Latest signal:
EXEL Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 7 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-29 → 2024-10-16
⚠️ Small sample size (7 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, EXEL alerts reach +1.54% profit potential within 172 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.41%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.77x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 7 alerts, EXEL typically reaches +1.54% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.2% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)
How EXEL compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical EXEL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-16 | 09:28:35 | $28.69 | +0.07% | +0.77% | +0.80% | +1.83% | +2.30% | +3.17% | -1.32% | +0.03% | WIN |
| 2024-10-03 | 09:26:48 | $26.52 | +0.19% | +0.89% | +0.45% | +0.06% | -1.06% | +1.41% | -0.26% | - | WIN |
| 2023-11-01 | 09:26:00 | $20.59 | +0.80% | +0.97% | +0.34% | +0.58% | +2.09% | +2.43% | +0.17% | +0.24% | WIN |
| 2023-08-24 | 09:25:00 | $22.51 | -2.55% | -2.38% | -1.84% | -2.13% | -3.38% | +0.84% | -0.04% | -2.27% | LOSS |
| 2023-02-22 | 09:29:00 | $17.27 | +0.46% | +0.75% | - | +0.20% | +0.58% | +1.16% | -0.35% | +0.41% | WIN |
| 2023-02-21 | 09:28:00 | $17.51 | -0.23% | -0.06% | -0.34% | -0.09% | -0.34% | +0.23% | -0.63% | -0.34% | LOSS |
| 2022-03-29 | 09:25:00 | $21.75 | +0.46% | +0.34% | +0.23% | +0.32% | +1.10% | +1.52% | -0.41% | +0.41% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ EXEL Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 71.4% win rate, EXEL has -0.11% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making EXEL profitable.
🔧 Fix EXEL Risk/Reward →Why Analyze EXEL with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for EXEL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, EXEL historically offers an average upside of +1.54% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 EXEL Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 71.4%, EXEL shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.39%) outweigh average wins (+0.40%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: EXEL shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.11%). This suggests EXEL is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.