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Latest signal:

ETHE Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 49 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-07-23 → 2025-02-13

⚠️ Small sample size (49 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Grayscale Ethereum Staking ETF Shares COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS (SIC 6221)
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: May 17, 2019
📊
49
Total Alerts
🎯
59.2%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.20%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+2.45%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 59.2%
Avg Gain: +0.20%
Avg Winner: +0.53%
Avg Loser: -0.30%
Best: +2.85%
Worst: -1.47%
Trades: 29/19

15MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: +0.20%
Avg Winner: +0.77%
Avg Loser: -0.56%
Best: +3.81%
Worst: -1.41%
Trades: 28/21

30MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: +0.26%
Avg Winner: +1.16%
Avg Loser: -0.94%
Best: +6.86%
Worst: -2.78%
Trades: 28/21

60MIN

Win Rate: 55.1%
Avg Gain: +0.50%
Avg Winner: +1.55%
Avg Loser: -0.79%
Best: +8.92%
Worst: -2.19%
Trades: 27/22

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 44.9%
Avg Gain: +0.38%
Avg Winner: +2.92%
Avg Loser: -1.69%
Best: +10.00%
Worst: -7.24%
Trades: 22/27

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.45%
Best MFE: +15.30%
Avg Time to MFE: 172 min

On average, ETHE alerts reach +2.45% profit potential within 172 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.96%
Worst MAE: -4.25%
Avg Time to MAE: 26 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.96%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.54:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.54x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 49 alerts, ETHE typically reaches +2.45% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 49
Gap Up % 42.9%
Avg Gap +0.04%
Best Gap +0.55%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS

How ETHE compares to 41 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ETHE: +0.20% Sector: -0.01% +0.21%
EOD Gain
ETHE: +0.38% Sector: +257.70% -257.32%
Avg MFE
ETHE: +2.45% Sector: +1.89% +0.56%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ETHE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-13 09:27:40 $22.13 +0.05% -0.32% -0.38% -0.07% +0.23% +0.72% -1.15% -0.09% WIN
2025-02-12 09:28:42 $21.5 +0.19% +0.79% +1.02% +0.91% +4.14% +4.79% -0.98% -0.19% WIN
2025-02-11 09:28:41 $22.21 -0.04% +0.23% +0.32% -0.05% -2.30% +0.72% -0.20% -0.09% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:29:46 $23.33 -0.43% -0.02% -0.75% -1.54% -7.24% +0.30% -0.60% +0.04% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:25:25 $23.48 +0.21% +0.02% -0.38% -0.81% -1.62% +0.47% +0.17% +0.34% WIN
2025-02-04 09:27:49 $23.44 +0.98% +1.07% +0.68% -0.64% -2.35% +2.47% -2.35% - WIN
2025-02-03 09:28:56 $21.38 +2.85% +2.90% +2.85% +5.07% +5.99% +8.56% -0.23% +0.23% WIN
2025-01-31 09:28:48 $28.1 -0.18% +0.07% -0.21% +1.07% -1.32% +2.42% -0.68% +0.11% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:28:28 $27.22 - +0.07% +0.37% +0.07% -0.66% +0.96% -0.36% - -
2025-01-27 09:26:16 $25.96 +0.48% +0.58% +1.23% +0.71% +1.31% +1.62% -0.31% -0.04% WIN
2025-01-21 09:27:23 $27.84 -0.40% -0.83% -1.31% -0.81% -0.40% +1.29% -1.87% +0.18% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:27:26 $25.41 +0.04% -0.91% +0.16% +0.54% +1.89% +2.22% -4.05% +0.39% WIN
2025-01-02 09:28:44 $29.0 +0.69% +0.52% +1.02% +0.28% -0.28% +1.42% -0.03% - WIN
2024-12-20 09:26:27 $27.87 +0.61% +0.61% +0.47% +1.90% +3.55% +5.38% -0.50% +0.14% WIN
2024-12-18 09:26:26 $32.41 -0.12% -0.49% -0.66% -0.31% -4.44% +1.30% -1.02% +0.09% LOSS
2024-12-09 09:27:04 $32.64 +0.25% +0.74% +1.41% -0.66% -3.74% +1.56% -0.11% -0.03% WIN
2024-12-06 09:25:27 $32.77 +0.49% +0.21% +2.14% +2.99% +3.97% +5.02% +0.09% +0.55% WIN
2024-12-05 09:26:09 $32.9 +0.15% +0.46% +0.58% -0.56% -2.31% +1.23% -0.12% +0.21% WIN
2024-12-04 09:28:38 $31.28 +0.53% +0.83% +1.73% +3.07% +4.44% +4.76% -0.19% -0.03% WIN
2024-12-03 09:28:31 $29.88 -1.47% -0.03% +0.70% +0.52% +1.54% +1.61% -1.54% -0.10% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 59.2% Baseline on ETHE

The 59.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ETHE's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ETHE Strategy →

Why Analyze ETHE with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ETHE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ETHE historically offers an average upside of +2.45% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ETHE Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 59.2%, ETHE shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ETHE performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.20%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.