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Latest signal:

DINO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 25 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-12-01 → 2024-12-13

⚠️ Small sample size (25 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

HF Sinclair Corporation PIPE LINES (NO NATURAL GAS) (SIC 4610)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Nov 05, 1984 🔗 www.hfsinclair.com
💰 Market Cap: $9.20B 👥 Employees: 5,297
HF Sinclair is an integrated petroleum refiner that owns and operates seven refineries serving the Rockies, midcontinent, Southwest, and Pacific Northwest, with a total crude oil throughput capacity of 678,000 barrels per day. It can produce 380 million gallons of renewable diesel annually. It holds a marketing business with over 300 distributors and 1,500 wholesale branded sites across 30 states. It also owns and operates 4,400 miles of petroleum product pipelines and terminals principally in the southwestern United States.
📊
25
Total Alerts
🎯
60.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.16%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.71%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.0%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.66%
Avg Loser: -0.54%
Best: +2.55%
Worst: -1.61%
Trades: 11/14

15MIN

Win Rate: 52.0%
Avg Gain: +0.20%
Avg Winner: +1.11%
Avg Loser: -0.79%
Best: +2.94%
Worst: -2.29%
Trades: 13/12

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.0%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +1.19%
Avg Loser: -0.92%
Best: +2.64%
Worst: -2.57%
Trades: 11/14

60MIN

Win Rate: 56.0%
Avg Gain: +0.27%
Avg Winner: +1.52%
Avg Loser: -1.31%
Best: +3.31%
Worst: -3.03%
Trades: 14/11

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +0.16%
Avg Winner: +1.67%
Avg Loser: -2.12%
Best: +3.68%
Worst: -3.96%
Trades: 15/10

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.71%
Best MFE: +4.19%
Avg Time to MFE: 117 min

On average, DINO alerts reach +1.71% profit potential within 117 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.47%
Worst MAE: -2.88%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.47%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.67:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.67x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 25 alerts, DINO typically reaches +1.71% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 25
Gap Up % 56.0%
Avg Gap -0.04%
Best Gap +1.29%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PIPE LINES (NO NATURAL GAS)

How DINO compares to 7 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
DINO: -0.01% Sector: -0.06% +0.04%
EOD Gain
DINO: +0.16% Sector: +0.13% +0.03%
Avg MFE
DINO: +1.71% Sector: +1.33% +0.38%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical DINO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-13 09:25:39 $38.11 -0.35% -0.85% -0.84% -0.73% -1.73% +0.10% -0.76% -0.66% LOSS
2024-04-29 09:25:31 $57.31 +0.26% +0.80% +0.17% +0.61% +0.96% +1.20% -0.23% +0.05% WIN
2024-03-06 09:27:28 $55.82 -0.37% -2.26% -2.01% -2.51% -0.41% +0.34% -0.13% +0.25% LOSS
2023-12-19 09:28:00 $56.64 -0.10% +0.74% +0.41% +0.56% +1.87% +3.05% -0.23% +0.32% LOSS
2023-11-30 09:27:00 $53.45 -1.13% -0.62% -0.26% -0.28% -1.81% +0.15% -1.29% -1.09% LOSS
2023-11-09 09:26:00 $53.28 +0.48% +0.25% -0.08% +0.43% -1.46% +0.99% -0.19% +0.21% WIN
2023-09-21 09:29:00 $59.24 +2.55% +2.94% +1.91% +1.35% +0.03% +3.93% +0.15% +0.41% WIN
2023-09-01 09:25:00 $55.77 +0.48% +2.53% +1.54% +1.62% +1.99% +3.07% -0.09% +0.57% WIN
2023-08-11 09:26:00 $58.22 +0.38% +0.91% +1.43% +1.82% +1.92% +2.39% +0.11% +0.15% WIN
2023-07-26 09:26:00 $49.51 +0.65% +0.98% +1.11% +1.49% +2.81% +3.48% +0.18% +0.18% WIN
2023-07-11 09:27:00 $45.7 -0.26% -0.01% +0.66% +1.39% +2.36% +2.67% -0.55% -0.44% LOSS
2023-06-29 09:25:00 $44.21 -0.43% -0.57% -0.18% +0.34% +0.59% +0.95% -0.95% -0.38% LOSS
2023-06-06 09:27:00 $42.39 +1.06% +2.45% +2.64% +3.31% +3.63% +4.08% +0.33% +0.78% WIN
2023-06-02 09:27:00 $41.78 +0.75% +1.05% +1.75% +2.94% +3.54% +4.19% +0.55% +1.29% WIN
2023-05-25 09:27:00 $42.85 -0.45% -0.37% -0.09% -0.44% -0.02% +0.61% -1.98% -0.12% LOSS
2023-05-24 09:25:00 $43.35 +0.17% +0.07% -1.45% -0.90% +0.37% +1.22% -0.23% -0.07% WIN
2023-04-03 09:28:00 $50.26 -1.37% -0.68% -2.57% -1.45% -3.12% +0.30% -0.02% +0.14% LOSS
2023-03-21 09:27:00 $50.34 -0.18% -0.68% -0.40% -1.55% -2.28% +0.26% -0.48% - LOSS
2023-02-27 09:25:00 $51.0 -1.61% -2.29% -0.90% +0.92% +0.10% +1.14% -2.88% -1.18% LOSS
2023-02-08 09:26:00 $54.69 -0.75% -0.46% -1.55% -1.88% -2.89% -0.16% -1.37% -0.66% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 60.0% Baseline on DINO

The 60.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push DINO's performance to 75%+.

Optimize DINO Strategy →

Why Analyze DINO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for DINO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, DINO historically offers an average upside of +1.71% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 DINO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, DINO shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show DINO performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.16%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.