FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

DOUG Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-09-16 → 2024-07-02

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Dec 17, 2021 🔗 www.elliman.com
💰 Market Cap: $233.6M 👥 Employees: 783
Douglas Elliman Inc is a real estate company. It offers sales, rentals, and new development to mortgages and title insurance, among other services related to real estate. Business is engaged in two operating segments Real Estate Brokerage and Corporate and other. The firm generates income from Commission and other brokerage revenue from existing home sales, Commission and other brokerage income from development marketing, Property management revenue and Title fees. It derives revenue from Real Estate Brokerage segment.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.18%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+4.67%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.18%
Avg Winner: +5.26%
Avg Loser: -4.90%
Best: +5.26%
Worst: -4.90%
Trades: 1/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -6.29%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -6.29%
Best: -6.29%
Worst: -6.29%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -2.44%
Avg Winner: +5.25%
Avg Loser: -10.14%
Best: +5.25%
Worst: -10.14%
Trades: 1/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -2.84%
Avg Winner: +9.70%
Avg Loser: -15.38%
Best: +9.70%
Worst: -15.38%
Trades: 1/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -10.90%
Avg Winner: +5.48%
Avg Loser: -27.27%
Best: +5.48%
Worst: -27.27%
Trades: 1/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.67%
Best MFE: +10.05%
Avg Time to MFE: 29 min

On average, DOUG alerts reach +4.67% profit potential within 29 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: +1.18%
Worst MAE: -2.10%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.18%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.97:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.97x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, DOUG typically reaches +4.67% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.42%
Best Gap +5.02%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE AGENTS & MANAGERS (FOR OTHERS)

How DOUG compares to 7 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
DOUG: -4.90% Sector: -0.28% -4.61%
EOD Gain
DOUG: -27.27% Sector: +166.55% -193.82%
Avg MFE
DOUG: -0.70% Sector: +5.24% -5.94%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical DOUG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-07-02 09:25:44 $1.43 -4.90% -6.29% -10.14% -15.38% -27.27% -0.70% -2.10% -4.19% LOSS
2022-09-16 09:25:00 $4.38 +5.26% - +5.25% +9.70% +5.48% +10.05% +4.45% +5.02% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.0% Baseline on DOUG

The 50.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push DOUG's performance to 75%+.

Optimize DOUG Strategy →

Why Analyze DOUG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for DOUG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, DOUG historically offers an average upside of +4.67% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 DOUG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, DOUG shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show DOUG performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.18%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.