 51% and 45% of total sales, respectively. The firm also markets niche brands Teva and Ahnu. Deckers produces most of its sales through wholesale partnerships but also operates e-commerce in more than 50 countries and has nearly 200 company-operated stores. It generated 64% of its fiscal 2025 sales in the United States.
📊
7
Total Alerts
🎯
71.4%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.14%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.82%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: +0.14%
Avg Winner: +0.43%
Avg Loser: -0.59%
Best: +1.11%
Worst: -0.85%
Trades: 5/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: +0.38%
Avg Winner: +0.99%
Avg Loser: -1.13%
Best: +2.83%
Worst: -1.65%
Trades: 5/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.77%
Avg Loser: -2.07%
Best: +2.00%
Worst: -3.13%
Trades: 5/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 28.6%
Avg Gain: -0.42%
Avg Winner: +1.55%
Avg Loser: -1.21%
Best: +1.74%
Worst: -3.57%
Trades: 2/5

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 28.6%
Avg Gain: -13.21%
Avg Winner: +1.75%
Avg Loser: -19.19%
Best: +2.77%
Worst: -83.41%
Trades: 2/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.82%
Best MFE: +4.59%
Avg Time to MFE: 38 min

On average, DECK alerts reach +1.82% profit potential within 38 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.66%
Worst MAE: -1.74%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.66%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.74:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.74x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 7 alerts, DECK typically reaches +1.82% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 7
Gap Up % 57.1%
Avg Gap +0.16%
Best Gap +1.83%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RUBBER & PLASTICS FOOTWEAR

How DECK compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
DECK: +0.14% Sector: +0.01% +0.13%
EOD Gain
DECK: -13.21% Sector: -0.30% -12.91%
Avg MFE
DECK: +1.82% Sector: +1.51% +0.31%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical DECK alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-31 09:29:05 $195.0 +1.11% -1.65% -3.13% -3.57% -9.05% +1.87% -0.51% +0.56% WIN
2024-12-20 09:26:30 $205.28 -0.33% +0.41% +0.39% +1.37% +2.77% +4.59% -1.36% -0.68% LOSS
2024-10-25 09:27:21 $166.9 +0.56% +2.83% +2.00% +1.74% +0.72% +3.39% -1.74% +1.83% WIN
2024-10-16 09:28:46 $165.0 -0.85% -0.61% -1.00% -2.04% -2.33% - -0.01% -0.48% LOSS
2024-10-09 09:29:02 $161.24 +0.28% +0.63% +0.42% -0.15% -0.50% +0.90% -0.04% +0.01% WIN
2024-09-24 09:29:22 $155.45 +0.19% +0.96% +0.44% -0.06% -0.68% +1.31% -0.89% -0.38% WIN
2023-11-29 09:25:00 $658.02 +0.02% +0.11% +0.60% -0.23% -83.41% +0.65% -0.09% +0.29% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 71.4% Baseline on DECK

The 71.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push DECK's performance to 75%+.

Optimize DECK Strategy →

Why Analyze DECK with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for DECK. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, DECK historically offers an average upside of +1.82% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 DECK Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 71.4%, DECK shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show DECK performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.14%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.