Latest signal:
ESTC Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 9 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-18 → 2024-11-22
⚠️ Small sample size (9 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, ESTC alerts reach +5.12% profit potential within 85 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.78%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.87x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 9 alerts, ESTC typically reaches +5.12% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.1% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
How ESTC compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical ESTC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-22 | 09:27:32 | $117.6 | -1.53% | -3.73% | -4.08% | -6.65% | -8.14% | +0.49% | -2.04% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-08-30 | 09:26:37 | $76.1 | +2.23% | -1.20% | -1.88% | -1.37% | +0.12% | +6.14% | +0.29% | +4.10% | WIN |
| 2024-03-01 | 09:25:21 | $113.81 | +1.92% | +0.77% | +2.92% | +2.67% | +2.81% | +5.41% | -1.24% | +1.89% | WIN |
| 2023-12-01 | 09:28:00 | $98.38 | +2.54% | +6.05% | +8.76% | +8.49% | +12.01% | +13.59% | -3.35% | -0.14% | WIN |
| 2023-09-01 | 09:29:00 | $73.25 | +1.01% | -0.70% | -1.72% | +1.12% | +1.39% | +4.11% | -2.70% | -0.72% | WIN |
| 2023-03-03 | 09:28:00 | $63.5 | +2.48% | +3.04% | +5.10% | -1.40% | +0.68% | +5.54% | -1.81% | -0.36% | WIN |
| 2022-12-01 | 09:25:00 | $53.79 | +2.66% | +0.83% | +4.79% | +2.53% | +6.28% | +7.40% | -3.33% | +0.39% | WIN |
| 2022-03-25 | 09:25:00 | $93.1 | -0.05% | -2.00% | -2.99% | -3.45% | -4.60% | +0.48% | -0.05% | +0.48% | LOSS |
| 2022-01-18 | 09:25:00 | $92.01 | +0.42% | -0.30% | +1.40% | +1.55% | -2.04% | +2.92% | -1.81% | +0.10% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
🚀 Beat the 77.8% Baseline on ESTC
The 77.8% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ESTC's performance to 75%+.
Optimize ESTC Strategy →Why Analyze ESTC with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ESTC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, ESTC historically offers an average upside of +5.12% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 ESTC Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 77.8%, ESTC shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ESTC performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.30%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.