Latest signal:
EXPE Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 52 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-01 → 2025-02-07
⚠️ Small sample size (52 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, EXPE alerts reach +1.87% profit potential within 117 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.65%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.88x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 52 alerts, EXPE typically reaches +1.87% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: TRANSPORTATION SERVICES
How EXPE compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical EXPE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-07 | 09:25:26 | $192.99 | +2.60% | +1.55% | +4.58% | +3.51% | +4.86% | +6.28% | -0.28% | +0.90% | WIN |
| 2024-10-17 | 09:28:14 | $160.84 | -1.93% | -0.99% | -1.44% | -1.70% | -1.76% | +0.65% | -0.45% | -0.21% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-09 | 09:25:07 | $130.0 | +0.23% | -1.04% | -2.31% | -1.79% | +0.01% | +1.01% | -0.60% | - | WIN |
| 2024-05-03 | 09:25:38 | $125.0 | -3.93% | -4.82% | -4.77% | -5.39% | -7.74% | +0.86% | -1.27% | -2.15% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-03 | 09:27:17 | $130.73 | -0.18% | -0.56% | -0.46% | +1.03% | -0.13% | +1.18% | -0.90% | +0.18% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-26 | 09:27:42 | $138.0 | +0.62% | +0.37% | -0.14% | -0.18% | -1.00% | +0.64% | - | +0.29% | WIN |
| 2024-03-18 | 09:26:59 | $134.0 | -0.90% | -0.47% | -1.05% | -0.87% | -0.59% | +0.59% | -1.12% | -0.16% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-05 | 09:27:20 | $134.6 | -0.69% | -0.33% | - | -0.31% | -0.42% | +0.85% | -1.11% | -0.01% | LOSS |
| 2024-02-09 | 09:25:21 | $133.51 | -5.14% | -2.87% | -2.51% | -2.92% | -1.80% | +0.08% | -0.47% | -2.17% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-13 | 09:26:00 | $143.65 | +1.01% | +0.15% | -0.01% | +0.11% | +0.87% | +1.84% | -0.98% | +0.86% | WIN |
| 2023-11-29 | 09:25:00 | $136.7 | -0.34% | +1.25% | +1.28% | -0.58% | -0.69% | +1.49% | -0.74% | -0.74% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-17 | 09:25:00 | $134.26 | -0.77% | -1.00% | -1.07% | -0.42% | +1.58% | +2.41% | -3.31% | +0.03% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-15 | 09:26:00 | $124.03 | +1.75% | +2.43% | +4.33% | +6.08% | +5.08% | +8.34% | +0.38% | +0.59% | WIN |
| 2023-11-03 | 09:26:00 | $105.95 | +5.66% | +2.20% | +4.47% | +5.10% | +6.38% | +6.63% | -0.22% | +1.93% | WIN |
| 2023-11-02 | 09:25:00 | $94.65 | +1.67% | +0.37% | -0.01% | -1.10% | +0.20% | +1.74% | +0.25% | +0.43% | WIN |
| 2023-10-31 | 09:26:00 | $94.95 | +0.28% | -0.64% | -0.72% | -0.24% | +0.36% | +0.73% | -0.94% | +0.33% | WIN |
| 2023-09-18 | 09:28:00 | $106.84 | -1.11% | -1.16% | -0.89% | +0.03% | -1.03% | +0.22% | -1.29% | -0.55% | LOSS |
| 2023-09-15 | 09:29:00 | $106.17 | +0.95% | +1.10% | +1.80% | +2.37% | +0.70% | +2.79% | -0.09% | +0.50% | WIN |
| 2023-09-13 | 09:25:00 | $109.14 | +0.17% | -0.32% | -1.40% | -2.06% | -2.13% | +0.58% | -0.33% | -0.33% | WIN |
| 2023-09-12 | 09:29:00 | $107.49 | +1.35% | +2.61% | +2.45% | +1.68% | +2.01% | +3.02% | - | - | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ EXPE Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 55.8% win rate, EXPE has -0.04% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making EXPE profitable.
🔧 Fix EXPE Risk/Reward →Why Analyze EXPE with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for EXPE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, EXPE historically offers an average upside of +1.87% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 EXPE Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 55.8%, EXPE shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.20%) outweigh average wins (+0.89%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: EXPE shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.04%). This suggests EXPE is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.