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ECVT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-08-04 → 2023-06-09

⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 29, 2017 🔗 www.ecovyst.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.27B 👥 Employees: 920
Ecovyst Inc is an integrated and provider of materials, specialty catalysts and services. Its products contribute to lower emissions and cleaner air, higher fuel efficiency and cleaner fuels, and key enablers to advance transition to clean energy. The company has two reporting segments: Ecoservices and Advanced Materials & Catalysts. Ecoservices provides sulfuric acid recycling to the North American refining industry for the production of alkylate and provides on-purpose virgin sulfuric acid for water treatment, mining, and industrial applications. Maximum revenue is generated from Ecoservices segment.
📊
6
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+1.11%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+2.66%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +1.31%
Avg Loser: -1.01%
Best: +1.69%
Worst: -1.92%
Trades: 2/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.83%
Avg Winner: +2.88%
Avg Loser: -1.23%
Best: +3.76%
Worst: -2.01%
Trades: 3/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: +0.30%
Avg Winner: +3.01%
Avg Loser: -1.41%
Best: +3.80%
Worst: -1.86%
Trades: 2/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +2.31%
Avg Loser: -2.39%
Best: +3.94%
Worst: -3.94%
Trades: 3/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +1.11%
Avg Winner: +3.10%
Avg Loser: -2.88%
Best: +4.58%
Worst: -3.29%
Trades: 4/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.66%
Best MFE: +5.67%
Avg Time to MFE: 190 min

On average, ECVT alerts reach +2.66% profit potential within 190 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.13%
Worst MAE: -2.84%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.13%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.36:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.36x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, ECVT typically reaches +2.66% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 6
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.16%
Best Gap +2.39%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CHEMICALS & ALLIED PRODUCTS

How ECVT compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ECVT: -0.07% Sector: +0.64% -0.71%
EOD Gain
ECVT: +1.11% Sector: +0.31% +0.79%
Avg MFE
ECVT: +2.66% Sector: +3.90% -1.24%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ECVT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-06-09 09:28:00 $10.92 -1.92% -2.01% -1.65% -1.37% -2.47% -0.96% -1.28% -1.28% LOSS
2023-05-24 09:29:00 $10.55 -0.57% -0.47% -0.71% -1.85% +0.76% +1.61% -2.84% -1.33% LOSS
2023-03-03 09:27:00 $10.65 +0.94% +3.76% +3.80% +3.94% +3.47% +5.07% -1.41% +2.39% WIN
2023-01-12 09:29:00 $9.47 +1.69% +2.48% +2.22% +2.80% +3.59% +3.91% +0.95% +0.95% WIN
2022-11-15 09:25:00 $8.29 - +2.41% - +0.18% +4.58% +5.67% -1.09% -0.60% -
2022-08-04 09:25:00 $9.13 -0.55% -1.20% -1.86% -3.94% -3.29% +0.66% -1.10% -1.10% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on ECVT

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ECVT's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ECVT Strategy →

Why Analyze ECVT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ECVT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ECVT historically offers an average upside of +2.66% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ECVT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, ECVT shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ECVT performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.11%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.