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EXPI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-04 → 2022-05-04

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

eXp World Holdings, Inc. Common Stock REAL ESTATE AGENTS & MANAGERS (FOR OTHERS) (SIC 6531)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jan 14, 2011 🔗 www.expworldholdings.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.47B 👥 Employees: 2,001
eXp World Holdings Inc is a cloud-based residential real estate company. The company owns and operates a cloud-based real estate brokerage and a technology platform business that develops and uses immersive technologies that help businesses increase their effectiveness and reduce costs from operating in traditional brick-and-mortar office spaces. Its business categories include Real Estate Brokerage, Technology Products and Services, Title, Escrow, Settlement Services, and Mortgage Brokerage Services. The company mainly operates in the United States and Canada, and it also has operations in the United Kingdom, Australia, South Africa, France, India, Portugal, and Mexico, among others.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+5.61%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+5.68%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +5.61%
Avg Winner: +5.61%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +5.61%
Worst: +5.61%
Trades: 1/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.84%
Avg Winner: +0.84%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.84%
Worst: +0.84%
Trades: 1/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.39%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.39%
Best: -0.39%
Worst: -0.39%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.90%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.90%
Best: -2.90%
Worst: -2.90%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.90%
Avg Winner: +2.90%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +2.90%
Worst: +2.90%
Trades: 1/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.68%
Best MFE: +5.68%
Avg Time to MFE: 6 min

On average, EXPI alerts reach +5.68% profit potential within 6 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.19%
Worst MAE: -0.19%
Avg Time to MAE: 0 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.19%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

29.34:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 29.34x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, EXPI typically reaches +5.68% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +0.03%
Best Gap +0.03%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE AGENTS & MANAGERS (FOR OTHERS)

How EXPI compares to 7 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
EXPI: +5.61% Sector: -0.28% +5.90%
EOD Gain
EXPI: +2.90% Sector: +166.55% -163.64%
Avg MFE
EXPI: +5.68% Sector: +5.24% +0.44%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical EXPI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-05-04 09:25:00 $15.5 +5.61% +0.84% -0.39% -2.90% +2.90% +5.68% -0.19% +0.03% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on EXPI

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push EXPI's performance to 75%+.

Optimize EXPI Strategy →

Why Analyze EXPI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for EXPI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, EXPI historically offers an average upside of +5.68% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 EXPI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, EXPI shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show EXPI performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +5.61%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.