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DPZ Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 11 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-10-13 → 2024-07-18

⚠️ Small sample size (11 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 13, 2004 🔗 www.dominos.com
💰 Market Cap: $13.90B 👥 Employees: 10,700
Domino's is the world's largest pizza chain, surpassing $19 billion in system sales with over 21,300 stores across more than 90 markets at the end of 2024. Around 33% of its units are in the US. The business is 99% franchised. Domino's operates through three segments: supply chain (60% of revenue), US stores (33%), and international franchises (7%). The firm generates the bulk of its revenue by supplying food to stores in the US and Canada through a vertically integrated network of 25 manufacturing and supply chain facilities, which primarily produce and distribute dough, and collecting brand royalties and marketing fees from franchisees. Domino's also generates revenue from sales at company-owned stores.
📊
11
Total Alerts
🎯
72.7%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.30%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+2.54%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.54%
Avg Winner: +1.59%
Avg Loser: -0.52%
Best: +2.52%
Worst: -1.01%
Trades: 5/5

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: +0.37%
Avg Winner: +1.33%
Avg Loser: -0.52%
Best: +2.32%
Worst: -0.94%
Trades: 5/5

30MIN

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: +0.48%
Avg Winner: +2.11%
Avg Loser: -0.87%
Best: +3.96%
Worst: -2.66%
Trades: 5/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 72.7%
Avg Gain: +0.30%
Avg Winner: +0.97%
Avg Loser: -1.51%
Best: +2.98%
Worst: -2.44%
Trades: 8/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 63.6%
Avg Gain: +0.25%
Avg Winner: +1.05%
Avg Loser: -1.16%
Best: +3.37%
Worst: -3.10%
Trades: 7/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.54%
Best MFE: +6.35%
Avg Time to MFE: 137 min

On average, DPZ alerts reach +2.54% profit potential within 137 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.75%
Worst MAE: -2.89%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.75%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.4:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.4x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 11 alerts, DPZ typically reaches +2.54% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 11
Gap Up % 63.6%
Avg Gap +0.02%
Best Gap +1.94%

🏭 Sector Comparison: WHOLESALE-GROCERIES & RELATED PRODUCTS

How DPZ compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
DPZ: +0.54% Sector: +0.13% +0.40%
EOD Gain
DPZ: +0.33% Sector: +0.32% +0.02%
Avg MFE
DPZ: +2.73% Sector: +2.32% +0.41%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical DPZ alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-07-18 09:25:58 $409.0 +2.44% +2.32% +3.96% +2.98% +0.01% +6.35% -1.71% +0.20% WIN
2024-02-26 09:29:41 $460.0 +2.11% +1.51% +2.77% +0.66% -0.22% +3.52% -0.20% +0.65% WIN
2023-11-09 09:29:00 $372.0 - - -0.11% +0.40% -0.62% +0.69% -0.44% +0.17% -
2023-07-24 09:29:00 $398.25 -1.01% -0.94% -2.66% -2.44% -3.10% +0.88% -0.16% +0.44% LOSS
2023-07-12 09:27:00 $391.3 +2.52% -0.91% -0.96% -2.08% -0.69% +4.77% +0.03% +1.94% WIN
2023-06-08 09:25:00 $298.43 -0.24% -0.59% -1.11% -0.00% +0.49% +1.18% -1.27% -0.57% LOSS
2023-03-31 09:29:00 $329.7 -0.44% -0.08% -0.17% +0.76% +0.05% +0.86% -0.76% -0.65% LOSS
2023-03-20 09:27:00 $310.67 +0.33% +0.68% +1.35% +1.23% +2.10% +2.30% +0.05% +0.05% WIN
2023-03-08 09:26:00 $311.96 -0.33% -0.06% -0.24% +0.02% +0.05% +0.31% -1.27% -1.04% LOSS
2023-01-19 09:29:00 $344.43 +0.56% +1.17% +0.92% +0.77% +1.28% +2.92% +0.38% +0.39% WIN
2022-10-13 09:25:00 $322.4 -0.59% +0.96% +1.54% +0.98% +3.37% +4.20% -2.89% -1.36% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 72.7% Baseline on DPZ

The 72.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push DPZ's performance to 75%+.

Optimize DPZ Strategy →

Why Analyze DPZ with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for DPZ. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, DPZ historically offers an average upside of +2.54% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 DPZ Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 72.7%, DPZ shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show DPZ performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.30%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.