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EDUC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-09-24 → 2024-09-24

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 01, 1972 🔗 www.edcpub.com
💰 Market Cap: $12.0M 👥 Employees: 83
Educational Development Corp is the United States trade publisher of the line of educational children's books produced in the United Kingdom. Its business activity functions with two reportable segments: PaperPie and Publishing. The Publishing Division segment markets its products to retail accounts, which include books, school supplies, toy and gift stores and museums, through commissioned sales representatives, trade and specialty wholesalers and an internal telesales group.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
0.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-4.55%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+7.73%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -4.55%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -4.55%
Best: -4.55%
Worst: -4.55%
Trades: 0/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -11.36%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -11.36%
Best: -11.36%
Worst: -11.36%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -10.91%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -10.91%
Best: -10.91%
Worst: -10.91%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -3.64%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -3.64%
Best: -3.64%
Worst: -3.64%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.73%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.73%
Best: -2.73%
Worst: -2.73%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.73%
Best MFE: +7.73%
Avg Time to MFE: 253 min

On average, EDUC alerts reach +7.73% profit potential within 253 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -14.55%
Worst MAE: -14.55%
Avg Time to MAE: 19 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 14.55%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.53:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, EDUC typically reaches +7.73% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -4.09%
Best Gap -4.09%

🏭 Sector Comparison: WHOLESALE-MISCELLANEOUS NONDURABLE GOODS

How EDUC compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
EDUC: -4.55% Sector: -1.71% -2.83%
EOD Gain
EDUC: -2.73% Sector: +707.44% -710.17%
Avg MFE
EDUC: +7.73% Sector: +8.52% -0.80%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical EDUC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-09-24 09:27:36 $2.2 -4.55% -11.36% -10.91% -3.64% -2.73% +7.73% -14.55% -4.09% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ EDUC Shows Negative Expectancy

With 0.0% win rate and -4.55% average gain, EDUC alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider EDUC for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze EDUC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for EDUC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, EDUC historically offers an average upside of +7.73% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 EDUC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 0.0%, EDUC shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests EDUC may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: EDUC shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -4.55%). This suggests EDUC is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.