Latest signal:
EXAS Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 18 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-13 → 2024-11-06
⚠️ Small sample size (18 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, EXAS alerts reach +2.52% profit potential within 138 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.34%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 18 alerts, EXAS typically reaches +2.52% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.0% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-MEDICAL LABORATORIES
How EXAS compares to 18 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical EXAS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-06 | 09:27:43 | $56.69 | -6.31% | -5.45% | -7.18% | -8.02% | -3.48% | +0.56% | -1.22% | -1.75% | LOSS |
| 2024-05-09 | 09:29:00 | $54.65 | -1.03% | -0.38% | +0.40% | +0.38% | -0.91% | +1.34% | -1.88% | -0.27% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-11 | 09:27:37 | $72.25 | -2.54% | -3.35% | -1.56% | -3.04% | +0.97% | +1.16% | -4.14% | -1.01% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-02 | 09:25:18 | $80.31 | -1.61% | -5.65% | -5.31% | -5.52% | -8.18% | -0.07% | -0.41% | -0.90% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-21 | 09:25:00 | $69.49 | -0.64% | +0.30% | +1.53% | +2.33% | +2.79% | +3.09% | -1.42% | -1.42% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-20 | 09:27:00 | $73.98 | +1.97% | +2.01% | +0.09% | -2.64% | -9.03% | +3.81% | -0.65% | -0.24% | WIN |
| 2023-08-17 | 09:25:00 | $85.2 | -0.49% | -0.25% | -0.72% | -1.73% | -0.69% | +0.15% | -1.13% | -0.47% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-14 | 09:27:00 | $82.0 | - | +0.79% | +1.83% | +1.20% | +3.76% | +3.80% | -0.37% | -0.37% | - |
| 2023-06-21 | 09:26:00 | $99.98 | -2.78% | -5.07% | -3.18% | -3.51% | -10.20% | -0.77% | -0.91% | -0.98% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-10 | 09:29:00 | $79.7 | -1.00% | -0.43% | -0.32% | -0.62% | -1.22% | +1.32% | -1.98% | +0.05% | LOSS |
| 2023-01-09 | 09:29:00 | $55.12 | -1.00% | -0.47% | +2.07% | +3.98% | +6.71% | +10.54% | -2.23% | -0.22% | LOSS |
| 2022-12-16 | 09:25:00 | $55.31 | +1.07% | +0.87% | +0.32% | -1.72% | -6.13% | +2.19% | -0.85% | -0.13% | WIN |
| 2022-08-25 | 09:25:00 | $37.94 | +0.90% | +0.98% | +1.35% | +1.69% | +5.17% | +5.25% | -0.13% | +1.00% | WIN |
| 2022-08-12 | 09:25:00 | $43.2 | -0.79% | -1.68% | -1.85% | -1.09% | -1.13% | +0.58% | -2.52% | -1.27% | LOSS |
| 2022-07-13 | 09:25:00 | $45.27 | -0.57% | +1.33% | +1.37% | +2.58% | +3.36% | +5.68% | -1.41% | -0.46% | LOSS |
| 2022-04-22 | 09:25:00 | $60.98 | +0.33% | -0.72% | -0.02% | -0.72% | -0.49% | +2.02% | -0.79% | -0.38% | WIN |
| 2022-03-09 | 09:25:00 | $73.01 | +0.21% | +2.24% | +1.70% | +1.99% | -1.03% | +3.30% | -0.63% | -0.63% | WIN |
| 2022-01-13 | 09:25:00 | $76.45 | -0.67% | -0.37% | +0.71% | -1.27% | -1.37% | +1.37% | -1.49% | -1.15% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ EXAS Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 55.6% win rate, EXAS has -0.49% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making EXAS profitable.
🔧 Fix EXAS Risk/Reward →Why Analyze EXAS with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for EXAS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, EXAS historically offers an average upside of +2.52% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 EXAS Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 55.6%, EXAS shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-2.52%) outweigh average wins (+1.14%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: EXAS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.49%). This suggests EXAS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.