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EAF Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-08-10 → 2024-07-26

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

GrafTech International Ltd. ELECTRICAL INDUSTRIAL APPARATUS (SIC 3620)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Apr 19, 2018 🔗 www.graftech.com
💰 Market Cap: $447.5M 👥 Employees: 1,719
GrafTech International Ltd is a manufacturer of high-quality graphite electrode products essential to the production of EAF steel and other ferrous and non-ferrous metals. The company has only reportable segment, Industrial Materials, is comprised of its two product categories: graphite electrodes and petroleum needle coke products. Petroleum needle coke is key raw material used in the production of graphite electrodes.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+1.32%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+5.43%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.32%
Avg Winner: +1.32%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.95%
Worst: +0.97%
Trades: 3/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.94%
Avg Winner: +1.94%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +2.14%
Worst: +1.72%
Trades: 3/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +1.28%
Avg Winner: +2.57%
Avg Loser: -1.29%
Best: +2.82%
Worst: -1.29%
Trades: 2/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: -1.30%
Avg Winner: +2.21%
Avg Loser: -8.32%
Best: +2.63%
Worst: -8.32%
Trades: 2/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -6.98%
Avg Winner: +1.65%
Avg Loser: -11.30%
Best: +1.65%
Worst: -22.02%
Trades: 1/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.43%
Best MFE: +8.74%
Avg Time to MFE: 51 min

On average, EAF alerts reach +5.43% profit potential within 51 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: +0.49%
Worst MAE: +0.00%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.49%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

11.01:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 11.01x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, EAF typically reaches +5.43% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +1.77%
Best Gap +2.91%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ELECTRICAL INDUSTRIAL APPARATUS

How EAF compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
EAF: +1.32% Sector: -0.27% +1.59%
EOD Gain
EAF: -6.98% Sector: +668.65% -675.63%
Avg MFE
EAF: +5.43% Sector: +3.56% +1.87%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical EAF alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-07-26 09:26:37 $1.03 +0.97% +1.94% -1.29% -8.32% -22.02% +8.74% - +2.91% WIN
2023-03-14 09:29:00 $5.14 +1.95% +2.14% +2.82% +2.63% -0.58% +4.18% +1.07% +1.95% WIN
2022-08-10 09:25:00 $6.67 +1.05% +1.72% +2.32% +1.80% +1.65% +3.37% +0.41% +0.45% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on EAF

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push EAF's performance to 75%+.

Optimize EAF Strategy →

Why Analyze EAF with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for EAF. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, EAF historically offers an average upside of +5.43% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 EAF Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, EAF shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show EAF performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.32%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.