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ETN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 27 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-09-27 → 2025-01-27

⚠️ Small sample size (27 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Eaton Corporation, plc Ordinary Shares MISC INDUSTRIAL & COMMERCIAL MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT (SIC 3590)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Dec 01, 1948 🔗 www.eaton.com
💰 Market Cap: $128.65B 👥 Employees: 94,000
Founded in 1911 by Joseph Eaton, the eponymous company began by selling truck axles in New Jersey. Eaton has since become an industrial powerhouse largely through acquisitions in various end markets. Eaton's portfolio can broadly be divided into two parts: its electrical and industrial businesses. Its electrical portfolio (representing around 70% of company revenue) sells components within data centers, utilities, and commercial and residential buildings, while its industrial business (30% of revenue) sells components within commercial and passenger vehicles and aircraft. Eaton receives favorable tax treatment as a domiciliary of Ireland, but it generates over half of its revenue within the US.
📊
27
Total Alerts
🎯
51.9%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.01%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.09%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 51.9%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.63%
Avg Loser: -0.69%
Best: +2.97%
Worst: -1.93%
Trades: 14/13

15MIN

Win Rate: 48.1%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.79%
Avg Loser: -0.89%
Best: +2.20%
Worst: -4.65%
Trades: 13/14

30MIN

Win Rate: 40.7%
Avg Gain: -0.23%
Avg Winner: +0.66%
Avg Loser: -0.84%
Best: +2.45%
Worst: -3.23%
Trades: 11/16

60MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.38%
Avg Winner: +0.78%
Avg Loser: -1.30%
Best: +1.64%
Worst: -3.41%
Trades: 12/15

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.30%
Avg Winner: +1.47%
Avg Loser: -1.72%
Best: +2.42%
Worst: -6.36%
Trades: 12/15

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.09%
Best MFE: +3.57%
Avg Time to MFE: 129 min

On average, ETN alerts reach +1.09% profit potential within 129 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.51%
Worst MAE: -1.66%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.51%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.12:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.12x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 27 alerts, ETN typically reaches +1.09% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 27
Gap Up % 37.0%
Avg Gap +0.02%
Best Gap +2.01%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MISC INDUSTRIAL & COMMERCIAL MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT

How ETN compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ETN: -0.01% Sector: -0.13% +0.12%
EOD Gain
ETN: -0.30% Sector: +46.17% -46.47%
Avg MFE
ETN: +1.09% Sector: +2.39% -1.30%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ETN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-27 09:27:22 $332.72 -1.48% -4.65% -3.23% -3.41% -6.36% -0.72% -1.42% -0.97% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:27:33 $349.9 -0.95% -0.92% -0.99% -1.37% -2.09% -0.06% -1.01% -0.85% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:28:24 $342.09 -0.22% -0.16% -0.20% -1.04% +0.88% +1.05% -1.20% -0.12% LOSS
2025-01-07 09:27:17 $349.0 -0.13% -0.71% -0.74% -1.25% -1.46% +0.14% -0.19% -0.19% LOSS
2025-01-03 09:25:14 $335.83 -0.65% +0.16% +0.34% +0.76% +2.01% +2.27% -0.65% -0.56% LOSS
2024-12-23 09:27:30 $339.84 -0.96% -0.98% -1.13% -1.63% -0.63% -0.39% -1.66% -0.80% LOSS
2024-12-17 09:26:42 $352.99 -1.06% -0.80% -0.90% -2.12% -1.67% -0.41% -1.46% -0.46% LOSS
2024-12-11 09:27:43 $361.02 -1.93% -1.33% -0.90% -1.15% +0.25% +1.10% -0.63% +0.94% LOSS
2024-11-20 09:28:10 $365.79 -0.29% -0.70% -1.16% -1.38% -1.46% +0.47% -0.65% -0.16% LOSS
2024-11-08 09:28:35 $361.36 +0.28% +0.11% +0.72% +0.90% +1.47% +2.19% -0.02% +0.19% WIN
2024-11-07 09:27:03 $361.0 +0.03% -0.35% +0.31% +0.18% -0.12% +0.59% -0.80% -0.28% WIN
2024-10-28 09:28:22 $347.54 -0.16% -0.49% -0.03% -0.08% -0.58% +0.31% -0.70% +0.12% LOSS
2024-09-26 09:28:44 $334.09 +0.10% -0.27% -0.67% -1.03% -0.32% +0.66% -0.55% -0.28% WIN
2024-09-12 09:27:47 $297.2 -0.53% +0.02% -0.27% +1.54% +2.08% +2.44% -0.79% -0.12% LOSS
2024-08-22 09:27:42 $301.85 +0.25% +0.27% -0.88% -0.68% -1.38% +0.51% -0.46% -0.46% WIN
2024-08-21 09:25:03 $296.28 +0.03% +0.43% +0.17% +0.57% +1.15% +1.81% -0.04% +0.06% WIN
2024-08-09 09:28:09 $285.28 +0.98% +0.96% +0.75% +0.80% +2.23% +2.42% +0.15% +0.55% WIN
2024-08-08 09:28:23 $280.68 +0.93% +0.26% +0.37% +0.58% +2.42% +2.63% -0.92% +0.49% WIN
2024-07-31 09:28:04 $300.15 +2.97% +2.20% +2.45% +1.64% +1.55% +3.57% -0.29% +2.01% WIN
2024-07-30 09:28:12 $296.82 +0.68% +1.50% -0.44% -1.33% -3.23% +1.92% -0.28% +0.25% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ ETN Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 51.9% win rate, ETN has -0.01% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making ETN profitable.

🔧 Fix ETN Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze ETN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ETN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ETN historically offers an average upside of +1.09% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ETN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.9%, ETN shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.69%) outweigh average wins (+0.63%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: ETN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.01%). This suggests ETN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.