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DIA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 274 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-03

🏢 Company Profile

SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Nov 07, 2008
📊
274
Total Alerts
🎯
54.4%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.02%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+0.67%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 52.0%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.13%
Avg Loser: -0.12%
Best: +0.43%
Worst: -0.35%
Trades: 142/130

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.5%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.21%
Avg Loser: -0.23%
Best: +0.74%
Worst: -0.84%
Trades: 138/134

30MIN

Win Rate: 48.7%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.28%
Avg Loser: -0.30%
Best: +1.28%
Worst: -1.24%
Trades: 133/139

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.5%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.35%
Avg Loser: -0.38%
Best: +1.51%
Worst: -1.44%
Trades: 138/135

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 54.4%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.67%
Avg Loser: -0.78%
Best: +4.79%
Worst: -3.25%
Trades: 149/123

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.67%
Best MFE: +5.20%
Avg Time to MFE: 184 min

On average, DIA alerts reach +0.67% profit potential within 184 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.28%
Worst MAE: -2.23%
Avg Time to MAE: 35 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.28%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.36:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.36x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 274 alerts, DIA typically reaches +0.67% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 274
Gap Up % 44.9%
Avg Gap -0.01%
Best Gap +0.25%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical DIA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-03 09:25:46 $438.96 +0.43% +0.33% +0.16% +0.74% +1.21% +1.58% -0.06% +0.15% WIN
2025-01-27 09:28:38 $440.69 +0.37% +0.46% +0.60% +0.74% +1.46% +1.50% -0.03% -0.01% WIN
2025-01-15 09:28:29 $431.58 +0.01% -0.00% +0.14% +0.16% +0.15% +0.39% -0.25% -0.00% WIN
2024-12-20 09:28:56 $422.11 +0.21% +0.32% +0.25% +0.86% +1.52% +2.36% -0.09% -0.01% WIN
2024-12-19 09:28:35 $427.94 +0.21% - -0.16% -0.49% -0.80% +0.24% -0.14% -0.10% WIN
2024-11-19 09:28:52 $430.59 +0.09% +0.05% -0.02% +0.14% +0.52% +0.82% -0.22% +0.03% WIN
2024-11-06 09:27:49 $434.15 +0.29% +0.24% -0.07% +0.47% +0.71% +0.84% -0.10% +0.12% WIN
2024-10-15 09:29:19 $429.64 -0.22% -0.41% -0.44% -0.17% -0.49% +0.11% -0.11% -0.07% LOSS
2024-08-15 09:28:55 $404.71 +0.21% +0.01% -0.15% -0.21% +0.29% +0.35% -0.38% +0.01% WIN
2024-08-08 09:29:32 $389.56 +0.22% +0.41% +0.81% +0.93% +1.27% +1.43% -0.08% -0.01% WIN
2024-08-05 09:29:10 $385.99 -0.09% -0.09% +0.14% -0.01% +0.21% +1.12% -0.27% +0.14% LOSS
2024-07-31 09:26:18 $408.02 -0.02% -0.06% -0.37% +0.08% +0.12% +0.98% -0.38% -0.14% LOSS
2024-06-14 09:28:06 $384.51 +0.27% +0.26% +0.12% -0.05% +0.51% +0.53% -0.23% +0.03% WIN
2024-05-30 09:27:13 $381.45 +0.13% +0.04% -0.10% -0.12% +0.01% +0.25% -0.27% -0.02% WIN
2024-05-03 09:29:11 $386.71 -0.02% +0.19% +0.19% -0.21% +0.02% +0.33% +0.11% +0.11% LOSS
2024-04-25 09:26:52 $379.75 -0.04% -0.09% -0.46% -0.45% +0.31% +0.47% -0.60% +0.01% LOSS
2024-04-24 09:28:43 $384.76 -0.02% -0.04% -0.03% -0.00% -0.08% +0.18% -0.45% +0.03% LOSS
2024-04-22 09:25:37 $381.83 -0.22% -0.42% -0.35% -0.29% +0.14% +0.68% -0.53% -0.03% LOSS
2024-04-19 09:28:46 $378.12 +0.08% +0.31% +0.32% +0.39% +0.44% +0.77% -0.05% +0.15% WIN
2024-04-16 09:25:18 $379.53 +0.01% -0.28% -0.17% -0.29% -0.41% +0.11% -0.66% +0.06% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 54.4% Baseline on DIA

The 54.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push DIA's performance to 75%+.

Optimize DIA Strategy →

Why Analyze DIA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for DIA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, DIA historically offers an average upside of +0.67% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 DIA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 54.4%, DIA shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show DIA performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.02%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.