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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$ESTC

Trade-Ideas alerts 73.3% at 5-min n=15 2022-01-18 → 2026-08-28

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 15 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 05, 2018 🔗 www.elastic.co
💰 Market Cap: $9.86B 👥 Employees: 3,834
Elastic is a software company that specializes in AI-search, observability, and security deployments. Its search division offers both traditional keyword search and vector search methods to enable more context-aware querying. The software has open-source origins but generates revenue through valuable add-ons, including simplified data orchestration and server scaling techniques.
Total alerts
15
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
73.3%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
+0.84%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+5.70%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading ESTC on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 73.3%
Avg Gain: +0.84%
Avg Winner: +1.57%
Avg Loser: -1.16%
Best: +2.66%
Worst: -3.03%
Trades: 11/4

15MIN

Win Rate: 53.3%
Avg Gain: +0.68%
Avg Winner: +3.00%
Avg Loser: -1.97%
Best: +9.35%
Worst: -3.73%
Trades: 8/7

30MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +1.72%
Avg Winner: +4.28%
Avg Loser: -2.12%
Best: +11.25%
Worst: -4.08%
Trades: 9/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 53.3%
Avg Gain: +0.91%
Avg Winner: +4.12%
Avg Loser: -2.76%
Best: +14.53%
Worst: -6.65%
Trades: 8/7

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +2.17%
Avg Winner: +5.30%
Avg Loser: -4.09%
Best: +22.42%
Worst: -8.14%
Trades: 10/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.70%
Best MFE: +23.47%
Avg Time to MFE: 118 min

On average, ESTC alerts reach +5.70% profit potential within 118 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.81%
Worst MAE: -4.85%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.81%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.14:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.14x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 15 alerts, ESTC typically reaches +5.70% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 15
Gap Up % 46.7%
Avg Gap +0.49%
Best Gap +4.10%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

How ESTC compares to 179 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ESTC: +0.84% Sector: -0.09% +0.93%
EOD Gain
ESTC: +2.17% Sector: +49.20% -47.03%
Avg MFE
ESTC: +5.70% Sector: +4.30% +1.39%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ESTC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-08-28 09:25:00 $104.17 +1.33% -2.34% -0.31% -5.59% -4.09% +3.68% -1.34% -0.27% WIN
2026-07-31 09:25:00 $64.01 -0.03% +2.24% +2.80% +0.09% +2.78% +3.19% -1.27% -0.58% LOSS
2026-06-15 09:25:00 $61.11 +0.27% +1.01% +0.71% +1.96% +1.95% +3.73% -1.49% -0.07% WIN
2026-06-01 09:25:00 $66.35 -3.03% -3.53% -1.73% -0.41% +2.58% +3.57% -4.85% +1.09% LOSS
2026-05-29 09:25:00 $52.85 +1.80% +9.35% +11.25% +14.53% +22.42% +23.47% -0.70% +2.01% WIN
2026-05-07 09:25:00 $52.44 +0.59% +0.69% +0.76% -0.46% -1.56% +1.70% -1.53% -0.63% WIN
2024-11-22 09:27:32 $117.6 -1.53% -3.73% -4.08% -6.65% -8.14% +0.49% -2.04% +0.00% LOSS
2024-08-30 09:26:37 $76.1 +2.23% -1.20% -1.88% -1.37% +0.12% +6.14% +0.29% +4.10% WIN
2024-03-01 09:25:21 $113.81 +1.92% +0.77% +2.92% +2.67% +2.81% +5.41% -1.24% +1.89% WIN
2023-12-01 09:28:00 $98.38 +2.54% +6.05% +8.76% +8.49% +12.01% +13.59% -3.35% -0.14% WIN
2023-09-01 09:29:00 $73.25 +1.01% -0.70% -1.72% +1.12% +1.39% +4.11% -2.70% -0.72% WIN
2023-03-03 09:28:00 $63.5 +2.48% +3.04% +5.10% -1.40% +0.68% +5.54% -1.81% -0.36% WIN
2022-12-01 09:25:00 $53.79 +2.66% +0.83% +4.79% +2.53% +6.28% +7.40% -3.33% +0.39% WIN
2022-03-25 09:25:00 $93.1 -0.05% -2.00% -2.99% -3.45% -4.60% +0.48% -0.05% +0.48% LOSS
2022-01-18 09:25:00 $92.01 +0.42% -0.30% +1.40% +1.55% -2.04% +2.92% -1.81% +0.10% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 73.3% Baseline on ESTC

The 73.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push ESTC's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ESTC Strategy →

Why Analyze ESTC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ESTC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ESTC historically offers an average upside of +5.70% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ESTC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 73.3%, ESTC shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ESTC performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.84%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.