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EXPD Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 11 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-19 → 2024-12-04
⚠️ Small sample size (11 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, EXPD alerts reach +0.50% profit potential within 86 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.79%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 11 alerts, EXPD typically reaches +0.50% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.4% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: ARRANGEMENT OF TRANSPORTATION OF FREIGHT & CARGO
How EXPD compares to 7 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical EXPD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-04 | 09:27:37 | $120.7 | -0.34% | -0.97% | -0.39% | -0.81% | +0.41% | +0.53% | -1.08% | -0.63% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-25 | 09:29:34 | $122.09 | +0.27% | +0.36% | +0.22% | +0.05% | +0.25% | +0.51% | -0.32% | +0.08% | WIN |
| 2022-07-20 | 09:25:00 | $100.13 | +0.07% | -0.17% | -0.32% | +0.01% | +2.11% | +2.42% | -0.49% | +0.07% | WIN |
| 2022-07-05 | 09:25:00 | $97.58 | -0.78% | -1.03% | -1.34% | -1.67% | -1.11% | -0.31% | -1.07% | -0.46% | LOSS |
| 2022-04-13 | 09:25:00 | $96.74 | +0.96% | +1.28% | +0.75% | +0.60% | +0.65% | +1.28% | -0.22% | +0.29% | WIN |
| 2022-03-09 | 09:25:00 | $102.55 | +1.12% | -1.20% | -1.63% | -2.07% | -1.69% | +1.12% | -0.53% | -0.04% | WIN |
| 2022-03-04 | 09:25:00 | $100.99 | -0.05% | -0.33% | -0.48% | -1.03% | -1.46% | +0.20% | -0.48% | +0.01% | LOSS |
| 2022-02-25 | 09:25:00 | $105.5 | -0.20% | +0.22% | -0.46% | -1.04% | -0.14% | +0.63% | -1.26% | -0.34% | LOSS |
| 2022-02-22 | 09:25:00 | $108.0 | -1.02% | -3.25% | -3.33% | -6.07% | -3.96% | - | - | -1.26% | LOSS |
| 2022-02-17 | 09:25:00 | $108.11 | -1.23% | -0.98% | -1.97% | -1.66% | -1.90% | -0.80% | -1.83% | -0.92% | LOSS |
| 2022-01-19 | 09:25:00 | $122.08 | -1.03% | -0.55% | -0.88% | -1.81% | -2.51% | -0.11% | -1.45% | -0.98% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ EXPD Shows Negative Expectancy
With 36.4% win rate and -0.20% average gain, EXPD alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider EXPD for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze EXPD with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for EXPD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, EXPD historically offers an average upside of +0.50% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 EXPD Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 36.4%, EXPD shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests EXPD may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: EXPD shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.20%). This suggests EXPD is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.