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Latest signal:

EFA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 164 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-26 → 2025-02-03

🏢 Company Profile

iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Dec 06, 2007
📊
164
Total Alerts
🎯
55.5%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.05%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+0.59%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 54.3%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.09%
Avg Loser: -0.08%
Best: +0.71%
Worst: -0.32%
Trades: 89/69

15MIN

Win Rate: 46.3%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.16%
Avg Loser: -0.14%
Best: +0.67%
Worst: -0.66%
Trades: 76/83

30MIN

Win Rate: 55.5%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.24%
Avg Loser: -0.19%
Best: +1.06%
Worst: -0.69%
Trades: 91/73

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.6%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.36%
Avg Loser: -0.31%
Best: +1.17%
Worst: -1.24%
Trades: 78/84

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 51.8%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.67%
Avg Loser: -0.70%
Best: +3.95%
Worst: -2.54%
Trades: 85/78

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.59%
Best MFE: +4.42%
Avg Time to MFE: 160 min

On average, EFA alerts reach +0.59% profit potential within 160 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.19%
Worst MAE: -1.21%
Avg Time to MAE: 33 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.19%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.2:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.2x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 164 alerts, EFA typically reaches +0.59% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 164
Gap Up % 47.6%
Avg Gap +0.00%
Best Gap +0.74%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical EFA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-03 09:29:05 $77.87 +0.16% +0.10% -0.12% +0.90% +0.56% +1.19% -0.29% +0.05% WIN
2024-11-29 09:25:07 $77.93 +0.40% +0.53% +0.56% +0.69% +1.33% +1.39% +0.36% +0.40% WIN
2024-11-25 09:26:12 $78.1 +0.08% +0.16% +0.12% +0.10% -0.18% +0.22% +0.01% +0.08% WIN
2024-11-20 09:28:37 $77.1 -0.05% -0.18% -0.35% -0.30% +0.18% +0.21% -0.52% +0.04% LOSS
2024-10-18 09:25:15 $81.83 -0.07% -0.20% -0.22% -0.15% +0.13% +0.17% -0.26% -0.02% LOSS
2024-10-15 09:28:05 $82.24 -0.10% -0.09% -0.14% -0.23% -1.30% +0.02% -0.01% - LOSS
2024-07-11 09:29:25 $81.01 +0.01% +0.02% +0.02% -0.12% -0.36% +0.21% -0.13% +0.04% WIN
2024-06-25 09:27:04 $78.61 -0.15% -0.07% -0.15% -0.04% +0.19% +0.34% -0.18% -0.06% LOSS
2024-05-06 09:27:49 $79.32 -0.06% -0.02% +0.04% +0.11% +0.18% +0.25% -0.09% -0.01% LOSS
2024-05-03 09:26:43 $78.98 -0.11% -0.08% +0.03% -0.56% -0.08% +0.30% -0.29% - LOSS
2024-05-01 09:25:53 $77.24 -0.03% -0.16% -0.20% -0.23% -0.18% +1.00% -0.43% +0.01% LOSS
2024-04-15 09:25:38 $78.19 -0.09% +0.01% -0.12% -0.52% -1.51% +0.06% -0.12% -0.06% LOSS
2024-04-09 09:26:22 $79.72 +0.03% +0.03% -0.31% -0.26% -0.46% +0.10% -0.03% +0.01% WIN
2024-03-26 09:29:59 $79.84 -0.06% -0.08% -0.03% -0.12% -0.35% +0.04% -0.10% +0.01% LOSS
2024-03-21 09:27:28 $79.92 -0.03% +0.09% -0.01% -0.06% -0.14% +0.14% -0.08% -0.03% LOSS
2024-03-05 09:29:38 $77.86 -0.08% -0.04% +0.25% +0.05% -0.26% +0.35% -0.10% -0.01% LOSS
2024-03-04 09:29:33 $77.74 +0.01% -0.01% +0.04% -0.03% +0.08% +0.28% -0.08% +0.03% WIN
2024-02-27 09:26:37 $77.32 +0.05% +0.01% +0.10% +0.08% +0.23% +0.30% -0.05% +0.03% WIN
2023-12-26 09:27:00 $74.73 +0.16% +0.21% +0.15% +0.27% +0.46% +0.61% +0.11% +0.11% WIN
2023-12-22 09:27:00 $74.8 +0.09% +0.15% +0.13% +0.09% -0.09% +0.23% - +0.03% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 55.5% Baseline on EFA

The 55.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push EFA's performance to 75%+.

Optimize EFA Strategy →

Why Analyze EFA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for EFA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, EFA historically offers an average upside of +0.59% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 EFA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 55.5%, EFA shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show EFA performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.05%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.