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DKL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-03-22 → 2024-08-09

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

DELEK LOGISTICS PARTNERS, LP PIPE LINES (NO NATURAL GAS) (SIC 4610)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Nov 02, 2012 🔗 www.deleklogistics.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.58B
Delek Logistics Partners LP owns and operates logistics and marketing assets for crude oil and intermediate and refined products. The company's segment includes gathering and processing; wholesale marketing and terminalling; storage and transportation and investment in pipeline joint ventures. It generates maximum revenue from the wholesale marketing and terminalling segment, which provides marketing services for the refined products output of the Delek Holdings' refineries, engages in wholesale activity at its terminals and terminals owned by third parties, whereby it purchases light product for sale and exchange to third parties, and provides terminalling services at its refined products terminals to independent third parties and Delek Holdings.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+2.30%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+1.43%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.26%
Avg Loser: -0.36%
Best: +0.26%
Worst: -0.36%
Trades: 1/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.48%
Avg Loser: -1.54%
Best: +1.48%
Worst: -1.54%
Trades: 1/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.77%
Avg Winner: +2.20%
Avg Loser: -0.66%
Best: +2.20%
Worst: -0.66%
Trades: 1/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.30%
Avg Winner: +2.30%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +2.30%
Worst: +2.30%
Trades: 1/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.63%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.63%
Best: -0.03%
Worst: -1.19%
Trades: 0/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.43%
Best MFE: +2.56%
Avg Time to MFE: 197 min

On average, DKL alerts reach +1.43% profit potential within 197 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.73%
Worst MAE: -1.84%
Avg Time to MAE: 52 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.73%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.95:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, DKL typically reaches +1.43% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap -0.13%
Best Gap +0.05%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PIPE LINES (NO NATURAL GAS)

How DKL compares to 7 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
DKL: +0.26% Sector: -0.06% +0.31%
EOD Gain
DKL: -0.03% Sector: +0.13% -0.15%
Avg MFE
DKL: +2.56% Sector: +1.33% +1.23%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical DKL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-08-09 09:25:02 $39.4 -0.36% -1.54% -0.66% - -1.19% +0.46% -1.84% -0.30% LOSS
2024-03-08 09:28:31 $39.1 +0.26% +1.48% +2.20% +2.30% -0.03% +2.56% -0.26% +0.05% WIN
2023-03-22 09:26:00 $51.35 - - - - -0.68% +1.27% -0.10% - -

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on DKL

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push DKL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize DKL Strategy →

Why Analyze DKL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for DKL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, DKL historically offers an average upside of +1.43% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 DKL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, DKL shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show DKL performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +2.30%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.