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Latest signal:

ETH Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 60 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-07-23 → 2025-02-04

⚠️ Small sample size (60 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Grayscale Ethereum Staking Mini ETF Shares COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS (SIC 6221)
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Jul 23, 2024
📊
60
Total Alerts
🎯
68.3%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+495.43%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+2.02%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.58%
Avg Loser: -0.34%
Best: +2.91%
Worst: -0.91%
Trades: 20/36

15MIN

Win Rate: 30.0%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.80%
Avg Loser: -0.55%
Best: +3.88%
Worst: -1.77%
Trades: 18/39

30MIN

Win Rate: 41.7%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +0.89%
Avg Loser: -0.90%
Best: +6.79%
Worst: -2.77%
Trades: 25/33

60MIN

Win Rate: 36.7%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.55%
Avg Loser: -1.02%
Best: +9.12%
Worst: -3.00%
Trades: 22/35

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 68.3%
Avg Gain: +495.43%
Avg Winner: +725.74%
Avg Loser: -1.84%
Best: +963.76%
Worst: -4.74%
Trades: 41/16

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.02%
Best MFE: +15.53%
Avg Time to MFE: 155 min

On average, ETH alerts reach +2.02% profit potential within 155 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.92%
Worst MAE: -3.42%
Avg Time to MAE: 28 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.92%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.19:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.19x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 60 alerts, ETH typically reaches +2.02% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 60
Gap Up % 31.7%
Avg Gap +0.03%
Best Gap +1.46%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS

How ETH compares to 41 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ETH: -0.01% Sector: -0.01% -0.00%
EOD Gain
ETH: +495.43% Sector: +257.70% +237.73%
Avg MFE
ETH: +2.02% Sector: +1.89% +0.13%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ETH alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-04 09:25:06 $26.38 -0.08% +1.28% +1.21% -0.61% -2.31% +2.57% -2.22% +0.11% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:29:31 $24.16 +1.74% +2.28% +2.19% +4.35% +5.71% +8.32% -0.41% +0.08% WIN
2024-12-20 09:29:21 $31.55 -0.35% -0.32% -0.67% +1.24% +2.76% +4.44% -1.33% -0.70% LOSS
2024-11-21 09:27:01 $31.67 -0.19% -0.82% -0.25% -2.31% -0.09% +1.04% -3.35% -0.03% LOSS
2024-11-19 09:28:47 $2.92 -0.17% +0.67% +0.34% -0.34% - +1.71% -0.34% +0.34% LOSS
2024-11-18 09:25:25 $2.93 -0.57% -0.51% -1.09% -0.56% +917.06% +3.07% -1.37% - LOSS
2024-11-15 09:26:11 $2.89 +0.17% -0.35% - -1.21% +0.69% +1.04% -1.73% - WIN
2024-11-14 09:26:03 $3.0 +0.33% -1.65% -1.98% -3.00% +873.33% +0.67% - +0.33% WIN
2024-11-13 09:28:06 $3.06 +1.30% +1.47% +2.93% +2.12% -2.29% +2.94% -0.33% - WIN
2024-11-12 09:29:53 $3.08 - +0.03% +0.65% -0.10% +0.97% +1.30% -1.62% -0.32% -
2024-11-11 09:29:07 $2.98 +0.67% +0.14% +0.67% +2.03% +963.76% +7.05% -0.34% +0.34% WIN
2024-11-08 09:26:13 $2.78 -0.36% -0.36% -1.34% -0.18% +896.40% +1.44% -1.80% +0.36% LOSS
2024-11-07 09:28:15 $2.65 +0.01% -0.38% -0.57% +0.57% +933.96% +3.77% -1.13% - WIN
2024-11-06 09:29:33 $2.48 +0.00% - -0.40% +0.81% +928.23% +2.82% -0.81% - LOSS
2024-11-05 09:28:33 $2.32 +0.36% +0.43% +0.22% -1.08% +882.76% +0.86% -0.43% -0.43% WIN
2024-11-01 09:26:12 $2.39 +0.01% +0.52% +1.14% +1.67% +891.63% +2.09% -0.42% -0.42% WIN
2024-10-31 09:29:22 $2.47 -0.40% -0.20% -0.69% -2.02% -4.45% +0.40% - +0.40% LOSS
2024-10-30 09:27:31 $2.54 -0.20% -0.79% +0.20% +0.52% +884.25% +1.18% -1.18% - LOSS
2024-10-29 09:25:00 $2.47 -0.09% +0.20% +0.61% +0.20% +900.00% +2.43% -0.40% - LOSS
2024-10-28 09:29:31 $2.39 -0.42% -0.21% -1.25% -0.84% +887.45% - -0.63% - LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 68.3% Baseline on ETH

The 68.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ETH's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ETH Strategy →

Why Analyze ETH with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ETH. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ETH historically offers an average upside of +2.02% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ETH Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 68.3%, ETH shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ETH performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +495.43%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.