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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$ETSY

Trade-Ideas alerts 53.2% at 60-min n=63 2022-02-04 → 2026-08-25

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 63 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Apr 16, 2015 🔗 www.etsy.com
💰 Market Cap: $6.68B 👥 Employees: 2,375
Founded in 2005, Etsy operates a leading global marketplace, connecting roughly 87 million active buyers and 6 million sellers of unique, handmade, and vintage goods. In fiscal 2025, the firm generated $2.9 billion in revenue and almost $12 billion in gross merchandise sales. The firm monetizes its marketplace primarily through transaction fees and advertising, with core categories spanning homeware, jewelry, apparel, and craft supplies. The US drives 74% of sales, though its core geographic reach extends to the UK, Germany, Canada, and Australia.
Total alerts
63
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 60MIN
53.2%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 60MIN
+0.09%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+2.93%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading ETSY on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

Playable ETSY setups

Historical ETSY setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 43.5%
Avg Gain: -0.17%
Avg Winner: +1.62%
Avg Loser: -1.56%
Best: +5.16%
Worst: -9.34%
Trades: 27/35

15MIN

Win Rate: 48.4%
Avg Gain: -0.23%
Avg Winner: +1.76%
Avg Loser: -2.16%
Best: +6.46%
Worst: -7.39%
Trades: 30/31

30MIN

Win Rate: 46.8%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +2.05%
Avg Loser: -1.88%
Best: +7.97%
Worst: -7.03%
Trades: 29/33

60MIN

Win Rate: 53.2%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +2.14%
Avg Loser: -2.24%
Best: +9.58%
Worst: -6.89%
Trades: 33/29

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 52.4%
Avg Gain: +0.25%
Avg Winner: +2.57%
Avg Loser: -2.30%
Best: +9.92%
Worst: -6.52%
Trades: 33/30

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.93%
Best MFE: +11.89%
Avg Time to MFE: 130 min

On average, ETSY alerts reach +2.93% profit potential within 130 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.62%
Worst MAE: -10.71%
Avg Time to MAE: 20 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.62%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.81:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 63 alerts, ETSY typically reaches +2.93% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 63
Gap Up % 49.2%
Avg Gap -0.10%
Best Gap +2.39%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC

How ETSY compares to 80 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ETSY: -0.17% Sector: -0.09% -0.09%
EOD Gain
ETSY: +0.28% Sector: +1127.26% -1126.98%
Avg MFE
ETSY: +2.93% Sector: +3.61% -0.68%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ETSY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-08-25 09:25:00 $86.5 +0.59% -0.38% -0.09% +0.84% -2.39% +1.05% +0.35% +0.58% WIN
2026-08-21 09:25:00 $81.27 +0.49% +0.12% -0.20% -0.16% -0.30% +1.07% -1.23% +1.01% WIN
2026-08-20 09:25:00 $83.15 -1.11% -1.53% -0.73% -1.21% -2.33% +0.45% -2.35% -1.76% LOSS
2026-08-10 09:25:00 $85.11 -0.22% -1.02% -2.08% -3.29% -5.53% -0.22% -1.25% -1.06% LOSS
2026-08-07 09:25:00 $83.8 -0.04% +2.69% +2.77% +1.07% +2.09% +3.16% -0.58% +0.04% LOSS
2026-07-14 09:25:00 $81.01 -0.54% +0.83% +0.28% +0.31% +2.53% +2.90% -1.00% -1.00% LOSS
2026-05-18 09:25:00 $58.07 +1.64% +1.86% +2.30% +3.00% +1.31% +3.32% +0.30% +1.60% WIN
2026-04-29 09:25:00 $67.0 +0.97% +0.00% +1.12% +4.72% +3.88% +5.79% -0.94% +0.00% WIN
2026-04-20 09:25:00 $61.08 +0.56% +1.51% +2.52% +2.91% +5.08% +5.23% +0.48% +0.67% WIN
2026-04-01 09:25:00 $49.98 +0.94% -0.26% -1.60% +0.28% -0.02% +1.36% -2.74% +0.40% WIN
2026-03-03 09:25:00 $52.67 -0.49% -1.46% -2.33% -3.42% +3.40% +3.57% -3.53% -1.61% LOSS
2026-02-20 09:25:00 $49.12 +1.17% +1.43% +2.95% +2.49% +6.23% +8.49% -0.22% +1.36% WIN
2026-02-19 09:25:00 $50.43 -9.34% -5.31% -3.92% -4.74% -4.54% +0.14% -0.65% -3.71% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:25:31 $52.26 -0.57% +1.07% +0.92% +0.94% +1.01% +2.49% -0.92% -0.43% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:26:55 $57.01 -5.03% -3.26% -1.85% -0.51% -3.86% +0.96% -5.33% -0.02% LOSS
2024-11-18 09:28:44 $49.97 -0.06% +0.67% +0.72% +1.24% +1.18% +2.24% -0.60% -0.32% LOSS
2024-11-08 09:26:05 $53.0 +1.00% +1.26% +1.27% +1.16% +0.58% +2.34% -0.17% +0.77% WIN
2024-11-01 09:29:09 $50.85 +0.18% +1.40% +2.43% +3.83% +3.78% +4.90% -1.00% +0.26% WIN
2024-10-31 09:29:48 $52.53 +5.00% +1.35% +0.58% +0.66% -2.08% +5.62% -1.05% -0.13% WIN
2024-08-13 09:25:30 $53.84 -2.25% -1.33% -0.96% +0.42% +0.42% +1.17% -2.41% -0.63% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 53.2% Baseline on ETSY

The 53.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push ETSY's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ETSY Strategy →

Why Analyze ETSY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ETSY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ETSY historically offers an average upside of +2.93% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ETSY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 53.2%, ETSY shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ETSY performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.09%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.