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DK Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-10-27 → 2022-10-27

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Delek US Holdings, Inc. PETROLEUM REFINING (SIC 2911)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: May 04, 2006 🔗 www.delekus.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.69B 👥 Employees: 1,987
Delek US Holdings Inc is an integrated energy business focused on petroleum refining, transportation and storage; wholesale crude oil, intermediate, and refined products, and convenience stores retailing. The company owns and operates independent refineries that produce a variety of petroleum products for transportation and industrial markets in the United States. It has two segments: Refining segment and Logistics segment. The logistics segment generates revenue through gathering, transporting, and storing crude oil and intermediate products, as well as by marketing, storing, and distributing refined products. The company also offers a collection of retail fuel and convenience stores operating in the Southeast region of the United States.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+1.43%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+5.32%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.43%
Avg Winner: +1.43%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.43%
Worst: +1.43%
Trades: 1/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +4.67%
Avg Winner: +4.67%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +4.67%
Worst: +4.67%
Trades: 1/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.55%
Avg Winner: +1.55%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.55%
Worst: +1.55%
Trades: 1/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.76%
Avg Winner: +2.76%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +2.76%
Worst: +2.76%
Trades: 1/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.34%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.34%
Best: -0.34%
Worst: -0.34%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.32%
Best MFE: +5.32%
Avg Time to MFE: 17 min

On average, DK alerts reach +5.32% profit potential within 17 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: +0.40%
Worst MAE: +0.40%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.40%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

13.17:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 13.17x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, DK typically reaches +5.32% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +0.40%
Best Gap +0.40%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PETROLEUM REFINING

How DK compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
DK: +1.43% Sector: -0.01% +1.44%
EOD Gain
DK: -0.34% Sector: +0.04% -0.38%
Avg MFE
DK: +5.32% Sector: +1.50% +3.82%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical DK alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-10-27 09:25:00 $29.69 +1.43% +4.67% +1.55% +2.76% -0.34% +5.32% +0.40% +0.40% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on DK

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push DK's performance to 75%+.

Optimize DK Strategy →

Why Analyze DK with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for DK. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, DK historically offers an average upside of +5.32% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 DK Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, DK shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show DK performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.43%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.