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Latest signal:

DXYZ Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 56 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-03-27 → 2025-01-27

⚠️ Small sample size (56 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Destiny Tech100 Inc.
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Mar 26, 2024 🔗 www.destiny.xyz
💰 Market Cap: $422.0M
Destiny Tech100 Inc is a non-diversified, closed-end management investment company. It invests in a portfolio of what is believed to be 100 of the top venture-backed private technology companies.
📊
56
Total Alerts
🎯
63.6%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.91%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+15.00%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.6%
Avg Gain: -0.43%
Avg Winner: +3.17%
Avg Loser: -3.33%
Best: +14.91%
Worst: -18.90%
Trades: 25/31

15MIN

Win Rate: 63.6%
Avg Gain: +0.91%
Avg Winner: +4.55%
Avg Loser: -5.46%
Best: +23.57%
Worst: -24.88%
Trades: 35/20

30MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: +0.22%
Avg Winner: +5.39%
Avg Loser: -6.66%
Best: +33.73%
Worst: -25.95%
Trades: 32/24

60MIN

Win Rate: 53.6%
Avg Gain: -0.09%
Avg Winner: +6.42%
Avg Loser: -7.60%
Best: +29.15%
Worst: -27.50%
Trades: 30/26

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 53.6%
Avg Gain: +2.79%
Avg Winner: +13.60%
Avg Loser: -9.67%
Best: +64.49%
Worst: -40.19%
Trades: 30/26

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +15.00%
Best MFE: +72.45%
Avg Time to MFE: 106 min

On average, DXYZ alerts reach +15.00% profit potential within 106 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.66%
Worst MAE: -13.97%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.66%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.1:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.1x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 56 alerts, DXYZ typically reaches +15.00% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 12.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 56
Gap Up % 46.4%
Avg Gap -0.02%
Best Gap +2.80%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical DXYZ alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-27 09:26:26 $58.48 +1.56% +0.94% +5.85% +1.21% +0.38% +6.66% -1.68% +2.60% WIN
2025-01-22 09:25:05 $63.43 +1.78% +1.48% +2.10% +2.95% +2.92% +6.72% -0.68% +1.14% WIN
2025-01-21 09:26:12 $61.7 -1.09% -5.61% -1.75% -2.53% -0.68% +0.49% -5.62% -0.84% LOSS
2025-01-06 09:27:11 $64.21 +1.97% +2.57% +1.95% -0.17% -3.78% +4.35% +0.45% +2.43% WIN
2024-12-23 09:28:39 $63.25 +1.35% -1.88% +0.08% -0.36% +7.51% +7.51% -3.56% -0.65% WIN
2024-12-20 09:29:55 $56.89 +0.88% +1.26% +0.60% +8.79% +5.68% +12.11% -3.19% -0.16% WIN
2024-12-19 09:29:28 $65.32 +0.77% -0.09% -1.10% -10.27% -7.98% +2.37% -1.47% -0.44% WIN
2024-12-18 09:27:08 $66.99 -0.75% +0.47% +0.65% -0.66% -7.73% +6.75% -2.18% -0.96% LOSS
2024-12-17 09:29:49 $69.59 -5.58% -4.15% -2.52% -6.75% +0.26% +0.26% -7.92% -0.02% LOSS
2024-12-16 09:29:05 $70.8 +4.54% +4.38% +3.52% +2.42% -2.16% +5.93% -0.18% +0.54% WIN
2024-12-13 09:27:19 $69.6 +1.18% -2.24% -0.60% +0.58% +0.76% +3.16% -6.21% -0.19% WIN
2024-12-12 09:27:30 $68.69 -0.99% +0.55% +6.27% +6.60% +5.60% +12.10% -1.30% -0.71% LOSS
2024-12-11 09:27:23 $64.7 +1.34% +1.38% +3.31% +5.30% +2.50% +19.55% -1.31% -0.47% WIN
2024-12-10 09:26:25 $57.7 -1.54% +4.13% +1.30% +4.96% +6.34% +11.28% -1.91% -0.31% LOSS
2024-12-09 09:28:08 $71.1 -9.78% -24.88% -17.17% -24.02% -15.56% +2.49% -0.90% +0.07% LOSS
2024-12-06 09:26:21 $54.55 +1.19% +1.58% +2.17% +6.95% +23.30% +23.26% -0.93% -0.23% WIN
2024-12-05 09:28:55 $48.05 +2.83% +8.84% +6.39% +7.93% +7.39% +11.90% - +1.39% WIN
2024-12-03 09:29:43 $42.21 -1.28% -1.53% -2.44% -1.21% +0.57% +2.06% -3.34% +0.50% LOSS
2024-11-26 09:26:08 $41.66 -0.88% +2.38% +3.26% +2.02% +4.63% +12.82% -5.16% +0.31% LOSS
2024-11-25 09:29:49 $47.04 -2.07% -3.78% -5.52% -4.12% -6.70% +1.19% +0.74% +0.94% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 63.6% Baseline on DXYZ

The 63.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push DXYZ's performance to 75%+.

Optimize DXYZ Strategy →

Why Analyze DXYZ with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for DXYZ. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, DXYZ historically offers an average upside of +15.00% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 DXYZ Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 63.6%, DXYZ shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show DXYZ performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.91%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.