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EBAY Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 73 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-07 → 2025-01-08

⚠️ Small sample size (73 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Sep 24, 1998 🔗 www.ebay.com
💰 Market Cap: $42.31B 👥 Employees: 11,500
EBay operates one of the largest e-commerce marketplaces in the world, with $75 billion in 2024 gross merchandise volume, rendering the firm a top 10 global e-commerce company. It generates sales from listing fees, advertising, revenue-sharing arrangements with service providers, and managed payments, with its platform connecting more than 130 million buyers and roughly 20 million sellers across almost 190 global markets at the end of 2024. EBay generates just north of 50% of its GMV in international markets, with a large presence in the UK, Germany, and Australia.
📊
73
Total Alerts
🎯
57.5%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.27%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+1.88%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 53.4%
Avg Gain: +0.15%
Avg Winner: +0.76%
Avg Loser: -0.57%
Best: +2.59%
Worst: -2.46%
Trades: 39/33

15MIN

Win Rate: 57.5%
Avg Gain: +0.27%
Avg Winner: +1.14%
Avg Loser: -0.92%
Best: +3.50%
Worst: -2.57%
Trades: 42/31

30MIN

Win Rate: 56.2%
Avg Gain: +0.39%
Avg Winner: +1.41%
Avg Loser: -0.95%
Best: +4.72%
Worst: -2.83%
Trades: 41/31

60MIN

Win Rate: 54.8%
Avg Gain: +0.26%
Avg Winner: +1.40%
Avg Loser: -1.16%
Best: +5.22%
Worst: -3.58%
Trades: 40/32

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 46.6%
Avg Gain: +0.20%
Avg Winner: +2.06%
Avg Loser: -1.43%
Best: +10.50%
Worst: -5.93%
Trades: 34/39

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.88%
Best MFE: +10.90%
Avg Time to MFE: 132 min

On average, EBAY alerts reach +1.88% profit potential within 132 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.67%
Worst MAE: -3.74%
Avg Time to MAE: 16 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.67%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.8:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.8x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 73 alerts, EBAY typically reaches +1.88% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 73
Gap Up % 58.9%
Avg Gap +0.10%
Best Gap +1.37%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC

How EBAY compares to 59 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
EBAY: +0.15% Sector: -0.05% +0.19%
EOD Gain
EBAY: +0.20% Sector: +1758.96% -1758.77%
Avg MFE
EBAY: +1.88% Sector: +2.89% -1.00%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical EBAY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-08 09:25:01 $68.0 +0.76% +2.07% +3.33% +3.37% +2.06% +5.18% -0.59% -0.15% WIN
2024-10-31 09:29:24 $58.48 -2.46% -2.45% -1.15% -0.58% -1.66% +0.70% -2.52% +0.69% LOSS
2024-05-02 09:29:04 $49.5 +1.43% +1.19% +0.65% +0.34% -0.22% +2.76% -1.98% -0.36% WIN
2024-04-18 09:26:30 $51.45 -1.44% -2.27% -1.40% -1.61% -2.92% - -0.10% -0.23% LOSS
2024-04-10 09:28:47 $51.56 +0.83% +1.48% +1.14% +1.40% +1.75% +1.90% +0.66% +0.78% WIN
2024-03-01 09:26:40 $47.28 -0.06% +0.76% +1.21% +1.65% +1.63% +2.16% -0.47% -0.17% LOSS
2024-02-28 09:29:52 $47.55 +0.55% +0.36% -0.69% -0.17% +0.71% +1.68% -2.15% +0.21% WIN
2023-11-16 09:26:00 $40.45 +0.37% +0.20% -0.35% -0.98% -0.67% +0.67% -0.37% +0.17% WIN
2023-11-08 09:27:00 $37.5 +1.68% +2.56% +2.97% +2.65% +6.53% +6.67% -0.88% -0.59% WIN
2023-09-27 09:28:00 $43.49 +0.41% +0.18% -0.30% -0.78% -1.38% +0.62% +0.14% +0.16% WIN
2023-08-28 09:29:00 $43.95 -0.14% -0.42% +0.09% +0.09% -0.18% +0.23% -0.73% -0.14% LOSS
2023-08-25 09:27:00 $43.79 +0.64% +1.00% +1.05% -0.23% -0.46% +1.28% -0.16% -0.14% WIN
2023-08-11 09:25:00 $43.29 +0.74% +1.87% +0.60% +2.66% +2.80% +2.99% +0.12% +0.16% WIN
2023-07-28 09:27:00 $43.96 +1.23% +2.18% +3.41% +3.00% +2.39% +4.28% +0.02% +0.05% WIN
2023-07-27 09:25:00 $45.8 -1.24% +0.11% -1.59% -1.70% -4.67% +0.59% -2.51% -0.53% LOSS
2023-07-20 09:29:00 $48.83 -0.77% -1.14% -0.38% -1.33% +0.02% +0.27% -1.66% -0.10% LOSS
2023-06-08 09:26:00 $45.37 +0.86% +0.79% - +0.73% +0.53% +1.52% -0.04% +0.40% WIN
2023-05-25 09:25:00 $43.15 -0.30% +0.23% +0.31% +0.48% +1.09% +1.22% -0.51% -0.14% LOSS
2023-05-10 09:25:00 $46.0 +0.22% +0.20% -0.37% -0.16% -0.39% +0.76% +0.17% +0.46% WIN
2023-05-05 09:29:00 $44.5 +1.00% +2.16% +2.07% +1.55% +2.54% +2.72% +0.29% +0.49% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 57.5% Baseline on EBAY

The 57.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push EBAY's performance to 75%+.

Optimize EBAY Strategy →

Why Analyze EBAY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for EBAY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, EBAY historically offers an average upside of +1.88% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 EBAY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 57.5%, EBAY shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show EBAY performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.27%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.