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EZPW Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-12-08 → 2024-05-07

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 27, 1991 🔗 www.ezcorp.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.29B 👥 Employees: 8,500
EZCORP Inc is a United States-based company engaged in offering pawn loans in the United States and Mexico. It also offers short-term unsecured loans and other consumer financial products, and buys and sells second-hand goods. The operating segments of the company are U.S. Pawn, Latin America Pawn, and Other Investments. The U.S. Pawn segment includes all pawn activities in the United States. The Latin America Pawn segment includes all pawn activities in Mexico and other parts of Latin America. The company generates revenue from merchandise sales, jewelry scrapping sales, and pawn service charges, of which key revenue is derived from the merchandise sales, which are mainly collateral forfeited from pawn lending operations and used merchandise purchased from the customers.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.71%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.82%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.71%
Avg Winner: +0.39%
Avg Loser: -1.81%
Best: +0.39%
Worst: -1.81%
Trades: 1/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.62%
Avg Winner: +0.97%
Avg Loser: -2.20%
Best: +0.97%
Worst: -2.20%
Trades: 1/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.38%
Avg Winner: +1.84%
Avg Loser: -2.60%
Best: +1.84%
Worst: -2.60%
Trades: 1/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.35%
Avg Winner: +2.52%
Avg Loser: -3.22%
Best: +2.52%
Worst: -3.22%
Trades: 1/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -3.04%
Avg Winner: +0.58%
Avg Loser: -6.67%
Best: +0.58%
Worst: -6.67%
Trades: 1/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.82%
Best MFE: +3.54%
Avg Time to MFE: 77 min

On average, EZPW alerts reach +1.82% profit potential within 77 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.18%
Worst MAE: -0.45%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.18%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

10.28:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 10.28x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, EZPW typically reaches +1.82% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +0.10%
Best Gap +0.11%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-MISCELLANEOUS RETAIL

How EZPW compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
EZPW: -0.71% Sector: -0.66% -0.05%
EOD Gain
EZPW: -3.04% Sector: +0.39% -3.43%
Avg MFE
EZPW: +1.82% Sector: +7.72% -5.90%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical EZPW alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-05-07 09:25:33 $10.32 +0.39% +0.97% +1.84% +2.52% +0.58% +3.54% +0.10% +0.10% WIN
2022-12-08 09:25:00 $8.85 -1.81% -2.20% -2.60% -3.22% -6.67% +0.11% -0.45% +0.11% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ EZPW Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.71% average gain, EZPW alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider EZPW for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze EZPW with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for EZPW. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, EZPW historically offers an average upside of +1.82% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 EZPW Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, EZPW shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests EZPW may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: EZPW shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.71%). This suggests EZPW is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.