Latest signal:
EGY Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 9 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-07 → 2023-11-08
⚠️ Small sample size (9 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, EGY alerts reach +3.05% profit potential within 45 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.91%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.35x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 9 alerts, EGY typically reaches +3.05% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.4% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS
How EGY compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical EGY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-08 | 09:26:00 | $3.82 | +3.66% | +7.85% | +7.59% | +5.76% | +1.83% | +8.51% | +0.26% | +3.66% | WIN |
| 2023-08-30 | 09:28:00 | $4.04 | -0.87% | - | - | - | -2.72% | +1.98% | -1.98% | -0.99% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-10 | 09:29:00 | $3.84 | -4.69% | -4.17% | -2.47% | -5.99% | - | +4.17% | -5.99% | -1.56% | LOSS |
| 2023-01-13 | 09:27:00 | $4.67 | -0.86% | -2.57% | -3.53% | -0.54% | -0.64% | +0.64% | -3.64% | -0.64% | LOSS |
| 2022-09-23 | 09:25:00 | $4.39 | -0.46% | -5.81% | -6.04% | -6.26% | -6.15% | - | - | -0.46% | LOSS |
| 2022-08-03 | 09:25:00 | $5.5 | +2.36% | -1.09% | -1.83% | -5.64% | -12.36% | +3.27% | +1.45% | +3.27% | WIN |
| 2022-07-14 | 09:25:00 | $5.5 | -1.82% | -6.18% | -9.45% | -11.36% | -5.45% | +1.27% | +1.09% | -1.45% | LOSS |
| 2022-04-11 | 09:25:00 | $7.36 | -3.26% | -4.55% | -2.99% | -1.22% | -6.52% | +0.14% | +0.14% | +0.14% | LOSS |
| 2022-03-07 | 09:25:00 | $6.54 | +1.61% | +3.82% | +5.20% | +6.57% | +5.35% | +7.49% | +0.46% | +0.61% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ EGY Shows Negative Expectancy
With 33.3% win rate and -0.48% average gain, EGY alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider EGY for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze EGY with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for EGY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, EGY historically offers an average upside of +3.05% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 EGY Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 33.3%, EGY shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests EGY may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: EGY shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.48%). This suggests EGY is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.