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ESAB Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-11-16 → 2022-11-16

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Mar 21, 2022 🔗 www.esabcorporation.com
💰 Market Cap: $7.33B 👥 Employees: 9,300
ESAB, spun off from Colfax in 2022, is a leading manufacturer of equipment and consumables used in welding, cutting, and joining applications. Alongside competitors Lincoln Electric and ITW's Miller brand, ESAB is one of the top three players in the welding space. ESAB generated roughly $2.7 billion in revenue in 2024.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.94%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+7.67%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.94%
Avg Winner: +0.94%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.94%
Worst: +0.94%
Trades: 1/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.95%
Avg Winner: +2.95%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +2.95%
Worst: +2.95%
Trades: 1/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.86%
Avg Winner: +2.86%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +2.86%
Worst: +2.86%
Trades: 1/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +4.61%
Avg Winner: +4.61%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +4.61%
Worst: +4.61%
Trades: 1/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +5.58%
Avg Winner: +5.58%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +5.58%
Worst: +5.58%
Trades: 1/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.67%
Best MFE: +7.67%
Avg Time to MFE: 41 min

On average, ESAB alerts reach +7.67% profit potential within 41 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.21%
Worst MAE: -0.21%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.21%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

36.39:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 36.39x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, ESAB typically reaches +7.67% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +0.14%
Best Gap +0.14%

🏭 Sector Comparison: GENERAL INDUSTRIAL MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT, NEC

How ESAB compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ESAB: +0.94% Sector: -0.71% +1.65%
EOD Gain
ESAB: +5.58% Sector: +96.00% -90.42%
Avg MFE
ESAB: +7.67% Sector: +9.16% -1.49%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ESAB alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-11-16 09:25:00 $42.69 +0.94% +2.95% +2.86% +4.61% +5.58% +7.67% -0.21% +0.14% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on ESAB

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ESAB's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ESAB Strategy →

Why Analyze ESAB with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ESAB. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ESAB historically offers an average upside of +7.67% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ESAB Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, ESAB shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ESAB performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.94%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.