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DRCT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 24 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-14 → 2025-02-06

⚠️ Small sample size (24 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Direct Digital Holdings, Inc. Class A Common Stock SERVICES-ADVERTISING (SIC 7310)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Feb 11, 2022 🔗 www.directdigitalholdings.com
💰 Market Cap: $5.8M 👥 Employees: 79
Direct Digital Holdings Inc is an end-to-end, full-service programmatic advertising platform focused on providing advertising technology, data-driven campaign optimization, and other solutions to underserved and less efficient markets on both the buy-side and sell-side of the digital advertising ecosystem. The company operates two reportable segments: sell-side advertising, which includes the results of Colossus Media, and buy-side advertising, which includes the results of Orange 142 and Huddled Masses. All of the company's revenues are attributed to the United States.
📊
24
Total Alerts
🎯
56.5%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.81%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+19.02%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +2.95%
Avg Loser: -2.77%
Best: +8.40%
Worst: -8.06%
Trades: 12/12

15MIN

Win Rate: 56.5%
Avg Gain: +0.81%
Avg Winner: +6.90%
Avg Loser: -7.12%
Best: +21.88%
Worst: -18.80%
Trades: 13/10

30MIN

Win Rate: 45.8%
Avg Gain: -1.02%
Avg Winner: +8.80%
Avg Loser: -9.32%
Best: +20.01%
Worst: -30.42%
Trades: 11/13

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.8%
Avg Gain: -2.11%
Avg Winner: +9.48%
Avg Loser: -11.93%
Best: +25.52%
Worst: -40.25%
Trades: 11/13

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: -2.68%
Avg Winner: +12.71%
Avg Loser: -11.91%
Best: +21.41%
Worst: -42.12%
Trades: 9/15

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +19.02%
Best MFE: +65.88%
Avg Time to MFE: 108 min

On average, DRCT alerts reach +19.02% profit potential within 108 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -5.14%
Worst MAE: -20.51%
Avg Time to MAE: 16 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 5.14%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.7:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.7x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 24 alerts, DRCT typically reaches +19.02% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 15.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 24
Gap Up % 41.7%
Avg Gap -0.38%
Best Gap +1.95%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-ADVERTISING

How DRCT compares to 9 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
DRCT: +0.45% Sector: -0.25% +0.70%
EOD Gain
DRCT: -0.96% Sector: +327.98% -328.94%
Avg MFE
DRCT: +19.72% Sector: +11.11% +8.61%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical DRCT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-06 09:29:17 $1.18 +3.39% +1.69% -0.85% -2.97% -2.54% +5.08% -1.27% +0.85% WIN
2025-01-13 09:27:31 $1.45 +0.01% +13.10% +20.01% +25.52% +11.72% +51.72% - +0.69% WIN
2024-12-27 09:26:24 $3.0 +6.29% -2.59% -8.00% -11.00% -16.00% +10.00% -2.00% -1.67% WIN
2024-12-26 09:27:59 $3.1 -4.84% -3.87% -8.06% -13.55% -2.90% +3.87% -17.74% +1.29% LOSS
2024-12-24 09:28:59 $6.41 -8.06% - -30.42% -40.25% -42.12% +2.81% -9.36% +0.86% LOSS
2024-11-14 09:25:34 $2.2 -0.45% -5.91% -9.09% -13.18% -12.27% -0.45% -3.18% -2.73% LOSS
2024-06-13 09:28:48 $4.82 +8.40% +2.28% +7.05% +9.56% -3.73% +29.25% -4.36% -0.62% WIN
2024-03-27 09:27:40 $14.0 -2.86% +6.04% +5.82% +5.36% +14.57% +26.93% -6.88% -1.79% LOSS
2023-11-13 09:25:00 $4.11 +4.38% +11.44% +3.65% +7.30% +21.41% +29.93% -0.49% +1.95% WIN
2023-11-10 09:25:00 $3.52 +1.14% +6.70% +2.84% +2.41% +14.77% +22.16% -7.67% -1.42% WIN
2022-08-11 09:25:00 $3.75 -2.67% -7.78% -8.23% -10.67% -20.00% +2.67% -2.93% - LOSS
2022-07-21 09:25:00 $2.28 +0.44% +1.08% +0.88% +6.14% -1.32% +7.46% -2.19% -2.19% WIN
2022-07-20 09:25:00 $2.56 +1.56% +21.88% +16.79% +11.71% -8.20% +25.00% -3.91% +0.39% WIN
2022-03-31 09:25:00 $3.97 -3.27% -1.51% -5.92% -4.78% +9.82% +13.35% -8.06% -2.77% LOSS
2022-03-30 09:25:00 $4.77 +4.82% +7.76% -7.78% -12.37% -13.21% +15.09% -2.31% -1.26% WIN
2022-03-16 09:25:00 $2.59 -1.93% -4.75% -7.02% -11.17% -15.44% +1.49% -1.93% - LOSS
2022-03-15 09:25:00 $2.86 -1.05% -7.69% -5.94% -4.90% -5.94% +8.39% -8.92% -0.35% LOSS
2022-03-14 09:25:00 $2.71 +1.48% +5.18% +16.97% +9.96% +5.17% +23.62% -0.74% +0.37% WIN
2022-03-11 09:25:00 $2.27 +3.08% +0.45% +9.25% +7.93% +19.82% +30.40% -0.44% +1.32% WIN
2022-03-10 09:25:00 $2.16 +0.46% +9.26% +7.41% +1.85% +10.65% +15.74% -7.87% +0.46% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 56.5% Baseline on DRCT

The 56.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push DRCT's performance to 75%+.

Optimize DRCT Strategy →

Why Analyze DRCT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for DRCT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, DRCT historically offers an average upside of +19.02% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 DRCT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 56.5%, DRCT shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show DRCT performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.81%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.