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EDU Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 159 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-01-21

🏢 Company Profile

New Oriental Education and Technology Group, Inc. American Depositary Shares (each representing ten (10) Common Shares)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 07, 2006 🔗 www.neworiental.org
💰 Market Cap: $8.86B 👥 Employees: 84,111
New Oriental Education & Technology is a prominent private education provider in China, offering a wide array of educational services. These include overseas test preparation and consulting services, high school academic tutoring, nonacademic tutoring, and intelligent learning systems and devices. Additionally, the company holds a 57% ownership stake in East Buy, a leading player in the livestreaming e-commerce market.
📊
159
Total Alerts
🎯
47.2%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.05%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+3.66%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 47.2%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +1.24%
Avg Loser: -1.09%
Best: +4.94%
Worst: -6.55%
Trades: 75/78

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.2%
Avg Gain: -0.19%
Avg Winner: +2.20%
Avg Loser: -2.44%
Best: +8.41%
Worst: -10.30%
Trades: 75/80

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.7%
Avg Gain: -0.21%
Avg Winner: +2.67%
Avg Loser: -2.57%
Best: +9.41%
Worst: -12.11%
Trades: 71/87

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.2%
Avg Gain: -0.19%
Avg Winner: +2.66%
Avg Loser: -2.81%
Best: +23.18%
Worst: -10.56%
Trades: 75/82

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 44.0%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +4.16%
Avg Loser: -3.37%
Best: +26.16%
Worst: -13.95%
Trades: 70/84

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.66%
Best MFE: +29.73%
Avg Time to MFE: 85 min

On average, EDU alerts reach +3.66% profit potential within 85 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.31%
Worst MAE: -8.40%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.31%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.8:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.8x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 159 alerts, EDU typically reaches +3.66% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 159
Gap Up % 40.9%
Avg Gap -0.11%
Best Gap +2.31%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical EDU alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-21 09:25:40 $50.21 -1.67% -10.30% -8.28% -4.26% -6.97% +0.84% -3.19% -0.28% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:29:48 $61.26 +0.69% -0.08% -0.42% -0.91% -3.61% +0.73% -0.23% +0.47% WIN
2024-10-28 09:28:55 $63.1 -0.39% +0.06% +0.92% +1.41% +1.71% +2.06% -1.05% -0.25% LOSS
2024-10-23 09:28:24 $63.5 -0.18% -2.02% -2.09% -2.35% -3.18% +1.57% -0.52% -0.46% LOSS
2024-10-10 09:29:23 $75.97 -0.41% -1.61% -0.97% -2.11% -1.20% +0.47% -0.93% -0.93% LOSS
2024-10-04 09:29:19 $82.2 -0.63% +0.90% -1.02% -1.58% -1.95% +1.79% +0.58% +0.58% LOSS
2024-10-02 09:25:55 $80.3 +4.94% +6.12% +4.53% +0.93% -2.32% +8.67% -1.62% +2.10% WIN
2024-09-27 09:27:31 $73.55 +0.93% +1.62% +0.79% +1.54% -0.11% +3.58% +0.64% +2.31% WIN
2024-09-26 09:25:02 $71.5 +1.05% +2.06% +2.23% +1.59% -0.67% +4.45% - +0.60% WIN
2024-07-31 09:29:27 $73.0 -6.55% -6.15% -6.21% -8.82% -13.95% +0.34% -2.74% +0.34% LOSS
2024-07-25 09:26:36 $70.7 +2.21% +1.39% +2.56% +3.99% -0.52% +4.41% +0.14% +0.65% WIN
2024-05-30 09:29:28 $83.74 +0.08% +0.27% +0.08% +0.29% +0.05% +1.02% -0.45% +0.07% WIN
2024-04-26 09:26:03 $84.2 -0.01% -2.84% -1.69% -1.89% -1.12% +0.31% -0.38% -0.24% LOSS
2024-04-24 09:25:57 $87.5 -3.13% -7.03% -12.11% -10.46% -11.91% - - -3.38% LOSS
2024-02-08 09:29:44 $87.14 -0.54% -1.41% -2.20% +0.41% -0.48% +1.48% +0.79% +1.21% LOSS
2024-02-06 09:28:20 $81.2 -0.52% +0.18% -0.10% -0.28% -0.53% +2.35% -1.92% -0.25% LOSS
2023-12-22 09:26:00 $67.95 -0.37% +3.49% +2.28% +2.35% +2.55% +5.20% -0.50% -0.19% LOSS
2023-12-21 09:26:00 $75.0 -1.33% -2.71% -2.67% -4.04% -2.47% - - -1.33% LOSS
2023-12-20 09:25:00 $73.8 -0.45% +0.47% +0.38% +0.05% -2.09% +0.66% -0.91% -0.79% LOSS
2023-12-18 09:26:00 $77.92 +0.37% +0.91% -1.57% -1.71% -2.32% +1.73% -0.31% -0.01% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 47.2% Baseline on EDU

The 47.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push EDU's performance to 75%+.

Optimize EDU Strategy →

Why Analyze EDU with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for EDU. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, EDU historically offers an average upside of +3.66% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 EDU Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 47.2%, EDU shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show EDU performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.05%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.