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DH Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-06-12 → 2024-04-24

⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Definitive Healthcare Corp. Class A Common Stock SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE (SIC 7372)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Sep 15, 2021 🔗 www.definitivehc.com
💰 Market Cap: $251.0M 👥 Employees: 782
Definitive Healthcare Corp is a provider of healthcare commercial intelligence. Its SaaS-based healthcare commercial intelligence platform is designed to provide comprehensive and accurate information on the healthcare ecosystem in the U.S. The platform uses deep analytics and data science to help customers develop data-driven strategic decisions, such as finding new markets to enter, building comprehensive go-to-market strategies, accessing tactical information to help target the right decision makers, and improving win rates with detailed contextual information. The company derives substantially all of its revenue from the sale of subscription fees for access to its platform and stand-ready support. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from the United States.
📊
6
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.30%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+2.78%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +0.49%
Avg Loser: -0.61%
Best: +0.71%
Worst: -1.32%
Trades: 2/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.30%
Avg Winner: +1.04%
Avg Loser: -1.65%
Best: +1.56%
Worst: -2.78%
Trades: 3/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +1.53%
Avg Loser: -1.75%
Best: +3.68%
Worst: -3.58%
Trades: 3/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.45%
Avg Winner: +1.73%
Avg Loser: -2.63%
Best: +3.18%
Worst: -7.28%
Trades: 3/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.75%
Avg Winner: +4.80%
Avg Loser: -3.53%
Best: +5.77%
Worst: -13.24%
Trades: 2/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.78%
Best MFE: +6.22%
Avg Time to MFE: 178 min

On average, DH alerts reach +2.78% profit potential within 178 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.77%
Worst MAE: -1.38%
Avg Time to MAE: 17 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.77%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.59:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.59x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, DH typically reaches +2.78% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 6
Gap Up % 66.7%
Avg Gap +0.22%
Best Gap +0.79%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

How DH compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
DH: -0.14% Sector: -0.09% -0.05%
EOD Gain
DH: -0.75% Sector: +73.64% -74.39%
Avg MFE
DH: +2.78% Sector: +4.32% -1.55%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical DH alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-04-24 09:26:14 $7.27 - -1.10% -0.83% -0.14% -0.28% +0.24% -0.69% -0.41% -
2024-04-22 09:29:31 $7.06 +0.71% +0.57% +0.78% +1.91% +3.82% +4.11% -0.57% +0.71% WIN
2023-10-20 09:28:00 $7.55 -1.32% -2.78% -3.58% -7.28% -13.24% +0.79% -1.19% +0.79% LOSS
2023-09-14 09:28:00 $8.31 -0.12% +1.56% +0.12% -0.48% -0.48% +3.49% -0.36% +0.24% LOSS
2023-08-25 09:27:00 $9.39 +0.27% -1.06% -0.85% +0.11% -0.11% +1.81% -1.38% -0.43% WIN
2023-06-12 09:28:00 $10.05 -0.40% +0.99% +3.68% +3.18% +5.77% +6.22% -0.45% +0.40% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ DH Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.30% average gain, DH alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider DH for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze DH with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for DH. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, DH historically offers an average upside of +2.78% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 DH Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, DH shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests DH may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: DH shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.30%). This suggests DH is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.