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FCEL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 490 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-01-22

🏢 Company Profile

FuelCell Energy Inc NEW (DE) ELECTRICAL INDUSTRIAL APPARATUS (SIC 3620)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 25, 1992 🔗 www.fuelcellenergy.com
💰 Market Cap: $483.6M 👥 Employees: 629
FuelCell Energy Inc is a clean energy technology company engaged in the development, design, production, and servicing of high temperature fuel cells for clean electric power generation. The Company provides proprietary molten carbonate fuel cell systems that generate electricity electrochemically with ultra low emissions and high efficiency, and operates as a solutions provider managing the design, manufacturing, installation, and maintenance of its systems under long term power purchase, service, and engineering procurement agreements. The Company serves utilities, data centers, and commercial and industrial customers, and operates in the United States, South Korea, Europe, and Canada, with maximum revenue generated from the United States.
📊
490
Total Alerts
🎯
78.1%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+1814.47%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+3.67%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 35.8%
Avg Gain: -0.39%
Avg Winner: +1.27%
Avg Loser: -1.40%
Best: +6.34%
Worst: -6.43%
Trades: 175/298

15MIN

Win Rate: 42.1%
Avg Gain: -0.37%
Avg Winner: +2.06%
Avg Loser: -2.19%
Best: +8.25%
Worst: -10.42%
Trades: 206/276

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.6%
Avg Gain: -0.31%
Avg Winner: +2.43%
Avg Loser: -2.57%
Best: +10.85%
Worst: -9.16%
Trades: 218/265

60MIN

Win Rate: 41.3%
Avg Gain: -0.39%
Avg Winner: +3.25%
Avg Loser: -3.03%
Best: +14.94%
Worst: -12.11%
Trades: 202/280

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 78.1%
Avg Gain: +1814.47%
Avg Winner: +2323.71%
Avg Loser: -3.74%
Best: +3382.03%
Worst: -26.58%
Trades: 382/102

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.67%
Best MFE: +23.54%
Avg Time to MFE: 89 min

On average, FCEL alerts reach +3.67% profit potential within 89 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.62%
Worst MAE: -8.39%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.62%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.27:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.27x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 490 alerts, FCEL typically reaches +3.67% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 490
Gap Up % 25.1%
Avg Gap -0.24%
Best Gap +2.91%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ELECTRICAL INDUSTRIAL APPARATUS

How FCEL compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
FCEL: -0.40% Sector: -0.27% -0.13%
EOD Gain
FCEL: +1812.00% Sector: +668.65% +1143.36%
Avg MFE
FCEL: +3.66% Sector: +3.56% +0.10%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical FCEL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-22 09:29:30 $9.5 -2.11% -3.16% -2.63% -1.89% -5.79% - -1.79% - LOSS
2024-11-15 09:29:20 $8.39 +1.91% -0.40% +2.26% -5.99% -26.58% +12.63% -5.84% -1.55% WIN
2024-11-07 09:29:41 $0.31 -2.85% -3.73% -1.24% -3.92% -3.66% +2.62% -1.90% +1.37% LOSS
2024-11-06 09:28:51 $0.34 -1.61% -3.62% -0.03% +2.05% +1.64% +5.04% -4.22% +2.52% LOSS
2024-11-05 09:27:39 $0.39 -3.92% +1.54% +1.23% -2.77% +2724.57% +3.87% -5.08% -2.54% LOSS
2024-11-04 09:25:56 $0.35 +4.28% +5.63% +10.85% +14.94% +3162.21% +19.68% -0.03% - WIN
2024-11-01 09:26:14 $0.35 -1.53% +2.58% +4.06% +5.30% +2867.67% +6.35% -2.16% -2.16% LOSS
2024-10-31 09:25:46 $0.35 -0.57% -4.18% -3.30% +1.15% +2857.87% +2.92% -4.99% -2.69% LOSS
2024-10-30 09:27:55 $0.34 -0.56% -2.77% +2.79% +6.12% +0.38% +9.59% -2.91% -0.56% LOSS
2024-10-29 09:29:36 $0.36 +0.11% +5.54% +0.25% -2.06% -5.18% +7.96% -2.00% +1.53% WIN
2024-10-28 09:27:42 $0.33 +0.89% +2.74% +3.11% +8.83% +3286.77% +23.02% -0.89% +1.23% WIN
2024-10-25 09:27:04 $0.32 +0.31% -0.62% -0.81% +0.12% +2884.17% +6.55% -3.07% -0.65% WIN
2024-10-24 09:26:10 $0.33 -0.09% -0.06% -0.40% -1.32% +2815.20% +1.03% -0.21% -0.21% LOSS
2024-10-23 09:29:07 $0.33 -2.64% -1.97% -1.27% -0.88% +2889.98% +0.49% -2.94% -2.09% LOSS
2024-10-22 09:26:40 $0.33 -0.51% -0.44% -0.90% -0.90% +2792.60% +0.48% -1.02% -0.60% LOSS
2024-10-21 09:26:15 $0.34 -0.39% -2.38% -1.40% -1.94% +2795.50% +0.92% -4.44% -0.57% LOSS
2024-10-18 09:28:02 $0.33 -0.73% +0.15% +0.70% +0.03% +2942.09% +2.56% -2.41% -2.38% LOSS
2024-10-17 09:25:40 $0.34 +1.02% -1.73% -1.35% -1.02% +2711.13% +1.38% -0.44% +0.03% WIN
2024-10-16 09:26:28 $0.33 +0.03% +0.94% +1.87% +2.06% +2959.84% +3.63% -0.27% +0.03% WIN
2024-10-15 09:29:25 $0.34 -0.74% -2.19% -1.57% -1.27% -2.52% +0.06% -2.28% -1.07% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 78.1% Baseline on FCEL

The 78.1% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push FCEL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize FCEL Strategy →

Why Analyze FCEL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FCEL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FCEL historically offers an average upside of +3.67% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 FCEL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 78.1%, FCEL shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show FCEL performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +1814.47%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.