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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$EXPD

Trade-Ideas alerts 47.6% at 5-min n=21 2022-01-19 → 2026-08-04

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 21 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. ARRANGEMENT OF TRANSPORTATION OF FREIGHT & CARGO (SIC 4731)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 26, 1984 🔗 www.expeditors.com
💰 Market Cap: $25.02B 👥 Employees: 19,800
Based in the US, Expeditors International of Washington is a non-asset-based third-party logistics provider, mainly focused on international freight forwarding. Its offers freight consolidation and forwarding, customs brokerage, warehousing and distribution, purchase order management, vendor consolidation, and numerous other value-added logistics services. It employs sophisticated IT systems and contracts with airlines and ocean carriers to move customers' freight across the globe. The firm operates more than 200 full-service office locations worldwide, in addition to numerous satellite locations. In 2025, Expeditors derived 36% of consolidated gross revenue from airfreight, 25% from ocean freight, and 39% from customs brokerage and other services.
Total alerts
21
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
47.6%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
-0.10%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.11%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading EXPD on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 47.6%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +0.50%
Avg Loser: -0.64%
Best: +1.20%
Worst: -1.25%
Trades: 10/11

15MIN

Win Rate: 38.1%
Avg Gain: -0.37%
Avg Winner: +0.76%
Avg Loser: -1.07%
Best: +2.06%
Worst: -3.25%
Trades: 8/13

30MIN

Win Rate: 28.6%
Avg Gain: -0.55%
Avg Winner: +0.82%
Avg Loser: -1.10%
Best: +1.55%
Worst: -3.33%
Trades: 6/15

60MIN

Win Rate: 38.1%
Avg Gain: -0.81%
Avg Winner: +0.52%
Avg Loser: -1.63%
Best: +1.35%
Worst: -6.07%
Trades: 8/13

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 38.1%
Avg Gain: -0.33%
Avg Winner: +1.47%
Avg Loser: -1.44%
Best: +5.51%
Worst: -4.26%
Trades: 8/13

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.11%
Best MFE: +6.24%
Avg Time to MFE: 130 min

On average, EXPD alerts reach +1.11% profit potential within 130 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.96%
Worst MAE: -2.52%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.96%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.16:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 21 alerts, EXPD typically reaches +1.11% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 21
Gap Up % 38.1%
Avg Gap -0.35%
Best Gap +0.83%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ARRANGEMENT OF TRANSPORTATION OF FREIGHT & CARGO

How EXPD compares to 10 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
EXPD: -0.10% Sector: -0.89% +0.79%
EOD Gain
EXPD: -0.33% Sector: +116060.18% -116060.51%
Avg MFE
EXPD: +1.11% Sector: +8.79% -7.69%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical EXPD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-08-04 09:25:00 $172.0 -1.25% +0.04% -0.55% +0.24% +5.51% +6.24% -2.41% -1.16% LOSS
2026-08-03 09:25:00 $169.1 +0.35% -0.88% -1.26% -0.65% +0.88% +1.17% -1.57% +0.04% WIN
2026-06-04 09:25:00 $160.3 +0.60% +0.31% +1.11% +1.35% -0.11% +1.68% -0.77% +0.35% WIN
2026-05-12 09:25:00 $154.61 +0.01% -0.56% -1.62% -1.01% -0.12% +0.47% -2.02% -0.10% WIN
2026-02-24 09:25:00 $145.0 -0.20% -2.86% -1.38% -2.69% -4.26% +1.46% -2.52% -1.22% LOSS
2026-02-17 09:25:00 $147.18 +0.08% +0.13% +0.03% +0.19% -0.01% +0.76% -0.61% -0.61% WIN
2026-02-03 09:25:00 $163.55 +0.29% +1.66% +1.55% +0.55% -0.81% +2.23% -0.43% +0.21% WIN
2026-01-30 09:25:00 $161.5 -0.93% -0.85% -0.45% -0.59% -0.59% -0.12% -1.11% -1.05% LOSS
2026-01-29 09:25:00 $160.07 +1.20% +2.06% +1.24% +1.16% +0.89% +2.17% +0.73% +0.83% WIN
2026-01-28 09:25:00 $158.42 -0.04% -0.28% -0.40% -0.09% +1.04% +1.74% -0.67% -0.37% LOSS
2024-12-04 09:27:37 $120.7 -0.34% -0.97% -0.39% -0.81% +0.41% +0.53% -1.08% -0.63% LOSS
2024-11-25 09:29:34 $122.09 +0.27% +0.36% +0.22% +0.05% +0.25% +0.51% -0.32% +0.08% WIN
2022-07-20 09:25:00 $100.13 +0.07% -0.17% -0.32% +0.01% +2.11% +2.42% -0.49% +0.07% WIN
2022-07-05 09:25:00 $97.58 -0.78% -1.03% -1.34% -1.67% -1.11% -0.31% -1.07% -0.46% LOSS
2022-04-13 09:25:00 $96.74 +0.96% +1.28% +0.75% +0.60% +0.65% +1.28% -0.22% +0.29% WIN
2022-03-09 09:25:00 $102.55 +1.12% -1.20% -1.63% -2.07% -1.69% +1.12% -0.53% -0.04% WIN
2022-03-04 09:25:00 $100.99 -0.05% -0.33% -0.48% -1.03% -1.46% +0.20% -0.48% +0.01% LOSS
2022-02-25 09:25:00 $105.5 -0.20% +0.22% -0.46% -1.04% -0.14% +0.63% -1.26% -0.34% LOSS
2022-02-22 09:25:00 $108.0 -1.02% -3.25% -3.33% -6.07% -3.96% +0.00% +0.00% -1.26% LOSS
2022-02-17 09:25:00 $108.11 -1.23% -0.98% -1.97% -1.66% -1.90% -0.80% -1.83% -0.92% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ EXPD Shows Negative Expectancy

With 47.6% win rate and -0.10% average gain, EXPD alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider EXPD for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze EXPD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for EXPD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, EXPD historically offers an average upside of +1.11% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 EXPD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 47.6%, EXPD shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests EXPD may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: EXPD shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.10%). This suggests EXPD is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.